Cavaliers vs. Thunder Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Cavaliers vs. Thunder NBA game on February 22, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
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NBA
Cavaliers
113
121
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Thunder
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TEAM1234T
Cavaliers
25 30 31 27 113
Thunder
40 24 25 32 121
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Cavaliers
    <1%
  • Thunder
    >99%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Cavaliers
25 30 31 27 113
Thunder
40 24 25 32 121
Q4 00:03 Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:13 Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:22 Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:43 Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:55 Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:09 Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:18 Thunder makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:29 Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:38 Thunder makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:58 Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
  1. Q4 00:00
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  2. Q4 00:00
    End of 4th Quarter.
  3. Q4 00:03
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  4. Q4 00:05
    James Harden defensive rebound
  5. Q4 00:09
    Cavaliers personal foul
  6. Q4 00:09
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  7. Q4 00:09
    +1
    Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    113-121
  8. Q4 00:09
    Chet Holmgren misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  9. Q4 00:13
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  10. Q4 00:18
    Cavaliers personal foul
  11. Q4 00:18
    Chet Holmgren misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  12. Q4 00:18
    Thunder offensive rebound
  13. Q4 00:18
    +1
    Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    113-120
  14. Q4 00:18
    Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Aaron Wiggins, Kenrich Williams, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace)
  15. Q4 00:19
    Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
  16. Q4 00:21
    Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
  17. Q4 00:21
    Cavaliers personal foul
  18. Q4 00:21
    +1
    Isaiah Hartenstein makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    113-119
  19. Q4 00:21
    Isaiah Hartenstein misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  20. Q4 00:22
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  21. Q4 00:28
    Cavaliers personal foul
  22. Q4 00:28
    Cavaliers personal foul
  23. Q4 00:28
    Cavaliers lineup change (Sam Merrill, Dennis Schroder, Donovan Mitchell, Evan Mobley, Keon Ellis)
  24. Q4 00:28
    Cavaliers 60 second timeout
  25. Q4 00:28
    Instant replay
  26. Q4 00:28
    Isaiah Joe turnover (offensive foul)
  27. Q4 00:28
    Cavaliers lineup change (Sam Merrill, Donovan Mitchell, Evan Mobley, Keon Ellis, James Harden)
  28. Q4 00:28
    Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Aaron Wiggins, Isaiah Hartenstein, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace)
  29. Q4 00:28
    Cavaliers challenge timeout
  30. Q4 00:29
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  31. Q4 00:29
    Cavaliers lineup change (Sam Merrill, Donovan Mitchell, Evan Mobley, Keon Ellis, James Harden)
  32. Q4 00:29
    Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Joe, Aaron Wiggins, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace)
  33. Q4 00:39
    Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
  34. Q4 00:43
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  35. Q4 00:52
    Donovan Mitchell defensive rebound
  36. Q4 00:55
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  37. Q4 1:09
    +3
    Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
    113-118
  38. Q4 1:18
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    110-118
  39. Q4 1:29
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    110-116
  40. Q4 1:38
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    108-116
  41. Q4 1:58
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    108-114
  42. Q4 2:00
    Donovan Mitchell defensive rebound
  43. Q4 2:04
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  44. Q4 2:16
    Thunder offensive rebound
  45. Q4 2:16
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  46. Q4 2:16
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  47. Q4 2:21
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  48. Q4 2:27
    Luguentz Dort offensive rebound
  49. Q4 2:29
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  50. Q4 2:45
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    106-114
  51. Q4 2:56
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    104-114
  52. Q4 3:17
    Jarrett Allen offensive rebound
  53. Q4 3:17
    Thunder personal foul
  54. Q4 3:17
    Jarrett Allen misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  55. Q4 3:17
    Cavaliers offensive rebound
  56. Q4 3:17
    +1
    Jarrett Allen makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    104-112
  57. Q4 3:17
    Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Joe, Isaiah Hartenstein, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace)
  58. Q4 3:19
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  59. Q4 3:35
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    103-112
  60. Q4 3:37
    Cason Wallace offensive rebound
  61. Q4 3:40
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  62. Q4 4:05
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    103-109
  63. Q4 4:11
    Thunder personal foul
  64. Q4 4:25
    Jarrett Allen defensive rebound
  65. Q4 4:28
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  66. Q4 4:34
    Cavaliers turnover
  67. Q4 4:35
    Jarrett Allen offensive rebound
  68. Q4 4:37
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  69. Q4 4:50
    Jarrett Allen offensive rebound
  70. Q4 4:50
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  71. Q4 4:50
    Cavaliers 60 second timeout
  72. Q4 4:50
    Cavaliers lineup change (Sam Merrill, Donovan Mitchell, Evan Mobley, James Harden, Jarrett Allen)
  73. Q4 4:50
    Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Joe, Aaron Wiggins, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace)
  74. Q4 4:52
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  75. Q4 5:17
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    101-109
  76. Q4 5:35
    Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
  77. Q4 5:37
    Thunder personal foul
  78. Q4 5:37
    Cavaliers offensive rebound
  79. Q4 5:37
    Jarrett Allen misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  80. Q4 5:37
    Cavaliers lineup change (Sam Merrill, Donovan Mitchell, Keon Ellis, James Harden, Jarrett Allen)
  81. Q4 5:37
    Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Joe, Aaron Wiggins, Isaiah Hartenstein, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace)
  82. Q4 5:37
    Jarrett Allen misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  83. Q4 5:38
    Nae'Qwan Tomlin offensive rebound
  84. Q4 5:42
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  85. Q4 6:00
    Thunder turnover
  86. Q4 6:18
    +3
    Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
    101-106
  87. Q4 6:42
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    98-106
  88. Q4 6:52
    Cavaliers personal foul
  89. Q4 6:52
    James Harden turnover (offensive foul)
  90. Q4 7:09
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    98-104
  91. Q4 7:22
    Aaron Wiggins offensive rebound
  92. Q4 7:25
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  93. Q4 7:36
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  94. Q4 7:36
    Cavaliers lineup change (Sam Merrill, Nae'Qwan Tomlin, Keon Ellis, James Harden, Jarrett Allen)
  95. Q4 7:36
    Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Joe, Aaron Wiggins, Isaiah Hartenstein, Kenrich Williams, Cason Wallace)
  96. Q4 7:36
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  97. Q4 7:47
    +3
    Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
    98-102
  98. Q4 8:04
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    95-102
  99. Q4 8:18
    Thunder personal foul
  100. Q4 8:18
    +1
    Evan Mobley makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    94-99
  101. Q4 8:18
    Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Isaiah Hartenstein, Kenrich Williams, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace)
  102. Q4 8:18
    Cavaliers lineup change (Sam Merrill, Nae'Qwan Tomlin, Evan Mobley, Keon Ellis, James Harden)
  103. Q4 8:18
    +1
    Evan Mobley makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    95-99
  104. Q4 8:28
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    93-99
  105. Q4 8:44
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    93-97
  106. Q4 9:12
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    91-97
  107. Q4 9:15
    Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
  108. Q4 9:16
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  109. Q4 9:28
    Cavaliers turnover
  110. Q4 9:28
    Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Aaron Wiggins, Kenrich Williams, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace)
  111. Q4 9:28
    Cavaliers lineup change (Nae'Qwan Tomlin, Donovan Mitchell, Evan Mobley, Keon Ellis, James Harden)
  112. Q4 9:31
    Dennis Schroder defensive rebound
  113. Q4 9:33
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  114. Q4 9:37
    Nikola Topic offensive rebound
  115. Q4 9:40
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  116. Q4 9:48
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  117. Q4 9:50
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  118. Q4 10:01
    Thunder turnover
  119. Q4 10:09
    Cavaliers personal foul
  120. Q4 10:09
    Cavaliers lineup change (Dennis Schroder, Nae'Qwan Tomlin, Donovan Mitchell, Evan Mobley, Keon Ellis)
  121. Q4 10:20
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  122. Q4 10:22
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  123. Q4 10:36
    Jaylon Tyson defensive rebound
  124. Q4 10:38
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  125. Q4 10:55
    +3
    Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
    91-94
  126. Q4 11:05
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    88-94
  127. Q4 11:19
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    88-92
  128. Q4 11:34
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    86-92
  129. Q4 11:43
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  130. Q4 11:47
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  131. Q3 00:00
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  132. Q3 00:00
    Cavaliers offensive rebound
  133. Q3 00:00
    Cavaliers personal foul
  134. Q3 00:00
    End of 3rd Quarter.
  135. Q3 00:00
    Kenny Atkinson technical foul
  136. Q4 12:00
    Cavaliers lineup change (Dennis Schroder, Jaylon Tyson, Donovan Mitchell, Evan Mobley, Keon Ellis)
  137. Q4 12:00
    Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Aaron Wiggins, Kenrich Williams, Luguentz Dort, Nikola Topic)
  138. Q4 12:00
    Cavaliers personal foul
  139. Q4 12:00
    +1
    Chet Holmgren makes technical free throw 1 of 1
    86-90
  140. Q4 12:00
    Kenny Atkinson technical foul
  141. Q3 00:07
    Jaylon Tyson defensive rebound
  142. Q3 00:11
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  143. Q3 00:11
    Cavaliers personal foul
  144. Q3 00:11
    +1
    Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    86-89
  145. Q3 00:11
    Cavaliers lineup change (Sam Merrill, Jaylon Tyson, Donovan Mitchell, Keon Ellis, James Harden)
  146. Q3 00:11
    Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Aaron Wiggins, Kenrich Williams, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace)
  147. Q3 00:11
    Cavaliers personal foul
  148. Q3 00:11
    Kenrich Williams technical foul (Double)
  149. Q3 00:11
    Chet Holmgren misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  150. Q3 00:13
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  151. Q3 00:32
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    86-88
  152. Q3 00:51
    Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
  153. Q3 00:52
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  154. Q3 1:08
    Thunder turnover
  155. Q3 1:21
    Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
  156. Q3 1:25
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  157. Q3 1:30
    Jaylon Tyson defensive rebound
  158. Q3 1:33
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  159. Q3 1:50
    Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
  160. Q3 1:53
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  161. Q3 2:11
    Cavaliers defensive rebound
  162. Q3 2:11
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  163. Q3 2:11
    Cavaliers 60 second timeout
  164. Q3 2:11
    Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Jaylin Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Kenrich Williams, Luguentz Dort)
  165. Q3 2:11
    Instant replay (Challenge: Ruling Upheld)
  166. Q3 2:15
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  167. Q3 2:31
    +3
    Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
    86-86
  168. Q3 2:42
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    83-86
  169. Q3 2:43
    Jared McCain offensive rebound
  170. Q3 2:46
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  171. Q3 3:03
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    83-84
  172. Q3 3:09
    Thunder turnover
  173. Q3 3:21
    Thunder personal foul
  174. Q3 3:21
    +1
    Dennis Schroder makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    80-84
  175. Q3 3:21
    +1
    Dennis Schroder makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    81-84
  176. Q3 3:21
    Thunder lineup change (Jared McCain, Aaron Wiggins, Isaiah Hartenstein, Kenrich Williams, Luguentz Dort)
  177. Q3 3:23
    Dennis Schroder defensive rebound
  178. Q3 3:25
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  179. Q3 3:47
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    79-84
  180. Q3 4:00
    Cavaliers personal foul
  181. Q3 4:00
    +1
    Jared McCain makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    77-83
  182. Q3 4:00
    +1
    Jared McCain makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    77-84
  183. Q3 4:12
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    77-82
  184. Q3 4:26
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    75-82
  185. Q3 4:32
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  186. Q3 4:32
    Thunder offensive rebound
  187. Q3 4:32
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  188. Q3 4:32
    Thunder lineup change (Jared McCain, Isaiah Joe, Isaiah Hartenstein, Kenrich Williams, Luguentz Dort)
  189. Q3 4:32
    Cavaliers lineup change (Dennis Schroder, Dean Wade, Jaylon Tyson, Donovan Mitchell, Keon Ellis)
  190. Q3 4:35
    Cavaliers turnover
  191. Q3 4:43
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  192. Q3 4:43
    Cavaliers lineup change (Dennis Schroder, Dean Wade, Jaylon Tyson, Keon Ellis, James Harden)
  193. Q3 4:56
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    75-79
  194. Q3 5:06
    Thunder personal foul
  195. Q3 5:06
    James Harden misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  196. Q3 5:06
    Cavaliers offensive rebound
  197. Q3 5:06
    Thunder lineup change (Jared McCain, Isaiah Joe, Isaiah Hartenstein, Kenrich Williams, Cason Wallace)
  198. Q3 5:06
    Cavaliers lineup change (Dennis Schroder, Dean Wade, Keon Ellis, James Harden, Jarrett Allen)
  199. Q3 5:06
    +1
    James Harden makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    75-77
  200. Q3 5:21
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    74-77
  201. Q3 5:25
    Cason Wallace defensive rebound
  202. Q3 5:27
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  203. Q3 5:32
    James Harden defensive rebound
  204. Q3 5:36
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  205. Q3 5:47
    +3
    Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
    74-74
  206. Q3 5:57
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  207. Q3 5:57
    Cavaliers defensive rebound
  208. Q3 5:57
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  209. Q3 6:14
    Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
  210. Q3 6:16
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  211. Q3 6:23
    Thunder personal foul
  212. Q3 6:29
    Cavaliers offensive rebound
  213. Q3 6:29
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  214. Q3 6:31
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  215. Q3 6:48
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    71-74
  216. Q3 6:52
    Cavaliers turnover
  217. Q3 7:01
    Cavaliers personal foul
  218. Q3 7:01
    +1
    Isaiah Joe makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    71-71
  219. Q3 7:01
    +1
    Isaiah Joe makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    71-72
  220. Q3 7:08
    Cavaliers turnover
  221. Q3 7:18
    Thunder personal foul
  222. Q3 7:18
    Cavaliers lineup change (Sam Merrill, Dennis Schroder, Dean Wade, James Harden, Jarrett Allen)
  223. Q3 7:18
    Thunder lineup change (Jared McCain, Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Joe, Isaiah Hartenstein, Cason Wallace)
  224. Q3 7:24
    Cavaliers defensive rebound
  225. Q3 7:24
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  226. Q3 7:25
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  227. Q3 7:42
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    71-70
  228. Q3 7:53
    James Harden defensive rebound
  229. Q3 7:54
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    69-70
  230. Q3 7:54
    Cavaliers personal foul
  231. Q3 7:54
    Instant replay
  232. Q3 7:54
    Luguentz Dort misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  233. Q3 8:09
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  234. Q3 8:09
    Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Joe, Isaiah Hartenstein, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace)
  235. Q3 8:09
    Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Joe, Isaiah Hartenstein, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace)
  236. Q3 8:09
    Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Joe, Isaiah Hartenstein, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace)
  237. Q3 8:16
    Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
  238. Q3 8:20
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  239. Q3 8:25
    Jarrett Allen defensive rebound
  240. Q3 8:29
    Isaiah Joe misses three point jump shot
  241. Q3 8:44
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    69-68
  242. Q3 8:57
    Cavaliers personal foul
  243. Q3 8:57
    Jaylin Williams misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  244. Q3 8:57
    Thunder offensive rebound
  245. Q3 8:57
    +1
    Jaylin Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    67-68
  246. Q3 9:04
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  247. Q3 9:10
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    67-67
  248. Q3 9:13
    Jarrett Allen defensive rebound
  249. Q3 9:15
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  250. Q3 9:27
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  251. Q3 9:28
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    65-67
  252. Q3 9:43
    Jarrett Allen defensive rebound
  253. Q3 9:46
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  254. Q3 9:56
    Cavaliers personal foul
  255. Q3 10:06
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    63-67
  256. Q3 10:11
    James Harden defensive rebound
  257. Q3 10:14
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  258. Q3 10:30
    +3
    Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
    61-67
  259. Q3 10:34
    Sam Merrill defensive rebound
  260. Q3 10:37
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  261. Q3 10:42
    Cavaliers personal foul
  262. Q3 10:52
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  263. Q3 10:52
    Thunder defensive rebound
  264. Q3 10:52
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  265. Q3 11:06
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    58-67
  266. Q3 11:26
    +3
    Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
    58-64
  267. Q3 11:35
    Jarrett Allen defensive rebound
  268. Q3 11:38
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  269. Q2 00:00
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    55-64
  270. Q2 00:00
    Instant replay
  271. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  272. Q3 12:00
    Cavaliers lineup change (Sam Merrill, Donovan Mitchell, Evan Mobley, James Harden, Jarrett Allen)
  273. Q3 12:00
    Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Joe, Jaylin Williams, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace)
  274. Q2 00:11
    Jarrett Allen offensive rebound
  275. Q2 00:15
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  276. Q2 00:27
    Jarrett Allen offensive rebound
  277. Q2 00:31
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  278. Q2 00:37
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    53-64
  279. Q2 00:47
    Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
  280. Q2 00:50
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  281. Q2 00:58
    Donovan Mitchell defensive rebound
  282. Q2 1:00
    Cavaliers personal foul
  283. Q2 1:00
    Isaiah Hartenstein misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  284. Q2 1:00
    Thunder offensive rebound
  285. Q2 1:00
    Isaiah Hartenstein misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  286. Q2 1:00
    Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Joe, Isaiah Hartenstein, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace)
  287. Q2 1:13
    +3
    Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
    53-61
  288. Q2 1:21
    Donovan Mitchell defensive rebound
  289. Q2 1:25
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  290. Q2 1:27
    Jared McCain offensive rebound
  291. Q2 1:28
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  292. Q2 1:48
    Thunder personal foul
  293. Q2 1:48
    +1
    Donovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    49-61
  294. Q2 1:48
    +1
    Donovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    50-61
  295. Q2 1:48
    Thunder lineup change (Jared McCain, Isaiah Joe, Isaiah Hartenstein, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace)
  296. Q2 1:58
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    48-61
  297. Q2 2:05
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  298. Q2 2:16
    Thunder personal foul
  299. Q2 2:16
    +1
    Jarrett Allen makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    47-58
  300. Q2 2:16
    +1
    Jarrett Allen makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    48-58
  301. Q2 2:19
    Thunder turnover
  302. Q2 2:33
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    46-58
  303. Q2 2:33
    Thunder violation
  304. Q2 2:43
    Thunder personal foul
  305. Q2 2:43
    Cavaliers 60 second timeout
  306. Q2 2:43
    Cavaliers lineup change (Sam Merrill, Donovan Mitchell, Keon Ellis, James Harden, Jarrett Allen)
  307. Q2 2:53
    +3
    Isaiah Joe makes three point jump shot
    44-58
  308. Q2 3:07
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    44-55
  309. Q2 3:32
    Cavaliers personal foul
  310. Q2 3:32
    +1
    Cason Wallace makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    42-54
  311. Q2 3:32
    +1
    Cason Wallace makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    42-55
  312. Q2 3:37
    Cavaliers turnover
  313. Q2 3:49
    Thunder personal foul
  314. Q2 3:49
    Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Joe, Isaiah Hartenstein, Kenrich Williams, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace)
  315. Q2 3:54
    Donovan Mitchell defensive rebound
  316. Q2 3:55
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  317. Q2 4:09
    Jared McCain defensive rebound
  318. Q2 4:09
    Cavaliers personal foul
  319. Q2 4:09
    Thunder lineup change (Jared McCain, Isaiah Joe, Isaiah Hartenstein, Kenrich Williams, Cason Wallace)
  320. Q2 4:09
    Cavaliers lineup change (Sam Merrill, Dean Wade, Donovan Mitchell, James Harden, Jarrett Allen)
  321. Q2 4:10
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  322. Q2 4:11
    Nae'Qwan Tomlin offensive rebound
  323. Q2 4:14
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  324. Q2 4:21
    Sam Merrill defensive rebound
  325. Q2 4:25
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  326. Q2 4:32
    Jared McCain offensive rebound
  327. Q2 4:36
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  328. Q2 4:49
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    42-53
  329. Q2 4:56
    Sam Merrill offensive rebound
  330. Q2 4:59
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  331. Q2 5:02
    James Harden offensive rebound
  332. Q2 5:05
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  333. Q2 5:23
    Thunder turnover
  334. Q2 5:23
    Thunder lineup change (Jared McCain, Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Joe, Isaiah Hartenstein, Cason Wallace)
  335. Q2 5:29
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  336. Q2 5:31
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  337. Q2 5:41
    Jarrett Allen defensive rebound
  338. Q2 5:44
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  339. Q2 5:58
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  340. Q2 6:02
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  341. Q2 6:13
    Cavaliers personal foul
  342. Q2 6:13
    +1
    Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    40-52
  343. Q2 6:13
    Cavaliers lineup change (Sam Merrill, Nae'Qwan Tomlin, Keon Ellis, James Harden, Jarrett Allen)
  344. Q2 6:13
    Thunder lineup change (Jared McCain, Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Joe, Jaylin Williams, Cason Wallace)
  345. Q2 6:13
    +1
    Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    40-53
  346. Q2 6:20
    Cason Wallace defensive rebound
  347. Q2 6:22
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  348. Q2 6:28
    Evan Mobley defensive rebound
  349. Q2 6:31
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  350. Q2 6:44
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    40-51
  351. Q2 6:52
    Keon Ellis defensive rebound
  352. Q2 6:55
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    38-53
  353. Q2 6:55
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  354. Q2 7:16
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    38-51
  355. Q2 7:19
    Thunder turnover
  356. Q2 7:20
    Jared McCain offensive rebound
  357. Q2 7:24
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  358. Q2 7:35
    +3
    Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
    36-51
  359. Q2 7:55
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    33-51
  360. Q2 8:14
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  361. Q2 8:14
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    33-48
  362. Q2 8:14
    Thunder lineup change (Jared McCain, Chet Holmgren, Jaylin Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Cason Wallace)
  363. Q2 8:17
    Thunder turnover
  364. Q2 8:33
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    31-48
  365. Q2 8:41
    Thunder personal foul
  366. Q2 8:41
    Cavaliers lineup change (Dennis Schroder, Nae'Qwan Tomlin, Evan Mobley, Keon Ellis, James Harden)
  367. Q2 8:41
    Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Jaylin Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Cason Wallace, Nikola Topic)
  368. Q2 8:56
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    29-48
  369. Q2 9:03
    Cavaliers personal foul
  370. Q2 9:07
    Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
  371. Q2 9:10
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  372. Q2 9:22
    Thunder turnover
  373. Q2 9:22
    Cavaliers lineup change (Dennis Schroder, Nae'Qwan Tomlin, Donovan Mitchell, Evan Mobley, Keon Ellis)
  374. Q2 9:39
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    29-45
  375. Q2 9:52
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    27-45
  376. Q2 10:09
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    27-43
  377. Q2 10:15
    Keon Ellis defensive rebound
  378. Q2 10:18
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  379. Q2 10:26
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  380. Q2 10:27
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  381. Q2 10:48
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    25-43
  382. Q2 10:55
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  383. Q2 10:59
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  384. Q2 11:06
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  385. Q2 11:11
    Thunder turnover
  386. Q2 11:25
    Nikola Topic defensive rebound
  387. Q2 11:28
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  388. Q2 11:35
    Jaylon Tyson offensive rebound
  389. Q2 11:38
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  390. Q2 11:45
    Thunder turnover
  391. Q1 00:00
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    25-40
  392. Q1 00:00
    Instant replay
  393. Q1 00:00
    End of 1st Quarter.
  394. Q2 12:00
    Cavaliers lineup change (Dennis Schroder, Jaylon Tyson, Donovan Mitchell, Evan Mobley, Keon Ellis)
  395. Q2 12:00
    Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Jaylin Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Luguentz Dort, Nikola Topic)
  396. Q1 00:03
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    23-40
  397. Q1 00:09
    Cavaliers personal foul
  398. Q1 00:21
    Thunder personal foul
  399. Q1 00:21
    Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Joe, Jaylin Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Kenrich Williams, Nikola Topic)
  400. Q1 00:21
    +1
    Dennis Schroder makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    22-38
  401. Q1 00:21
    Cavaliers lineup change (Sam Merrill, Dennis Schroder, Dean Wade, Donovan Mitchell, Evan Mobley)
  402. Q1 00:21
    +1
    Dennis Schroder makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    23-38
  403. Q1 00:32
    Donovan Mitchell defensive rebound
  404. Q1 00:34
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  405. Q1 00:45
    Thunder personal foul
  406. Q1 00:45
    +1
    Jaylon Tyson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    20-38
  407. Q1 00:45
    +1
    Jaylon Tyson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    21-38
  408. Q1 1:08
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    19-38
  409. Q1 1:27
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    19-35
  410. Q1 1:30
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  411. Q1 1:30
    Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Kenrich Williams, Luguentz Dort, Nikola Topic)
  412. Q1 1:36
    Thunder turnover
  413. Q1 1:50
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    17-35
  414. Q1 2:01
    Dean Wade defensive rebound
  415. Q1 2:03
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    15-35
  416. Q1 2:03
    Cavaliers personal foul
  417. Q1 2:03
    Luguentz Dort misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  418. Q1 2:06
    Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
  419. Q1 2:09
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  420. Q1 2:17
    Dean Wade defensive rebound
  421. Q1 2:19
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  422. Q1 2:32
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    15-33
  423. Q1 2:44
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    13-33
  424. Q1 2:48
    Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
  425. Q1 2:54
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    13-30
  426. Q1 2:54
    Thunder personal foul
  427. Q1 2:54
    Donovan Mitchell misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  428. Q1 3:04
    Dennis Schroder defensive rebound
  429. Q1 3:08
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  430. Q1 3:31
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  431. Q1 3:32
    +3
    Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
    11-28
  432. Q1 3:42
    Thunder offensive rebound
  433. Q1 3:44
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  434. Q1 4:01
    +3
    Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
    8-28
  435. Q1 4:03
    Cavaliers offensive rebound
  436. Q1 4:03
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  437. Q1 4:03
    Thunder lineup change (Jared McCain, Jaylin Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Kenrich Williams, Luguentz Dort)
  438. Q1 4:03
    Cavaliers lineup change (Sam Merrill, Dennis Schroder, Dean Wade, Jaylon Tyson, Donovan Mitchell)
  439. Q1 4:05
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  440. Q1 4:20
    Dennis Schroder defensive rebound
  441. Q1 4:22
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  442. Q1 4:23
    Isaiah Joe offensive rebound
  443. Q1 4:26
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  444. Q1 4:31
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  445. Q1 4:32
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  446. Q1 4:32
    Jarrett Allen offensive rebound
  447. Q1 4:36
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  448. Q1 4:50
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    5-28
  449. Q1 5:07
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  450. Q1 5:11
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  451. Q1 5:26
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    5-25
  452. Q1 5:31
    Cavaliers turnover
  453. Q1 5:53
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    5-22
  454. Q1 6:14
    Cavaliers turnover
  455. Q1 6:23
    Cavaliers offensive rebound
  456. Q1 6:23
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  457. Q1 6:24
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  458. Q1 6:33
    Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
  459. Q1 6:33
    Thunder turnover
  460. Q1 6:34
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  461. Q1 6:39
    Cavaliers turnover
  462. Q1 6:47
    Thunder personal foul
  463. Q1 6:55
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    5-19
  464. Q1 6:55
    Cavaliers 60 second timeout
  465. Q1 6:55
    Thunder lineup change (Jared McCain, Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Joe, Isaiah Hartenstein, Cason Wallace)
  466. Q1 6:55
    Cavaliers lineup change (Sam Merrill, Dennis Schroder, Jaylon Tyson, James Harden, Jarrett Allen)
  467. Q1 6:59
    Cavaliers turnover
  468. Q1 7:15
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    5-17
  469. Q1 7:22
    Cavaliers turnover
  470. Q1 7:31
    Thunder personal foul
  471. Q1 7:36
    Dean Wade offensive rebound
  472. Q1 7:37
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  473. Q1 7:46
    Cavaliers personal foul
  474. Q1 7:46
    +1
    Isaiah Joe makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    5-14
  475. Q1 7:46
    +1
    Isaiah Joe makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    5-15
  476. Q1 8:02
    +3
    Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
    5-13
  477. Q1 8:10
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    2-13
  478. Q1 8:11
    Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
  479. Q1 8:14
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  480. Q1 8:28
    Cavaliers turnover
  481. Q1 8:34
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    2-11
  482. Q1 8:40
    Cavaliers turnover
  483. Q1 8:52
    Thunder turnover
  484. Q1 9:03
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    2-9
  485. Q1 9:14
    Cavaliers 60 second timeout
  486. Q1 9:15
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    0-9
  487. Q1 9:26
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  488. Q1 9:29
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  489. Q1 9:42
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    0-6
  490. Q1 9:48
    Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
  491. Q1 9:52
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  492. Q1 9:59
    Evan Mobley defensive rebound
  493. Q1 10:03
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  494. Q1 10:16
    Cavaliers personal foul
  495. Q1 10:16
    James Harden turnover (offensive foul)
  496. Q1 10:23
    Thunder turnover
  497. Q1 10:40
    Cavaliers turnover
  498. Q1 10:52
    Jarrett Allen defensive rebound
  499. Q1 10:54
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  500. Q1 10:59
    Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
  501. Q1 11:02
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  502. Q1 11:28
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    0-3
  503. Q1 11:29
    Cason Wallace offensive rebound
  504. Q1 11:32
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  505. Q1 11:46
    Cavaliers turnover
  506. Q1 12:00
    Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Joe, Isaiah Hartenstein, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace)
  507. Q1 12:00
    Cavaliers lineup change (Dean Wade, Donovan Mitchell, Evan Mobley, James Harden, Jarrett Allen)
  508. Q1 12:00
    Start of 1st Quarter
  509. Q1 12:00
    Jarrett Allen (James Harden gains possession)
Box Score
Cavaliers
PosPlayerPts
Thunder
PosPlayerPts

Cavaliers vs. Thunder: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Cavaliers vs. Thunder
  • Date: Sunday, February 22, 2026
  • Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Paycom Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Thunder favored at -8.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 236.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Cavaliers +1300, Thunder +152

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Cavaliers: 63%
  • Thunder: 37%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Cavaliers 116-112 Thunder.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Cavaliers a win probability of 63%, while the Thunder have a win probability of 37%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Cavaliers are more likely to beat the Thunder in the NBA game at Paycom Center on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Cavaliers vs. Thunder predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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