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Hawks vs. Celtics prediction: Boston to win, Jayson Tatum projected for 26 points in Friday's NBA game [3/27/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Atlanta Hawks vs Boston Celtics predictions for NBA Friday.
The Boston Celtics and Atlanta Hawks will meet in NBA action at TD Garden on Friday, with tipoff at 7:30 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations and today’s injury news, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Celtics as the most likely winner of the Hawks vs. Celtics game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Celtics lineup will feature players like Jayson Tatum, Derrick White and Payton Pritchard, while the Hawks will be led by Jalen Johnson, Nickeil Alexander-Walker and CJ McCollum.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Hawks vs. Celtics prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Friday's NBA game between the Hawks and Celtics, forming part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Celtics a 67% chance of defeating the Hawks. Our predicted final score has the Celtics winning 114-109.
According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Hawks and Celtics each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 224.5 points has a 52% chance of staying under.
Hawks vs. Celtics odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Hawks | Celtics |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +4.5 (+100) | -4.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | +180 | -210 |
| Total | o224.5 (-110) | u224.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Hawks vs. Celtics picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Hawks +4.5 | +100 |
| Moneyline | Celtics | -210 |
| Total | Under 224.5 | -110 |
According to our best NBA bets for Friday, the top play to make on this game is Hawks +4.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Hawks vs. Celtics player props
NBA prop bets are an enjoyable way to wager on Friday's Hawks vs. Celtics matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at TD Garden.
Jalen Johnson is expected to lead the Hawks with 22 points, 10 rebounds and 7 assists, while Jayson Tatum is projected to have 26 points, 9 rebounds and 5 assists for the Celtics.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Hawks prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Hawks are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Johnson | 22 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 51 |
| N. Alexander-Walker | 18 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 33 |
| CJ McCollum | 16 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 30 |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 13 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 31 |
| Dyson Daniels | 12 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 33 |
Celtics prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Celtics:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum | 26 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 51 |
| Derrick White | 18 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 40 |
| P. Pritchard | 17 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 35 |
| Neemias Queta | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 31 |
| Sam Hauser | 11 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 22 |
Hawks vs. Celtics game-day updates and essential details
Friday's game between the Celtics and Hawks at TD Garden is scheduled to begin at 7:30 PM ET.
- Who: Atlanta Hawks vs. Boston Celtics
- Date: Friday, March 27, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
- Venue: TD Garden
Conclusion
We predict the Celtics, with a 67% win probability, will likely beat the Hawks on Friday, with Jayson Tatum projected for a game-high 51 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Hawks vs. Celtics insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our responsible gambling hub.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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