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Hornets vs. Rockets prediction: Houston to win, Kevin Durant projected for big game in Thursday's NBA matchup [2/5/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Charlotte Hornets vs Houston Rockets predictions for NBA Thursday.
The Houston Rockets and Charlotte Hornets will meet in NBA action at Toyota Center on Thursday, starting at 8:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury news, Dimers' proven NBA model projects the Rockets as the most likely winner of the Hornets vs. Rockets game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Rockets lineup will feature players like Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun and Amen Thompson, while the Hornets will rely on Brandon Miller, LaMelo Ball and Kon Knueppel.
This article offers further insights into Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Hornets vs. Rockets prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's NBA game between the Hornets and Rockets 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Rockets a 63% chance of beating the Hornets. Our predicted final score has the Rockets winning 111-107.
According to our model, the Hornets (+4.5) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the 218.5-point over/under has a 51% chance of going over.
Hornets vs. Rockets odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Hornets | Rockets |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +4.5 (-110) | -4.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | +154 | -175 |
| Total | o218.5 (-108) | u218.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Hornets vs. Rockets picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Hornets +4.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Rockets | -175 |
| Total | Over 218.5 | -108 |
According to our best NBA bets for Thursday, the top play to make on this game is Hornets +4.5 at the spread.
Hornets vs. Rockets player props
NBA player props are a common way to wager on Thursday's Hornets vs. Rockets matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Toyota Center.
Brandon Miller is expected to lead the Hornets with 23 points, 5 rebounds and 4 assists, while Kevin Durant is projected to have 25 points, 5 rebounds and 5 assists for the Rockets.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Hornets prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Hornets are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Miller | 23 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 41 |
| LaMelo Ball | 20 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 44 |
| Kon Knueppel | 20 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 37 |
| Miles Bridges | 17 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 33 |
| Moussa Diabate | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 27 |
Rockets prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Rockets:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant | 25 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 45 |
| Alperen Sengun | 19 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 45 |
| Amen Thompson | 18 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 41 |
| Jabari Smith | 15 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 30 |
| Tari Eason | 13 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 30 |
Hornets vs. Rockets game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's game between the Rockets and Hornets at Toyota Center is scheduled to begin at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: Charlotte Hornets vs. Houston Rockets
- Date: Thursday, February 5, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: Toyota Center
Conclusion
We predict the Rockets, with a 63% win probability, will likely beat the Hornets on Thursday, with Kevin Durant projected for a game-high 45 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Hornets vs. Rockets insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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