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Australian Open Parlay for Day 6: Combining our best tennis bets today at +1098 odds

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Written by Nick Slade
Reviewed by Dave Garofolo

Looking for an Australian Open 2026 parlay? Local expert Nick Slade locks in his top tennis picks for betting on January 22 and 23.

Australian Open 2026 tennis parlay on Day 6 featuring Daniil Medvedev.
Our Australian Open parlay for Day 6 of the AO26 featuring Daniil Medvedev.

Our Australian Open 2026 parlay combines the top selections from our tennis best bets section. With another massive slate of matches on Day 6, this type of volume creates excellent parlay opportunities for tennis bettors

While the public scrambles just to find an edge at Melbourne Park, us sharps have isolated four specific tennis bets where the numbers point to significant value.

For our best parlay on Day 6, we are targeting four games spread plays—two from the Men's draw and two from the Ladies' draw. By combining these edges, we have constructed a tennis parlay that turns high-confidence data into a +1098 play, and our spirits are sky high after nailing both our Day 2 parlay at +880 odds and also our Day 3 parlay at +570 odds.

Here is the breakdown of the best bets we've used to craft our four-leg tennis parlay at +1098 odds, with picks in order of highest probability (not time).

 

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Australian Open 2026 Parlay - Day 6

Leg 1: Daniil Medvedev -5.5 Games (-135)

Matchup: D. Medvedev vs. F. Marozsan

Time: Jan 22, 8:30pm (ET)

We start our Day 6 tennis parlay with Daniil Medvedev, the self-proclaimed "hard court specialist." He faces Fabian Marozsan in a matchup where the baseline grind heavily favors the three-time Melbourne Park finalist. The spread is set at -5.5 games, a number Medvedev can clear by simply maintaining his defensive wall.

Our model projects Medvedev covering this line 61.6% of the time, offering a solid 4.2% edge over the current odds.

The Reasoning: Marozsan has talent, but Medvedev’s ability to extend rallies and force errors wears opponents down over five sets. We expect Medvedev to break Marozsan’s spirit—and his serve—often enough to make this one of the most reliable tennis bets of the night.

Tennis parlay today.

RELATED: FanDuel user hits perfect 4-leg Day 2 tennis parlay using Dimers Pro

Leg 2: Hailey Baptiste +6.5 Games (-106)

Matchup: C. Gauff vs. H. Baptiste

Time: Jan 22, 11:00pm (ET)

For the second parlay leg, we look to the all-American duel on the women’s side. Coco Gauff is the heavy favorite, but Hailey Baptiste is catching a massive 6.5 games. In a matchup between compatriots who know each other's games well, familiarity often breeds tighter contests.

We assign a 58.4% probability to Baptiste staying within the number, revealing a strong 6.9% edge.

The Reasoning: Gauff can be prone to double faults and variance on her serve. Baptiste doesn’t need to win a set to cash this leg of our best parlay; she just needs to keep the sets competitive (e.g., 6-4, 6-3). The data suggests the market is over-respecting the gap between these two right now.

Leg 3: Anastasia Potapova +6.5 Games (-112)

Matchup: A. Sabalenka vs. A. Potapova

Time: Jan 22, 8:30pm (ET)

Simultaneously, we have another high-value underdog play. Aryna Sabalenka is a force of nature, but Anastasia Potapova is a fighter who thrives in heavy-hitting exchanges. Getting 6.5 games against anyone—even Sabalenka—is a lot of real estate in professional tennis.

Our simulations gives Potapova a 56.8% probability of covering, creating a 3.9% edge.

The Reasoning: Sabalenka’s aggressive style naturally leads to short points, but it can also lead to unforced errors if Potapova extends the rallies. By taking the points, we add a layer of insurance to our parlay today, banking on Potapova’s grit to keep the scoreline respectable.

Leg 4: Alexander Zverev -5.5 Games (-105)

Matchup: A. Zverev vs. C. Norrie

Time: Jan 23, 3:30am (ET)

We close out the parlay ticket in the early morning hours with Alexander Zverev taking on Cam Norrie. Zverev’s form has been imperious, and while Norrie is a tactician, he lacks the weapons to hurt Zverev on these courts. The spread is -5.5, but the odds are near even money (-105), which provides tremendous value.

Our model sees Zverev covering 61.1% of the time, generating a significant 9.9% edge.

The Reasoning: Norrie’s game relies on consistency, but Zverev does everything Norrie does—just with more power. We expect Zverev to overpower the Brit and secure a comfortable win. With nearly a 10% edge at these odds, this is arguably the smartest addition to any tennis parlay for Day 6.

Australian Open 2026 Parlay Today

Leg 1: Medvedev -5.5 (-135)

Leg 2: Baptiste +6.5 (-106)

Leg 3: Potapova +6.5 (-112)

Leg 4: Zverev -5.5 (-105)

Parlay odds: +1098

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To give you the most accurate and helpful information, this article has been reviewed and edited by Dave Garofolo through our fact-checking process.
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Written by
Nick Slade
Chief Content Officer

Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.

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