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Best bets today for all sports: Christmas Day picks include Cowboys vs. Commanders NFL play [12/25/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get the best bets for Thursday, December 25, 2025.
Today’s best sports bets for Christmas Day are here, with Cowboys vs. Commanders highlighted by our model across Thursday’s schedule.
Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, scanning the latest odds to discover top betting edges. The result? Data-backed plays that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.
List of best bets for today [12/25, updated 2:07AM ET]
Below, you’ll find today’s best bets, ranked by edge for Thursday, December 25, 2025.
NFL: Commanders ML (+370)
- Edge: 6.3%
- Probability: 27.6%
- NFL matchup: Cowboys vs. Commanders (1:00PM ET, Thursday)
Our model has identified value on Commanders to defeat Cowboys at +370 odds. A 27.6% probability produces an edge of 6.3%, making this the strongest play for today's sports action.
NFL: Commanders +9.5 (-112)
- Edge: 6.0%
- Probability: 58.8%
- NFL matchup: Cowboys vs. Commanders (1:00PM ET, Thursday)
Commanders +9.5 carries a 6.0% edge and a probability of 58.8% at -112 odds, according to our model.
NFL: Chiefs +13.5 (-105)
- Edge: 2.2%
- Probability: 53.4%
- NFL Matchup: Broncos vs. Chiefs (8:15PM ET, Thursday)
Chiefs +13.5 vs. Broncos at -105 odds shows a 2.2% edge, supported by a 53.4% probability in simulations.
NBA: Nuggets ML (-142)
- Edge: 2.0%
- Probability: 60.7%
- NBA Matchup: Timberwolves vs. Nuggets (10:30PM ET, Thursday)
A 2.0% edge and 60.7% probability make Nuggets at the moneyline at a value play in the Timberwolves vs. Nuggets matchup, per our model.
Best sports bets today summary: Thursday, 12/25/2025
As of 2:07AM ET, here are our top bets by edge recommended by our model:
| Matchup | Bet | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cowboys vs. Commanders (NFL) | Commanders ML | +370 @ DraftKings | 6.3% | 27.6% |
| Cowboys vs. Commanders (NFL) | Commanders +9.5 | -112 @ DraftKings | 6.0% | 58.8% |
| Broncos vs. Chiefs (NFL) | Chiefs +13.5 | -105 @ DraftKings | 2.2% | 53.4% |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets (NBA) | Nuggets ML | -142 @ DraftKings | 2.0% | 60.7% |
List of upcoming matchups to bet on now [12/25/2025]
- NBA: Cavaliers vs. Knicks (12:00PM ET, Thursday)
- NFL: Cowboys vs. Commanders (1:00PM ET, Thursday)
- NBA: Spurs vs. Thunder (2:30PM ET, Thursday)
- NFL: Lions vs. Vikings (4:30PM ET, Thursday)
- NBA: Mavericks vs. Warriors (5:00PM ET, Thursday)
- NBA: Rockets vs. Lakers (8:00PM ET, Thursday)
- NFL: Broncos vs. Chiefs (8:15PM ET, Thursday)
- NBA: Timberwolves vs. Nuggets (10:30PM ET, Thursday)
AI betting support with Dimebot
Learn how Dimebot uses Dimers’ data to deliver quick answers and insights, helping you make faster, more informed decisions.
Conclusion
Our best bets are locked and loaded for December 25, 2025, featuring plays such as Commanders ML and Commanders +9.5. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.
This article, enhanced by AI and automation, aims to deliver accurate insights quickly, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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