...
...
Read Article
Sabres vs. Blackhawks prediction: Why Buffalo is favored to win Monday's NHL matchup [4/13/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Buffalo Sabres vs Chicago Blackhawks predictions for NHL Monday.
The Chicago Blackhawks and Buffalo Sabres will meet in the NHL at United Center on Monday, with puck drop at 8:30 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced NHL model predicts the Sabres as the most likely winner of the Sabres vs. Blackhawks game.
This article offers further insights into Monday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Sabres vs. Hawks prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Monday's NHL matchup between the Sabres and Blackhawks, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Sabres a 64% chance of defeating the Blackhawks.
According to our model, the Blackhawks (+1.5) have a 58% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal over/under has a 54% chance of staying under.
Sabres vs. Blackhawks odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Sabres | Blackhawks |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | -1.5 (+120) | +1.5 (-142) |
| Moneyline | -200 | +170 |
| Total | o6.5 (-105) | u6.5 (-112) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Sabres vs. Blackhawks picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Blackhawks +1.5 | -142 |
| Moneyline | Blackhawks | +170 |
| Total | Under 6.5 | -112 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 6.5 total goals.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Sabres vs. Blackhawks player props
Who will score a goal in Sabres vs. Blackhawks?
According to our model, Tage Thompson is most likely to score an anytime goal in Sabres vs. Blackhawks.
Our projections give Thompson a 43.8% chance of scoring a goal at United Center, while the star is a 9.6% chance of registering the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Buffalo Sabres
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Tage Thompson | 43.8% |
| Alex Tuch | 34.9% |
| Jason Zucker | 27.6% |
| Josh Norris | 27.4% |
| Jack Quinn | 26.1% |
Chicago Blackhawks
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Connor Bedard | 28.1% |
| Frank Nazar | 28.0% |
| Ilya Mikheyev | 26.2% |
| Tyler Bertuzzi | 25.0% |
| Anton Frondell | 21.5% |
First goal scorer predictions
Buffalo Sabres
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Tage Thompson | 9.6% |
| Alex Tuch | 6.6% |
| Josh Norris | 5.1% |
| Jason Zucker | 4.9% |
| Jack Quinn | 4.8% |
Chicago Blackhawks
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Frank Nazar | 5.5% |
| Tyler Bertuzzi | 5.4% |
| Connor Bedard | 5.2% |
| Ilya Mikheyev | 5.0% |
| Anton Frondell | 3.4% |
Sabres vs. Hawks game-day updates and essential details
Monday's matchup between the Blackhawks and Sabres at United Center is scheduled to begin at 8:30 PM ET.
- Who: Buffalo Sabres vs. Chicago Blackhawks
- Date: Monday, April 13, 2026
- Time: 8:30 PM ET/5:30PM PT
- Venue: United Center
Conclusion
We predict the Sabres, with a 64% win probability, will likely beat the Blackhawks in Monday's NHL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
Advertiser disclosure