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Anastasia Potapova vs. Jelena Ostapenko prediction, odds, picks for WTA Madrid Open 2026
Get Potapova vs Ostapenko predictions for WTA Madrid Open.

Anastasia Potapova will square off with Jelena Ostapenko in the round of 32 at the WTA Madrid event on Sunday.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced tennis model predicts Jelena Ostapenko as the most likely winner of the Potapova vs. Ostapenko match.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.
Potapova vs. Ostapenko prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 16?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's Potapova-Ostapenko women's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives Ostapenko a 51% chance of defeating Potapova at the WTA Madrid Open tournament.
Additionally, Ostapenko has a 51% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show that the bookmakers have got it right with the +0.5 games spread, with each player projected to have a 50-50 chance of covering, while the over 21.5 games has a 51% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Anastasia Potapova vs. Jelena Ostapenko odds
We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Potapova | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +104 | -120 |
| First Set | +100 | -125 |
| Game Spread | +0.5 (-110) | -0.5 (-120) |
| Total Games | o21.5 (-118) | u21.5 (-118) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Potapova vs. Ostapenko picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Potapova | +104 |
| First Set | Ostapenko | -118 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Anastasia Potapova to win.
Although Potapova is less than likely to win, she provides the best value at the current available odds.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Potapova vs. Ostapenko updates and essential details
The WTA Madrid Open match between Anastasia Potapova and Jelena Ostapenko is scheduled to start on Sunday at 3:30 PM ET.
- Who: Anastasia Potapova vs. Jelena Ostapenko
- Date: Sunday, April 26, 2026
- Approx. Time: 3:30 PM ET/12:30PM PT
- Tournament: WTA Madrid, Spain Women's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 32
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
We predict Jelena Ostapenko, with a 51% win probability, will likely beat Anastasia Potapova at the WTA Madrid Open tournament.
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