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2026 Masters Tournament predictions: Golf picks and best bets
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Reviewed by Nick Slade
The 2026 PGA TOUR heads to the 90th edition of the Masters Tournament and we've got our best bets from the Dimers model at Augusta National.
The Dimers golf predictions and best golf bets are back for the 90th edition of the Masters Tournament, teeing off on Thursday, April 9 through Sunday, April 12 at the famous Augusta National Golf Club in Georgia. After we correctly identified Cameron Young to win THE PLAYERS, and Matt Fitzpatrick to win the Valspar Championship in recent weeks, we've got the latest best golf bets to make at the 2026 Masters.
Rory McIlroy returns to defend the title that completed his career Grand Slam, but has a different cloud over his head this time; rather than carrying the burden of that lifelong pursuit, he arrives winless in 2026 and withdrew from the Arnold Palmer Invitational. Still, see why we like him to best his LIV counterpart at Augusta.
Scottie Scheffler, meanwhile, makes his return to competitive golf just ten days after the birth of his second son, and while he's shown some rust of late relative to his own sky-high standards, he did win his first start of the year and has claimed the green jacket in two of his last four Masters appearances.
Augusta National is as iconic as it gets in world golf, and the 7,565-yard layout will demand every ounce of skill the game's best players can muster. The course features generous fairways off the tee, but it's from there that the challenge escalates dramatically and precise mid-to-long iron approaches and the ability to navigate sloped, lightning-fast greens are what separate contenders from the pack across four days.
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The par 5s are where the Masters can be won and lost, and they remain one the most entertaining of Augusta National's design. The set of four holes is among the shortest par fives on TOUR, reachable in two shots.
Players with proven major championship pedigree and a strong track record at this specific venue will carry a clear advantage and it's no surprise Augusta National boasts the most predictive course history on the PGA TOUR calendar.
This year's field of 91 players is among the strongest ever assembled for the event, with every player currently ranked in the world's top 50 making the trip to Augusta. The top 50 and ties will advance to weekend play, ensuring the cut will be fiercely competitive.
2026 Masters Tournament preview
- Date: April 9-12, 2026
- Location: Augusta, GA
- Course: Augusta National
- Par: 72 / 7,565 yards
- Purse: N/A
- 2025 winner: Rory McIlroy (-11 playoff)
Based on data from the Dimers golf model, below are the five most likely winners of the 90th Masters Tournament.
Our win predictions are the result of simulating the tournament over 10,000 times via our AI models, as well as each golfer's odds to finish Top 5, 10 and 20:
| Golfer | Win% | Top 5% | Top 10% | Top 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. Scottie Scheffler | 15.6% | 42.1% | 59.8% | 76.1% |
| 2. Tommy Fleetwood | 5.8% | 22.4% | 37.3% | 58.7% |
| 3. Rory McIlroy | 5.0% | 21.7% | 37.0% | 58.3% |
| 4. Jon Rahm | 4.3% | 18.7% | 33.6% | 54.8% |
| 5. Bryson DeChambeau | 4.3% | 18.3% | 31.2% | 51.2% |
Who will win the 90th Masters Tournament?
For each tournament, we look at the golfers our model has identified with a higher probability to win than what is implied by the sportsbook odds.
We'll also highlight any standout prop and placement bets for other golfers if we find any appealing value hidden in the Dimers golf predictions.
To get the most out of this week's PGA TOUR event, check out Dimers' full tournament predictions and compare with course history and other analytics to find an edge.
Dimers' boosted pick: Collin Morikawa to win (boosted to +6600 on bet365)
Win probability: 2.1%
Dimers' fair odds: +4660
Morikawa represents one of the most interesting value plays on the board if he's healthy.
He's made five straight top-18 finishes across six Augusta trips, is one of the best ball-strikers in the field this season, and finally delivered a long-overdue signature win at Pebble Beach in February.
The concern however, lies with a lingering back injury forced him out after just one hole at THE PLAYERS, and he subsequently withdrew from the Valero Texas Open before teeing off.
His health is the key question mark this week, but if he's right physically, Augusta suits his game as well as almost anyone's and both his base odds of +4200 and Dimers' boosted price of +6600 at bet365 is unlikely to be seen tied to Morikawa again this year.
Our boosted odds on Collin Morikawa at bet365 - odds subject to change.
Tommy Fleetwood to win (+2300 on DraftKings)
Win probability: 5.8%
Dimers' fair odds: +1620 and above
Fleetwood is back in the conversation as one of the most compelling top-tier plays at Augusta.
Last year's FedEx Cup champion arrives in elite form, dating back to before his breakthrough 2025 win, with a win and seven top-10s in his last 12 starts.
He's made eight consecutive cuts at Augusta, punctuated by a T-3 in 2024, his best Masters result, and this year he ranks 8th in the field in tee-to-green and 9th in par-4 scoring, two hallmarks of Masters champions.
The elephant in the room remains his major championship ceiling: the Englishman is still winless in majors with nothing better than a T-16 across last year's full major slate.
The form is undeniable, the course fit is strong, the only question is whether he can finally break through on the biggest stage.
Robert MacIntyre to win (+3400 on DraftKings)
Win probability: 3.4%
Dimers' fair odds: +2840 and above
Following a heartbreaker with last week's Dimers' edge on Roebrt Macintyre, the Scotsman is quietly one of the hottest major performers right now.
A runner-up at the U.S. Open and a T-7 at The Open last year, he's added a 4th place finish at THE PLAYERS this season and has posted three finishes inside the Top 5 in 2026, including his last two events.
His two top-25s at Augusta already signal he's adapted to the course, and his profile as an elite driver and putter fits the Augusta blueprint perfectly.
The "when, not if" major winner narrative is building for "Bobby Mac", and at +3400, he's the most buzzworthy mid-tier name in the field, with an edge in each of his Top 20, Top 10 and Top 5 placements as well.
Masters Tournament longshot bet
Beyond the Dimers model favorites, several golfers have an outright edge at odds of more than 50/1, setting up longshot bets for winners or Top 20 placements at good plus-money value.
Akshay Bhatia to win (+6500 on DraftKings)
Win probability: 2.0%
Dimers' fair odds: +4900
Akshay Bhatia is an intriguing long shot with some genuine Augusta pedigree for his age.
The young lefty is 2-for-2 making cuts at Augusta, a course that has historically favored left-handed players, and his recent win at the Arnold Palmer Invitational adds a legitimate résumé-builder to his profile.
He's gained strokes over his last five events, and his putter and wedge game have been elite, exactly the weapons that Augusta rewards.
The concern is his major championship track record with just one top-30 finish across nine career major starts.
He's supremely talented, however, and will take his game to the next level soon enough, with the Dimers model finding an edge on him to do so this week, profiling as a ladder play with an edge all the way up the board.
Dimers' golf resources for 2026 PGA TOUR
As well as being your best source for PGA golf predictions, Dimers Pros also have access to the latest golf news, golf predictions for every game, weekly golf rankings, and golf matchup H2H tool.
- PGA Predictions: Our data-backed predictions for every tournament, including every major.
- Head-to-Head Predictor: Simulate any H2H tournament matchup between golfers
- Dimers' PGA Rankings: Our in-house approach to ranking the World's best golfers
- PGA Betting News: The latest promos, storylines and more around the PGA TOUR
The Dimers Pro golf predictions ended last season on an elite run, headlined by Tommy Fleetwood's first win at the TOUR Championship.
This season, we've accurately identified the live value on Justin Rose to win the Farmers Insurance Open at +500 and big edges on Tommy Fleetwood at Pebble Beach and our boosted pick of Cameron Young to win THE PLAYERS as standout winners of the year.
Dimers and responsible gambling
Please remember to enjoy gambling responsibly. Responsible gambling means setting limits, staying in control, and understanding that luck is just part of the game. Make informed choices, set a budget, and know when to take a break. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.
To give you the most accurate and helpful information, this article has been reviewed and edited by Nick Slade through our fact-checking process.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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