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Anastasia Potapova vs. Jelena Ostapenko prediction, odds, picks for WTA Madrid Open 2026

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Written by Mac Douglass

Get Potapova vs Ostapenko predictions for WTA Madrid Open.

Anastasia Potapova vs Jelena Ostapenko Tennis Prediction.
Our Anastasia Potapova and Jelena Ostapenko tennis prediction is based on thousands of simulations of the upcoming match.

Anastasia Potapova will square off with Jelena Ostapenko in the round of 32 at the WTA Madrid event on Sunday.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced tennis model predicts Jelena Ostapenko as the most likely winner of the Potapova vs. Ostapenko match.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.

Potapova vs. Ostapenko prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 16?

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's Potapova-Ostapenko women's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives Ostapenko a 51% chance of defeating Potapova at the WTA Madrid Open tournament.

Additionally, Ostapenko has a 51% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show that the bookmakers have got it right with the +0.5 games spread, with each player projected to have a 50-50 chance of covering, while the over 21.5 games has a 51% chance of hitting, according to our model.

 

Anastasia Potapova vs. Jelena Ostapenko odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

Bet Type Potapova Ostapenko
Moneyline +104 -120
First Set +100 -125
Game Spread +0.5 (-110) -0.5 (-120)
Total Games o21.5 (-118) u21.5 (-118)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Potapova vs. Ostapenko picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

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Written by
Mac Douglass
Senior Editor

Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.

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