Pelicans vs. Kings Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Pelicans vs. Kings NBA game on March 5, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA sport icon
NBA
Pelicans
133
123
Golden 1 Center
Kings
Golden 1 Center
TEAM1234T
Pelicans
26 105 0 0 133
Kings
30 89 0 0 123
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Pelicans
    98%
  • Kings
    2%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Pelicans
26 105 0 0 133
Kings
30 89 0 0 123
Q4 00:00 Micah Peavy misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:08 Malik Monk makes two point jump shot (Russell Westbrook assists)
Q4 00:52 Precious Achiuwa makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:07 Trey Murphy III misses three point pullup jump shot
Q4 1:28 Kings misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:38 Pelicans makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:49 Trey Murphy III makes three point jump shot
Q4 2:03 Kings misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:23 Herbert Jones makes three point jump shot (Trey Murphy III assists)
Q4 2:44 Kings makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
  1. Q4 00:00
    Precious Achiuwa defensive rebound
  2. Q4 00:00
    End of 4th Quarter.
  3. Q4 00:00
    Micah Peavy misses three point jump shot
  4. Q4 00:08
    +2
    Malik Monk makes two point jump shot (Russell Westbrook assists)
    131-119
  5. Q4 00:22
    DeMar DeRozan shooting foul (Micah Peavy draws the foul)
  6. Q4 00:22
    +1
    Micah Peavy makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    131-119
  7. Q4 00:22
    +1
    Micah Peavy makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    131-119
  8. Q4 00:39
    Pelicans lineup change (Derik Queen, Micah Peavy, Bryce McGowens, Karlo Matkovic, Jeremiah Fears)
  9. Q4 00:39
    +1
    Russell Westbrook makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    131-119
  10. Q4 00:39
    +1
    Russell Westbrook makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    131-119
  11. Q4 00:39
    Jeremiah Fears personal foul
  12. Q4 00:40
    Jeremiah Fears turnover (lost ball) (Russell Westbrook steals)
  13. Q4 00:52
    +3
    Precious Achiuwa makes three point jump shot
    131-119
  14. Q4 1:02
    Pelicans personal foul
  15. Q4 1:02
    Pelicans lineup change (Derik Queen, Herbert Jones, Bryce McGowens, Karlo Matkovic, Jeremiah Fears)
  16. Q4 1:05
    Precious Achiuwa defensive rebound
  17. Q4 1:07
    Trey Murphy III misses three point pullup jump shot
  18. Q4 1:25
    Herbert Jones defensive rebound
  19. Q4 1:28
    Kings misses two point jump shot
  20. Q4 1:38
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    131-116
  21. Q4 1:41
    Russell Westbrook turnover (Trey Murphy III steals)
  22. Q4 1:49
    +3
    Trey Murphy III makes three point jump shot
    129-116
  23. Q4 1:49
    Kings 60 second timeout
  24. Q4 2:01
    Trey Murphy III defensive rebound
  25. Q4 2:03
    Kings misses two point jump shot
  26. Q4 2:23
    +3
    Herbert Jones makes three point jump shot (Trey Murphy III assists)
    126-116
  27. Q4 2:44
    +2
    Kings makes two point jump shot
    131-116
  28. Q4 2:45
    Drew Eubanks offensive rebound
  29. Q4 2:49
    Kings misses two point jump shot
  30. Q4 3:02
    Malik Monk personal foul (Zion Williamson draws the foul)
  31. Q4 3:02
    +1
    Zion Williamson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    131-119
  32. Q4 3:02
    Zion Williamson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  33. Q4 3:02
    Pelicans offensive rebound
  34. Q4 3:11
    Pelicans 60 second timeout
  35. Q4 3:13
    Pelicans lineup change (Herbert Jones, Trey Murphy III, Zion Williamson, Saddiq Bey, Karlo Matkovic)
  36. Q4 3:14
    +2
    Kings makes two point jump shot
    131-119
  37. Q4 3:25
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    131-119
  38. Q4 3:45
    +2
    Kings makes two point jump shot
    131-119
  39. Q4 3:47
    Precious Achiuwa offensive rebound
  40. Q4 3:49
    Kings misses three point jump shot
  41. Q4 3:51
    Drew Eubanks offensive rebound
  42. Q4 3:59
    Kings misses three point jump shot
  43. Q4 4:01
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  44. Q4 4:13
    Pelicans personal foul
  45. Q4 4:27
    Zion Williamson offensive rebound
  46. Q4 4:27
    +2
    Zion Williamson makes two point putback dunk
    131-119
  47. Q4 4:30
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  48. Q4 4:45
    Jeremiah Fears personal foul
  49. Q4 4:45
    Drew Eubanks misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  50. Q4 4:45
    Kings offensive rebound
  51. Q4 4:45
    +1
    Drew Eubanks makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    131-119
  52. Q4 4:45
    Pelicans lineup change (Derik Queen, Trey Murphy III, Zion Williamson, Saddiq Bey, Jeremiah Fears)
  53. Q4 4:51
    Precious Achiuwa defensive rebound
  54. Q4 4:54
    Derik Queen misses three point jump shot
  55. Q4 5:12
    +2
    Drew Eubanks makes two point alley-oop layup (Russell Westbrook assists)
    118-109
  56. Q4 5:21
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    118-107
  57. Q4 5:21
    Kings 60 second timeout
  58. Q4 5:21
    Kings lineup change (Drew Eubanks, DeMar DeRozan, Malik Monk, Precious Achiuwa, Russell Westbrook)
  59. Q4 5:26
    Trey Murphy III defensive rebound
  60. Q4 5:31
    Russell Westbrook misses two point jump shot
  61. Q4 5:35
    Drew Eubanks defensive rebound
  62. Q4 5:36
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  63. Q4 5:36
    Jeremiah Fears offensive rebound
  64. Q4 5:38
    Bryce McGowens misses three point jump shot
  65. Q4 5:41
    Jump ball. Jeremiah Fears vs. Precious Achiuwa (Derik Queen gains possession)
  66. Q4 5:47
    Pelicans offensive rebound
  67. Q4 5:47
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  68. Q4 5:54
    +2
    Kings makes two point jump shot
    131-116
  69. Q4 5:56
    Malik Monk defensive rebound
  70. Q4 5:59
    Zion Williamson misses two point running layup
  71. Q4 6:06
    Zion Williamson defensive rebound
  72. Q4 6:08
    Kings misses two point jump shot
  73. Q4 6:28
    Daeqwon Plowden personal foul (Zion Williamson draws the foul)
  74. Q4 6:28
    +1
    Zion Williamson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    131-119
  75. Q4 6:28
    +1
    Zion Williamson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    131-119
  76. Q4 6:36
    +2
    Kings makes two point jump shot
    118-107
  77. Q4 6:36
    Pelicans 60 second timeout
  78. Q4 6:36
    Pelicans lineup change (Derik Queen, Trey Murphy III, Zion Williamson, Bryce McGowens, Jeremiah Fears)
  79. Q4 6:46
    Precious Achiuwa defensive rebound
  80. Q4 6:47
    Derik Queen misses two point driving floating jump shot
  81. Q4 7:17
    +2
    Drew Eubanks makes two point jump shot (Russell Westbrook assists)
    114-103
  82. Q4 7:32
    +3
    Jeremiah Fears makes three point jump shot
    114-101
  83. Q4 7:46
    Pelicans defensive rebound
  84. Q4 7:46
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  85. Q4 7:46
    Pelicans lineup change (Derik Queen, Zion Williamson, Bryce McGowens, Saddiq Bey, Jeremiah Fears)
  86. Q4 7:46
    Kings lineup change (Drew Eubanks, Malik Monk, Precious Achiuwa, Daeqwon Plowden, Russell Westbrook)
  87. Q4 7:48
    Malik Monk misses three point jump shot
  88. Q4 7:55
    Drew Eubanks defensive rebound
  89. Q4 7:58
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  90. Q4 8:17
    +2
    Kings makes two point jump shot
    111-101
  91. Q4 8:28
    Drew Eubanks defensive rebound
  92. Q4 8:32
    Karlo Matkovic misses three point jump shot
  93. Q4 8:47
    Jeremiah Fears offensive rebound
  94. Q4 8:51
    Precious Achiuwa blocks Bryce McGowens's two point jump shot
  95. Q4 8:53
    Bryce McGowens defensive rebound
  96. Q4 8:56
    Malik Monk misses two point driving layup
  97. Q4 8:56
    Malik Monk turnover (lost ball)
  98. Q4 9:12
    Malik Monk shooting foul (Saddiq Bey draws the foul)
  99. Q4 9:12
    +1
    Saddiq Bey makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    111-101
  100. Q4 9:12
    Pelicans lineup change (Derik Queen, Bryce McGowens, Saddiq Bey, Karlo Matkovic, Jeremiah Fears)
  101. Q4 9:12
    Pelicans lineup change (Derik Queen, Bryce McGowens, Saddiq Bey, Karlo Matkovic, Jeremiah Fears)
  102. Q4 9:12
    +1
    Saddiq Bey makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    131-116
  103. Q4 9:27
    +1
    Precious Achiuwa makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    118-107
  104. Q4 9:27
    Karlo Matkovic shooting foul (Precious Achiuwa draws the foul)
  105. Q4 9:27
    Precious Achiuwa misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  106. Q4 9:27
    Kings offensive rebound
  107. Q4 9:48
    Precious Achiuwa shooting foul (Saddiq Bey draws the foul)
  108. Q4 9:48
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  109. Q4 9:48
    +1
    Saddiq Bey makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    118-107
  110. Q4 9:48
    +1
    Saddiq Bey makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    131-119
  111. Q4 10:09
    +3
    Daeqwon Plowden makes three point jump shot
    107-98
  112. Q4 10:17
    Precious Achiuwa defensive rebound
  113. Q4 10:20
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  114. Q4 10:31
    +2
    Killian Hayes makes two point jump shot
    107-95
  115. Q4 10:52
    +2
    Saddiq Bey makes two point jump shot
    107-93
  116. Q4 11:08
    +2
    Kings makes two point jump shot
    105-93
  117. Q4 11:12
    Daeqwon Plowden defensive rebound
  118. Q4 11:16
    Herbert Jones misses three point jump shot
  119. Q4 11:24
    Bryce McGowens offensive rebound
  120. Q4 11:26
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  121. Q4 11:37
    Herbert Jones defensive rebound
  122. Q4 11:41
    Killian Hayes misses three point jump shot
  123. Q4 12:00
    Pelicans lineup change (Derik Queen, Herbert Jones, Bryce McGowens, Saddiq Bey, Karlo Matkovic)
  124. Q3 00:00
    Kings offensive rebound
  125. Q3 00:00
    Killian Hayes misses two point jump shot
  126. Q3 00:00
    End of 3rd Quarter.
  127. Q3 00:04
    +3
    Pelicans makes three point jump shot
    114-103
  128. Q3 00:20
    +2
    Kings makes two point jump shot
    114-103
  129. Q3 00:22
    Killian Hayes defensive rebound
  130. Q3 00:25
    Jeremiah Fears misses two point jump shot
  131. Q3 00:28
    Karlo Matkovic offensive rebound
  132. Q3 00:31
    Herbert Jones misses three point pullup jump shot
  133. Q3 00:50
    Derik Queen defensive rebound
  134. Q3 00:52
    +2
    Kings makes two point jump shot
    102-89
  135. Q3 00:52
    Jeremiah Fears shooting foul (Drew Eubanks draws the foul)
  136. Q3 00:52
    Drew Eubanks misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  137. Q3 1:00
    Drew Eubanks offensive rebound
  138. Q3 1:04
    Daeqwon Plowden misses three point jump shot
  139. Q3 1:12
    Drew Eubanks defensive rebound
  140. Q3 1:17
    Bryce McGowens misses three point jump shot
  141. Q3 1:26
    Killian Hayes personal foul (Jeremiah Fears draws the foul)
  142. Q3 1:32
    Pelicans personal foul
  143. Q3 1:32
    +1
    Killian Hayes makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    118-107
  144. Q3 1:32
    Pelicans lineup change (Derik Queen, Herbert Jones, Bryce McGowens, Karlo Matkovic, Jeremiah Fears)
  145. Q3 1:32
    +1
    Killian Hayes makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    131-119
  146. Q3 1:43
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    102-85
  147. Q3 1:56
    +2
    Malik Monk makes two point jump shot (Killian Hayes assists)
    118-107
  148. Q3 2:06
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    118-107
  149. Q3 2:15
    Derik Queen defensive rebound
  150. Q3 2:19
    Malik Monk misses three point jump shot
  151. Q3 2:32
    +3
    Pelicans makes three point jump shot
    118-107
  152. Q3 2:52
    +2
    Malik Monk makes two point jump shot
    118-107
  153. Q3 3:05
    Kings 60 second timeout
  154. Q3 3:05
    Kings lineup change (Drew Eubanks, Killian Hayes, Malik Monk, Precious Achiuwa, Daeqwon Plowden)
  155. Q3 3:07
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    107-98
  156. Q3 3:18
    Pelicans defensive rebound
  157. Q3 3:18
    Pelicans lineup change (Derik Queen, Trey Murphy III, Bryce McGowens, Karlo Matkovic, Jeremiah Fears)
  158. Q3 3:18
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  159. Q3 3:22
    Kings misses three point jump shot
  160. Q3 3:35
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    118-107
  161. Q3 3:45
    Trey Murphy III defensive rebound
  162. Q3 3:45
    Kings misses two point jump shot
  163. Q3 4:01
    +3
    Pelicans makes three point jump shot
    118-107
  164. Q3 4:11
    Russell Westbrook personal foul (Karlo Matkovic draws the foul)
  165. Q3 4:15
    Kings turnover
  166. Q3 4:32
    Kings lineup change (Maxime Raynaud, Malik Monk, Precious Achiuwa, Daeqwon Plowden, Russell Westbrook)
  167. Q3 4:32
    Kings 60 second timeout
  168. Q3 4:33
    +3
    Saddiq Bey makes three point jump shot (Zion Williamson assists)
    118-107
  169. Q3 4:41
    Maxime Raynaud turnover (Karlo Matkovic steals)
  170. Q3 4:57
    +3
    Saddiq Bey makes three point jump shot
    118-107
  171. Q3 5:14
    Karlo Matkovic defensive rebound
  172. Q3 5:18
    Kings misses three point jump shot
  173. Q3 5:23
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  174. Q3 5:44
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    118-107
  175. Q3 5:52
    Jeremiah Fears defensive rebound
  176. Q3 5:55
    Karlo Matkovic shooting foul (Precious Achiuwa draws the foul)
  177. Q3 5:55
    Russell Westbrook offensive rebound
  178. Q3 5:55
    +1
    Precious Achiuwa makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    118-107
  179. Q3 5:55
    Precious Achiuwa misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  180. Q3 5:57
    Kings misses three point jump shot
  181. Q3 6:17
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    107-98
  182. Q3 6:35
    +2
    Precious Achiuwa makes two point jump shot
    78-80
  183. Q3 6:57
    Pelicans turnover
  184. Q3 7:14
    +2
    Kings makes two point jump shot
    118-107
  185. Q3 7:14
    Pelicans 60 second timeout
  186. Q3 7:14
    Pelicans lineup change (Trey Murphy III, Zion Williamson, Saddiq Bey, Karlo Matkovic, Jeremiah Fears)
  187. Q3 7:18
    Nique Clifford defensive rebound
  188. Q3 7:21
    Trey Murphy III misses two point jump shot
  189. Q3 7:29
    Trey Murphy III defensive rebound
  190. Q3 7:33
    Kings misses two point jump shot
  191. Q3 7:44
    Yves Missi turnover (out of bounds step)
  192. Q3 7:46
    DeMar DeRozan turnover (lost ball)
  193. Q3 7:47
    Yves Missi turnover (bad pass)
  194. Q3 8:01
    +2
    Precious Achiuwa makes two point driving layup
    131-119
  195. Q3 8:05
    Maxime Raynaud defensive rebound
  196. Q3 8:08
    Zion Williamson misses two point fadeaway jump shot
  197. Q3 8:26
    +2
    Precious Achiuwa makes two point driving finger roll layup (Russell Westbrook assists)
    118-107
  198. Q3 8:37
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    78-72
  199. Q3 8:49
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  200. Q3 9:00
    Pelicans defensive rebound
  201. Q3 9:00
    Kings misses two point jump shot
  202. Q3 9:01
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  203. Q3 9:19
    +3
    Herbert Jones makes three point jump shot
    76-72
  204. Q3 9:29
    +2
    DeMar DeRozan makes two point jump shot
    73-72
  205. Q3 9:49
    +2
    Yves Missi makes two point jump shot (Trey Murphy III assists)
    73-70
  206. Q3 10:11
    +2
    Russell Westbrook makes two point running jump shot
    71-69
  207. Q3 10:11
    Pelicans personal foul
  208. Q3 10:11
    +1
    Russell Westbrook makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    131-119
  209. Q3 10:14
    Maxime Raynaud defensive rebound
  210. Q3 10:16
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  211. Q3 10:31
    +2
    Kings makes two point jump shot
    71-67
  212. Q3 10:38
    Maxime Raynaud defensive rebound
  213. Q3 10:43
    Herbert Jones misses three point jump shot
  214. Q3 11:04
    +2
    Maxime Raynaud makes two point jump shot (Nique Clifford assists)
    71-65
  215. Q3 11:17
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    71-63
  216. Q3 11:25
    Zion Williamson defensive rebound
  217. Q3 11:29
    Kings misses two point jump shot
  218. Q3 11:45
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    69-63
  219. Q2 00:00
    Derik Queen misses three point jump shot
  220. Q3 12:00
    Pelicans lineup change (Yves Missi, Herbert Jones, Trey Murphy III, Zion Williamson, Saddiq Bey)
  221. Q3 12:00
    Kings lineup change (Nique Clifford, DeMar DeRozan, Maxime Raynaud, Precious Achiuwa, Russell Westbrook)
  222. Q2 00:00
    Derik Queen misses heave shot
  223. Q2 00:00
    Pelicans offensive rebound
  224. Q2 1:00
    Herbert Jones turnover (bad pass)
  225. Q2 2:14
    Pelicans lineup change (Derik Queen, Yves Missi, Herbert Jones, Trey Murphy III, Bryce McGowens)
  226. Q2 2:27
    Pelicans lineup change (Derik Queen, Yves Missi, Herbert Jones, Trey Murphy III, Bryce McGowens)
  227. Q2 2:27
    Pelicans lineup change (Derik Queen, Yves Missi, Herbert Jones, Trey Murphy III, Bryce McGowens)
  228. Q2 2:27
    Pelicans lineup change (Derik Queen, Yves Missi, Herbert Jones, Trey Murphy III, Bryce McGowens)
  229. Q1 1:47
    DeMar DeRozan offensive rebound
  230. Q1 1:55
    DeMar DeRozan misses two point pullup jump shot
Box Score
Pelicans
PosPlayerPts
Kings
PosPlayerPts

Pelicans vs. Kings: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Pelicans vs. Kings
  • Date: Thursday, March 5, 2026
  • Time: 10:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Golden 1 Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Pelicans favored at -6.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 235.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Pelicans -260, Kings +225

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Pelicans: 72%
  • Kings: 28%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Pelicans 121-114 Kings.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Pelicans a win probability of 72%, while the Kings have a win probability of 28%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Pelicans are more likely to beat the Kings in the NBA game at Golden 1 Center on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Pelicans vs. Kings predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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