Anastasia Potapova vs. Jelena Ostapenko prediction, odds, picks for WTA Madrid Open 2026

Anastasia Potapova and Jelena Ostapenko will lock horns in the round of 32 of the WTA Madrid Open event on Sunday.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced tennis model predicts Jelena Ostapenko as the most likely winner of the Potapova vs. Ostapenko match.

This article offers a closer look at Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.

Potapova vs. Ostapenko prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 16?

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's Potapova-Ostapenko women's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives Ostapenko a 52% chance of defeating Potapova at the WTA Madrid Open tournament.

Additionally, Ostapenko has a 51% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Potapova (+1.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the over 21.5 games has a 52% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Anastasia Potapova vs. Jelena Ostapenko odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Potapova vs. Ostapenko picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 21.5 total games.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Potapova vs. Ostapenko updates and essential details

The WTA Madrid Open match between Anastasia Potapova and Jelena Ostapenko is scheduled to begin on Sunday at 3:30 PM ET.

• Who: Anastasia Potapova vs. Jelena Ostapenko
• Date: Sunday, April 26, 2026
• Approx. Time: 3:30 PM ET/12:30PM PT
• Tournament: WTA Madrid, Spain Women's Singles 2026
• Round: Round of 32

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Jelena Ostapenko, with a 52% win probability, will likely beat Anastasia Potapova at the WTA Madrid Open tournament.

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