Bengals vs. Chiefs: Best Prop Bets for NFL Playoffs

Last updated: Dec 21, 2023, 10:35PM | Published: Jan 26, 2023, 5:13PM

Player props for the NFL Playoffs AFC Conference Championship Game on Sunday Night between the Bengals and the Chiefs. Luckily for you, we've identified a number of different player prop and touchdown predictions for you to bet on. Sink your teeth into everything from first touchdown props at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, down to rushing yards props and receiving yards props, below.

Our predictive analytics model, known as DimersBOT, has run over 10,000 simulations of this AFC Conference Championship game between the Cincinnati Bengals and the Kansas City Chiefs, where we have predicted the Chiefs to register a win. Based on our Bengals-Chiefs predictions, it also looks as though Kansas City's Travis Kelce is in for a big game, with the Chiefs TE featuring heavily in our projections. While names like Ja'Marr Chase, Patrick Mahomes, Joe Burrow and Joe Mixon are also prominent, with more detail about what you can expect from them, outlined below.

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Bengals vs. Chiefs: Best Player Props

Wondering where to look in first touchdown props markets in this game between Bengals vs. Chiefs? Well, the latest data for this Sunday Night Football matchup is in.

Listed below are our best first touchdown props and best anytime touchdown props for both the Bengals and Chiefs, as well as player prop predictions.

And you know what, we provide this player prop information to you for FREE to help you select the best prop bets for Sunday Night's game.

According to DimersBOT, Kansas City's Travis Kelce is the best first TD prop bet to place in Bengals vs. Chiefs.

The Dimers AI predictive analytics machine gives Kelce a 12.2% chance of cashing our first touchdown prop bet tickets at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, while the Chiefs TE is also a 51.1% chance of cashing those anytime touchdown prop bet tickets if you're looking for something a little more safe.

Scroll down for our complete list of first touchdown props and anytime TD prop predictions, and find out why Ja'Marr Chase is projected to explode against the Chiefs.

Bengals vs. Chiefs Touchdown Props

First Touchdown Scorer

PLAYER	FIRST TOUCHDOWN
Travis Kelce (Chiefs)	12.2% probability
Joe Mixon (Bengals)	11.4% probability
Ja'Marr Chase (Bengals)	10.6% probability
Jerick McKinnon (Chiefs)	11.1% probability
Tee Higgins (Bengals)	8.5% probability
Isiah Pacheco (Chiefs)	5.7% probability
Hayden Hurst (Bengals)	5.2% probability
Joe Burrow (Bengals)	4.3% probability
Marquez Valdes-Scantling (Chiefs)	3.7% probability
JuJu Smith-Schuster (Chiefs)	3.4% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer

PLAYER	ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Travis Kelce (Chiefs)	51.1% probability
Joe Mixon (Bengals)	48.2% probability
Ja'Marr Chase (Bengals)	46.6% probability
Jerick McKinnon (Chiefs)	46.2% probability
Tee Higgins (Bengals)	39.7% probability
Isiah Pacheco (Chiefs)	27.1% probability
Hayden Hurst (Bengals)	25.0% probability
Joe Burrow (Bengals)	21.9% probability
Marquez Valdes-Scantling (Chiefs)	18.8% probability
JuJu Smith-Schuster (Chiefs)	17.5% probability

ANALYSIS: Bengals vs. Chiefs Picks and Analysis
RELATED: Player Props for 49ers vs. Eagles NFC Conference Championship

Who will be left standing in the end?@Bengals vs @Chiefs for the AFC pic.twitter.com/IZiAUcOzZc
— NFL on CBS 🏈 (@NFLonCBS) January 26, 2023

Bengals at Chiefs Player Prop Predictions

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Bengals' Joe Burrow is predicted to have a big game and throw for 300 passing yards. While the Chiefs' Patrick Mahomes is expected to throw for 278 yards.

Look for the 🔥 below, as that indicates a spot where DimersBOT has found value against the sportsbooks. To make things easy for you, we even list the best player props bets for Bengals-Chiefs, below.

Bengals Starting QB Prediction

Joe Burrow: 300 passing yards

Chiefs Starting QB Prediction

Patrick Mahomes: 278 passing yards

Bengals Rushing Yards Predictions

Joe Mixon: 56 rushing yards
Joe Burrow: 19 rushing yards
Samaje Perine: 19 rushing yards

Chiefs Rushing Yards Predictions

Isiah Pacheco: 56 rushing yards
Jerick McKinnon: 27 rushing yards
Patrick Mahomes: 23 rushing yards

Bengals Receiving Yards Predictions

Ja'Marr Chase: 109 receiving yards
Tee Higgins: 67 receiving yards
Hayden Hurst: 42 receiving yards
Tyler Boyd: 37 receiving yards
Joe Mixon: 25 receiving yards

Chiefs Receiving Yards Predictions

Travis Kelce: 80 receiving yards
JuJu Smith-Schuster: 50 receiving yards
Kadarius Toney: 32 receiving yards
Marquez Valdes-Scantling: 29 receiving yards
Jerick McKinnon: 28 receiving yards

ANALYSIS: Betting previews for both Conference Championship games

Bengals Chiefs Players Props Bets and Touchdown Bets Conference Championships

Bengals vs. Chiefs Prop Bets

🔥 BET: Ja'Marr Chase Over 83.5 Receiving Yards (-122)

Following over 10,000 different simulations of this Sunday Night matchup between the Bengals and the Chiefs, our player prop model has identified that the receiving yards line of 83.5 yards for Chase is worth attacking. We have the Bengals man down for 109 receiving yards (see above), so betting his OVER (-122) with DraftKings Sportsbook is the play. Remember, new DraftKings customers can score $200 in bonus bets from just a $5 wager here.

🔥 BET: Jerick McKinnon Under 30.5 Rushing Yards (-120)

Our player props predictive analytics model has McKinnon down for significantly less than his line of 30.5 rushing yards (we have him getting just 27) on Sunday Night, so at odds of -120 we are betting his UNDER and getting an edge of 13.3% with DraftKings Sportsbook, where new customers can score $200 in bonus bets from just a $5 wager here.

🔥 BET: Samaje Perine Under 16.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

The player props super computer has identified a receiving yards prop in Bengals man Samaje Perine. We have him down for 13 receiving yards on Sunday Night at a probability of 64.1% and a 10.8% edge with DraftKings Sportsbook, where we can score those $200 in bonus bets from just a $5 wager here.

Bengals vs. Chiefs Touchdown Bet

🏈 BET: Patrick Mahomes Score a Touchdown (+800)

The Dimers player prop AI machine has found some huge value here for Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes to score a TD on Sunday Night. While the model has identified him as a 16.0% chance of reaching the endzone, the real value is the huge 4.9% edge we have vs. the sportsbooks' odds. We can bet this over at DraftKings Sportsbook to get $200 in bonus bets from just a $5 wager here.

BEST BETS: Access NFL Player Prop bets for both Conference Championship games
BETTING CHALLENGE: The best strategies for turning $10 into $10K

Nick Slade

Chief Content Officer

Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience as a sports and betting expert, serves as the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, where he steers the editorial and digital content strategy for leading platforms like Dimers.com, Stats Insider and Gambling Today. Specializing in soccer, Nick brings a global perspective to his coverage of the sport, including detailed analyses of MLS games. He also contributes to NHL content through game previews, best bets, and props, and lends his expertise to crafting NBA first basket betting content.

With a robust background as a journalist and broadcaster, Nick has been a trusted voice on major networks and channels such as Fox Sports, WCBV-TV Boston, ESPN, ABC, and others. His profound understanding of sports and betting dynamics has made him a sought-after authority in the wagering and gambling industries.

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