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Celtics vs. Bucks prediction: Why Boston is favored to win Thursday's NBA matchup [12/11/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Boston Celtics vs Milwaukee Bucks predictions for NBA Thursday.
NBA action continues on Thursday at 8:00PM ET as the Boston Celtics take on the Milwaukee Bucks at Fiserv Forum.
Based on updated simulation results and today’s injury reports, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Celtics as the most likely winner of the Celtics vs. Bucks game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Bucks lineup will feature stars like Kevin Porter, Ryan Rollins and Kyle Kuzma, while the Celtics will look to Jaylen Brown, Derrick White and Payton Pritchard.
This article offers a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Celtics vs. Bucks prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's NBA matchup between the Celtics and Bucks 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Celtics a 77% chance of defeating the Bucks. Our predicted final score has the Celtics winning 115-107.
According to our model, the Bucks (+9.5) have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 223.5 points has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Celtics vs. Bucks odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Celtics | Bucks |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -9.5 (-110) | +9.5 (-108) |
| Moneyline | -400 | +325 |
| Total | o223.5 (-105) | u223.5 (-114) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Celtics vs. Bucks picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Bucks +9.5 | -108 |
| Moneyline | Bucks | +325 |
| Total | Over 223.5 | -105 |
According to our best NBA bets for Thursday, the top play to make on this game is Bucks +9.5 at the spread.
Celtics vs. Bucks player props
Looking for Boston vs. Milwaukee NBA player props? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Fiserv Forum.
Jaylen Brown is expected to lead the Celtics with 29 points, 7 rebounds and 5 assists, while Kevin Porter is projected to have 19 points, 6 rebounds and 6 assists for the Bucks.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every game this season.
Celtics prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Celtics are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Brown | 29 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 52 |
| Derrick White | 18 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 40 |
| P. Pritchard | 17 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 34 |
| Anfernee Simons | 13 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 23 |
| Neemias Queta | 11 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 28 |
Bucks prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Bucks:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Porter | 19 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 41 |
| Ryan Rollins | 17 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 37 |
| Kyle Kuzma | 14 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 26 |
| Bobby Portis | 12 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 25 |
| Myles Turner | 12 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 25 |
Celtics vs. Bucks game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's action between the Bucks and Celtics at Fiserv Forum is scheduled to begin at 8:00PM ET.
- Who: Boston Celtics vs. Milwaukee Bucks
- Date: Thursday, December 11, 2025
- Time: 8:00PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: Fiserv Forum
Conclusion
We predict the Celtics, with a 77% win probability, will likely beat the Bucks on Thursday, with Jaylen Brown projected for a game-high 52 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Celtics vs. Bucks insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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