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NBA picks today: Saturday's best bets include Rockets vs. Mavericks play [1/3/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get best NBA picks today and best bets for Saturday, January 3, 2026.
Today’s NBA picks for January 3, 2026 are here, with Rockets vs. Mavericks and Jazz vs. Warriors among the top plays identified by our model across Saturday’s NBA action.
Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, going over the latest basketball odds to discover real betting edges. The result? Data-backed picks that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.
List of NBA picks today [1/3, updated 5:03AM ET]
Below, you’ll find today’s best basketball bets, ranked by edge for Saturday, January 3, 2026.
Mavericks +7.5 (+100)
- Edge: 4.8%
- Probability: 54.8%
- Matchup: Rockets vs. Mavericks (8:30PM ET, Saturday)
Our model has identified value on Mavericks +7.5 at +100 odds. A 54.8% probability produces an edge of 4.8%, making this the strongest play for today's NBA slate.
Jazz +12.5 (-110)
- Edge: 4.4%
- Probability: 56.7%
- Matchup: Jazz vs. Warriors (10:00PM ET, Saturday)
Jazz +12.5 carries a 4.4% edge and a probability of 56.7% at -110 odds, according to our model.
Timberwolves ML (-135)
- Edge: 3.1%
- Probability: 60.5%
- Matchup: Timberwolves vs. Heat (5:00PM ET, Saturday)
Timberwolves ML at -135 odds shows a 3.1% edge, supported by a 60.5% probability in simulations.
Bulls ML (-125)
- Edge: 3.0%
- Probability: 58.6%
- Matchup: Hornets vs. Bulls (8:00PM ET, Saturday)
A 3.0% edge and 58.6% probability make Bulls at the moneyline at a value play in the Hornets vs. Bulls matchup, per our model.
Trail Blazers +8.5 (-102)
- Edge: 2.3%
- Probability: 52.8%
- Matchup: Trail Blazers vs. Spurs (8:00PM ET, Saturday)
Trail Blazers +8.5 at -102 odds presents a 2.3% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 52.8%.
NBA best bets summary: Saturday, 1/3/2026
As of 5:03AM ET, here are our top NBA bets by edge recommended by our model:
| Matchup | Bet | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rockets vs. Mavericks | Mavericks +7.5 | +100 @ DraftKings | 4.8% | 54.8% |
| Jazz vs. Warriors | Jazz +12.5 | -110 @ BetMGM | 4.4% | 56.7% |
| Timberwolves vs. Heat | Timberwolves ML | -135 @ BetMGM | 3.1% | 60.5% |
| Hornets vs. Bulls | Bulls ML | -125 @ DraftKings | 3.0% | 58.6% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | Trail Blazers +8.5 | -102 @ DraftKings | 2.3% | 52.8% |
List of upcoming NBA games to bet on [1/3/2026]
- Timberwolves vs. Heat (5:00PM ET, Saturday)
- 76ers vs. Knicks (7:30PM ET, Saturday)
- Hawks vs. Raptors (7:30PM ET, Saturday)
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs (8:00PM ET, Saturday)
- Hornets vs. Bulls (8:00PM ET, Saturday)
- Rockets vs. Mavericks (8:30PM ET, Saturday)
- Jazz vs. Warriors (10:00PM ET, Saturday)
- Celtics vs. Clippers (10:30PM ET, Saturday)
What Is Dimebot?
Dimebot is Dimers’ AI bet assistant, designed to surface swift insights, answer betting questions, and help you explore data more efficiently.
Conclusion
Our NBA best bets are locked and loaded for January 3, 2026, featuring plays such as Mavericks +7.5 and Jazz +12.5. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.
This article, enhanced by AI and automation, aims to deliver accurate NBA insights quickly, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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