Aryna Sabalenka vs. Anastasia Potapova prediction, odds, picks for Australian Open 2026

Aryna Sabalenka will square off with Anastasia Potapova in the third round of the Australian Open Women's Singles 2026 on Thursday.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced tennis model predicts Aryna Sabalenka as the most likely winner of the Sabalenka vs. Potapova match.

This article offers further insights into Thursday's match, including best bets and picks.

Sabalenka vs. Potapova prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 16?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's Sabalenka-Potapova women's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives Sabalenka a 92% chance of beating Potapova in the Australian Open 2026.

Additionally, Sabalenka has an 87% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Potapova (+6.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the over 18.5 games has a 54% chance of hitting**, according to our model.

Aryna Sabalenka vs. Anastasia Potapova odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Sabalenka vs. Potapova picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 18.5 total games.

Sabalenka vs. Potapova updates and essential details

The Australian Open 2026 match between Aryna Sabalenka and Anastasia Potapova is scheduled to commence on Thursday at 7:30 PM ET.

• Who: Aryna Sabalenka vs. Anastasia Potapova
• Date: Thursday, January 22, 2026
• Approx. Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
• Tournament: Australian Open Women's Singles 2026
• Round: Third round

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict Aryna Sabalenka, with a 92% win probability, will likely beat Anastasia Potapova at the Australian Open 2026.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Sabalenka vs. Potapova insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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