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Hawks vs. Raptors prediction: Why Toronto is favored to win Saturday's NBA matchup [1/3/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Atlanta Hawks vs Toronto Raptors predictions for NBA Saturday.
The Toronto Raptors will square off with the Atlanta Hawks in NBA action at Scotiabank Arena on Saturday, starting at 7:30 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations and today’s injury reports, Dimers' proven NBA model projects the Raptors as the most likely winner of the Hawks vs. Raptors game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Raptors lineup will feature stars like Brandon Ingram, Scottie Barnes and Immanuel Quickley, while the Hawks will look to Jalen Johnson, Nickeil Alexander-Walker and Onyeka Okongwu.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Hawks vs. Raptors prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NBA game between the Hawks and Raptors 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Raptors a 66% chance of beating the Hawks. Our predicted final score has the Raptors winning 118-113.
According to our model, the Hawks (+5) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 232.5 points has a 51% chance of staying under.
Hawks vs. Raptors odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Hawks | Raptors |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +5 (-110) | -5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | +172 | -200 |
| Total | o232.5 (-105) | u232.5 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Hawks vs. Raptors picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Hawks +5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Hawks | +172 |
| Total | Under 232.5 | -108 |
According to our best NBA bets for Saturday, the top play to make on this game is Hawks to win.
Hawks vs. Raptors player props
Betting on Hawks vs. Raptors NBA prop bets? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Scotiabank Arena.
Jalen Johnson is expected to lead the Hawks with 23 points, 11 rebounds and 9 assists, while Brandon Ingram is projected to have 23 points, 6 rebounds and 5 assists for the Raptors.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Hawks prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Hawks are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Johnson | 23 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 57 |
| N. Alexander-Walker | 20 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 35 |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 17 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 40 |
| Dyson Daniels | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 37 |
| Z. Risacher | 13 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 24 |
Raptors prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Raptors:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Ingram | 23 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 44 |
| Scottie Barnes | 21 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 50 |
| I. Quickley | 18 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 38 |
| RJ Barrett | 16 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 30 |
| S. Mamukelashvili | 10 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 22 |
Hawks vs. Raptors game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's matchup between the Raptors and Hawks at Scotiabank Arena is scheduled to commence at 7:30 PM ET.
- Who: Atlanta Hawks vs. Toronto Raptors
- Date: Saturday, January 3, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
- Venue: Scotiabank Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Raptors, with a 66% win probability, will likely beat the Hawks on Saturday, with Jalen Johnson projected for a game-high 57 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Hawks vs. Raptors insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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