Nuggets vs. Warriors Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Nuggets vs. Warriors NBA game on February 22, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
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NBA
Nuggets
117
128
Chase Center
Warriors
Chase Center
TEAM1234T
Nuggets
27 40 34 16 117
Warriors
39 37 19 33 128
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Nuggets
    <1%
  • Warriors
    >99%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Nuggets
27 40 34 16 117
Warriors
39 37 19 33 128
Q4 00:20 Warriors makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:36 Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:43 Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:09 Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:17 Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:41 Nuggets makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:48 Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:57 Warriors makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:25 Nuggets makes three point jump shot
Q4 2:41 Warriors makes three point jump shot
Play by Play
  1. Q4 00:00
    End of 4th Quarter.
  2. Q4 00:20
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    117-128
  3. Q4 00:33
    Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
  4. Q4 00:36
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  5. Q4 00:38
    Warriors violation
  6. Q4 00:43
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  7. Q4 00:43
    Warriors offensive rebound
  8. Q4 00:44
    Warriors turnover
  9. Q4 1:06
    De'Anthony Melton defensive rebound
  10. Q4 1:09
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  11. Q4 1:13
    Bruce Brown offensive rebound
  12. Q4 1:17
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  13. Q4 1:30
    Nuggets personal foul
  14. Q4 1:30
    Warriors 60 second timeout
  15. Q4 1:30
    Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Brandin Podziemski, Al Horford, De'Anthony Melton, Gui Santos)
  16. Q4 1:30
    Warriors turnover
  17. Q4 1:30
    Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Brandin Podziemski, Al Horford, De'Anthony Melton, Gui Santos)
  18. Q4 1:41
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    117-126
  19. Q4 1:45
    Christian Braun offensive rebound
  20. Q4 1:48
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  21. Q4 1:57
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    114-126
  22. Q4 2:25
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    114-124
  23. Q4 2:41
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    111-124
  24. Q4 2:58
    Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
  25. Q4 3:01
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  26. Q4 3:01
    Bruce Brown misses two point tip layup
  27. Q4 3:01
    Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
  28. Q4 3:15
    Brandin Podziemski offensive rebound
  29. Q4 3:15
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    111-121
  30. Q4 3:19
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  31. Q4 3:40
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    111-119
  32. Q4 3:43
    Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
  33. Q4 3:49
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    117-128
  34. Q4 3:49
    De'Anthony Melton misses three point jump shot
  35. Q4 3:52
    Nuggets turnover
  36. Q4 4:09
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    109-119
  37. Q4 4:24
    Nuggets turnover
  38. Q4 4:42
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    109-116
  39. Q4 4:42
    Nuggets 60 second timeout
  40. Q4 4:42
    Nuggets lineup change (Cameron Johnson, Bruce Brown, Nikola Jokic, Christian Braun, Jamal Murray)
  41. Q4 4:44
    Nuggets turnover
  42. Q4 4:55
    Warriors personal foul
  43. Q4 4:55
    Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Al Horford, Will Richard, De'Anthony Melton, Gui Santos)
  44. Q4 5:03
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    109-114
  45. Q4 5:28
    Nuggets turnover
  46. Q4 5:38
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    109-112
  47. Q4 5:45
    Gui Santos defensive rebound
  48. Q4 5:47
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  49. Q4 5:59
    Nuggets 60 second timeout
  50. Q4 5:59
    Nuggets lineup change (Julian Strawther, Bruce Brown, Nikola Jokic, Christian Braun, Jamal Murray)
  51. Q4 5:59
    Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Brandin Podziemski, Al Horford, Will Richard, Gui Santos)
  52. Q4 6:00
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    109-109
  53. Q4 6:07
    Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
  54. Q4 6:09
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  55. Q4 6:26
    Jonas Valanciunas defensive rebound
  56. Q4 6:29
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  57. Q4 6:40
    Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
  58. Q4 6:42
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  59. Q4 7:08
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    109-107
  60. Q4 7:23
    Nuggets violation
  61. Q4 7:25
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    109-104
  62. Q4 7:37
    Spencer Jones defensive rebound
  63. Q4 7:41
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  64. Q4 8:01
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    107-104
  65. Q4 8:05
    Warriors turnover
  66. Q4 8:18
    Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
  67. Q4 8:20
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  68. Q4 8:36
    Warriors turnover
  69. Q4 8:41
    Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
  70. Q4 8:44
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  71. Q4 9:05
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    105-104
  72. Q4 9:23
    Warriors 60 second timeout
  73. Q4 9:23
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    105-101
  74. Q4 9:27
    Warriors turnover
  75. Q4 9:38
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    103-101
  76. Q4 10:02
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    101-101
  77. Q4 10:20
    Moses Moody defensive rebound
  78. Q4 10:23
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  79. Q4 10:37
    Jonas Valanciunas defensive rebound
  80. Q4 10:41
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  81. Q4 10:45
    Moses Moody defensive rebound
  82. Q4 10:50
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  83. Q4 11:07
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    101-97
  84. Q4 11:07
    Nuggets personal foul
  85. Q4 11:07
    +1
    Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    101-98
  86. Q4 11:17
    Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
  87. Q4 11:19
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  88. Q4 11:34
    Warriors turnover
  89. Q4 11:49
    Gary Payton II defensive rebound
  90. Q4 11:53
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  91. Q3 00:00
    Will Richard defensive rebound
  92. Q3 00:00
    End of 3rd Quarter.
  93. Q4 12:00
    Nuggets lineup change (Cameron Johnson, Bruce Brown, Jonas Valanciunas, Tim Hardaway Jr., Spencer Jones)
  94. Q4 12:00
    Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Quinten Post, Brandin Podziemski, Gary Payton II, Will Richard)
  95. Q3 00:01
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  96. Q3 00:04
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    101-95
  97. Q3 00:05
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  98. Q3 00:05
    Warriors offensive rebound
  99. Q3 00:05
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  100. Q3 00:05
    Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Pat Spencer, Al Horford, Will Richard, De'Anthony Melton)
  101. Q3 00:09
    Nuggets turnover (Brandin Podziemski steals)
  102. Q3 00:28
    Christian Braun defensive rebound
  103. Q3 00:32
    Brandin Podziemski misses two point floating jump shot
  104. Q3 00:49
    Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
  105. Q3 00:52
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  106. Q3 00:59
    Warriors turnover
  107. Q3 1:14
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    101-93
  108. Q3 1:17
    Warriors turnover
  109. Q3 1:25
    Warriors personal foul
  110. Q3 1:25
    +1
    Cameron Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    98-93
  111. Q3 1:25
    +1
    Cameron Johnson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    99-93
  112. Q3 1:26
    Bruce Brown offensive rebound
  113. Q3 1:30
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  114. Q3 1:33
    Warriors turnover
  115. Q3 1:39
    Christian Braun defensive rebound
  116. Q3 1:39
    Warriors personal foul
  117. Q3 1:39
    Nuggets 60 second timeout
  118. Q3 1:39
    Nuggets lineup change (Cameron Johnson, Bruce Brown, Nikola Jokic, Christian Braun, Tim Hardaway Jr.)
  119. Q3 1:39
    Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Brandin Podziemski, Pat Spencer, Al Horford, Will Richard)
  120. Q3 1:39
    Christian Braun misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  121. Q3 1:39
    Nuggets offensive rebound
  122. Q3 1:39
    +1
    Christian Braun makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    97-93
  123. Q3 1:41
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  124. Q3 1:54
    Gui Santos defensive rebound
  125. Q3 1:56
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  126. Q3 2:07
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    96-93
  127. Q3 2:17
    Gary Payton II offensive rebound
  128. Q3 2:19
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  129. Q3 2:24
    Bruce Brown defensive rebound
  130. Q3 2:24
    Warriors turnover
  131. Q3 2:24
    Nuggets turnover
  132. Q3 2:28
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  133. Q3 2:41
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    96-91
  134. Q3 3:05
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    94-91
  135. Q3 3:10
    Nuggets turnover
  136. Q3 3:20
    Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
  137. Q3 3:24
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  138. Q3 3:34
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    94-89
  139. Q3 3:34
    Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
  140. Q3 3:38
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  141. Q3 3:49
    Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
  142. Q3 3:52
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  143. Q3 4:03
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    92-89
  144. Q3 4:18
    Nuggets personal foul
  145. Q3 4:18
    +1
    Gui Santos makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    89-88
  146. Q3 4:18
    +1
    Gui Santos makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    89-89
  147. Q3 4:26
    Warriors offensive rebound
  148. Q3 4:26
    Nuggets personal foul
  149. Q3 4:28
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  150. Q3 4:45
    Quinten Post defensive rebound
  151. Q3 4:48
    Warriors personal foul
  152. Q3 4:48
    Nuggets defensive rebound
  153. Q3 4:48
    +1
    Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    89-87
  154. Q3 4:48
    Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Nikola Jokic, Christian Braun, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray)
  155. Q3 4:48
    Warriors lineup change (Quinten Post, Brandin Podziemski, Gary Payton II, De'Anthony Melton, Gui Santos)
  156. Q3 4:48
    Nikola Jokic misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  157. Q3 4:50
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  158. Q3 5:00
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    88-87
  159. Q3 5:03
    Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
  160. Q3 5:06
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  161. Q3 5:10
    Gui Santos offensive rebound
  162. Q3 5:13
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  163. Q3 5:25
    Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
  164. Q3 5:25
    Warriors personal foul
  165. Q3 5:25
    +1
    Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    85-87
  166. Q3 5:25
    +1
    Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    86-87
  167. Q3 5:25
    Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Quinten Post, Brandin Podziemski, Will Richard, Gui Santos)
  168. Q3 5:28
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  169. Q3 5:40
    Nuggets turnover
  170. Q3 5:52
    Christian Braun defensive rebound
  171. Q3 5:54
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  172. Q3 5:57
    Quinten Post offensive rebound
  173. Q3 5:58
    Quinten Post offensive rebound
  174. Q3 5:58
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  175. Q3 6:03
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  176. Q3 6:14
    Nuggets personal foul
  177. Q3 6:14
    Nuggets personal foul
  178. Q3 6:14
    +1
    Moses Moody makes technical free throw 1 of 1
    84-87
  179. Q3 6:23
    Quinten Post defensive rebound
  180. Q3 6:27
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  181. Q3 6:47
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    84-86
  182. Q3 7:05
    Warriors personal foul
  183. Q3 7:05
    +1
    Cameron Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    83-84
  184. Q3 7:05
    Warriors 60 second timeout
  185. Q3 7:05
    Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Quinten Post, Brandin Podziemski, Pat Spencer, Will Richard)
  186. Q3 7:05
    +1
    Cameron Johnson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    84-84
  187. Q3 7:10
    Warriors turnover
  188. Q3 7:30
    Warriors personal foul
  189. Q3 7:30
    +1
    Cameron Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    81-84
  190. Q3 7:30
    +1
    Cameron Johnson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    82-84
  191. Q3 7:30
    Nuggets lineup change (Cameron Johnson, Nikola Jokic, Christian Braun, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray)
  192. Q3 7:42
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    80-84
  193. Q3 7:53
    Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
  194. Q3 7:53
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    80-82
  195. Q3 7:57
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  196. Q3 8:02
    Warriors personal foul
  197. Q3 8:02
    Jamal Murray misses technical free throw 1 of 1
  198. Q3 8:02
    Nuggets offensive rebound
  199. Q3 8:10
    Warriors personal foul
  200. Q3 8:10
    Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Brandin Podziemski, Pat Spencer, Al Horford, Will Richard)
  201. Q3 8:21
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  202. Q3 8:21
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  203. Q3 8:21
    Nuggets defensive rebound
  204. Q3 8:32
    Christian Braun offensive rebound
  205. Q3 8:32
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    77-82
  206. Q3 8:32
    Warriors personal foul
  207. Q3 8:32
    +1
    Christian Braun makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    78-82
  208. Q3 8:34
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  209. Q3 8:42
    Cameron Johnson defensive rebound
  210. Q3 8:46
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  211. Q3 8:55
    Nuggets turnover
  212. Q3 8:57
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    75-82
  213. Q3 9:02
    Moses Moody offensive rebound
  214. Q3 9:09
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  215. Q3 9:32
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    75-80
  216. Q3 9:53
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    73-80
  217. Q3 10:01
    De'Anthony Melton defensive rebound
  218. Q3 10:04
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  219. Q3 10:16
    Nuggets offensive rebound
  220. Q3 10:16
    Warriors personal foul
  221. Q3 10:16
    Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Pat Spencer, Al Horford, Will Richard, De'Anthony Melton)
  222. Q3 10:18
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  223. Q3 10:31
    Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
  224. Q3 10:33
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  225. Q3 10:49
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    73-78
  226. Q3 11:03
    Warriors turnover
  227. Q3 11:19
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    69-78
  228. Q3 11:19
    Warriors personal foul
  229. Q3 11:19
    +1
    Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    70-78
  230. Q3 11:41
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    67-78
  231. Q2 00:00
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  232. Q2 00:00
    Warriors offensive rebound
  233. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  234. Q3 12:00
    Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Pat Spencer, Al Horford, De'Anthony Melton, Gui Santos)
  235. Q2 00:01
    Warriors personal foul
  236. Q2 00:01
    +1
    Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    66-76
  237. Q2 00:01
    +1
    Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    67-76
  238. Q2 00:01
    Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Quinten Post, Brandin Podziemski, De'Anthony Melton, Gui Santos)
  239. Q2 00:04
    Nuggets personal foul
  240. Q2 00:04
    +1
    De'Anthony Melton makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    65-75
  241. Q2 00:04
    +1
    De'Anthony Melton makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    65-76
  242. Q2 00:04
    Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Brandin Podziemski, Gary Payton II, De'Anthony Melton, Gui Santos)
  243. Q2 00:10
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    65-74
  244. Q2 00:29
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    63-74
  245. Q2 00:31
    Nuggets turnover
  246. Q2 00:31
    Warriors turnover
  247. Q2 00:32
    Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
  248. Q2 00:35
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  249. Q2 00:41
    Brandin Podziemski offensive rebound
  250. Q2 00:41
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  251. Q2 00:41
    Warriors personal foul
  252. Q2 00:41
    Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
  253. Q2 00:41
    +1
    Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    62-71
  254. Q2 00:41
    +1
    Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    63-71
  255. Q2 00:41
    Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Brandin Podziemski, Al Horford, De'Anthony Melton, Gui Santos)
  256. Q2 00:45
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  257. Q2 00:49
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  258. Q2 1:14
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    61-71
  259. Q2 1:35
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    59-71
  260. Q2 1:40
    Will Richard defensive rebound
  261. Q2 1:42
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  262. Q2 1:52
    Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
  263. Q2 1:54
    Nuggets personal foul
  264. Q2 1:54
    +1
    Gui Santos makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    59-68
  265. Q2 1:54
    Gui Santos misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  266. Q2 2:02
    Nuggets turnover
  267. Q2 2:03
    Warriors turnover
  268. Q2 2:04
    Moses Moody offensive rebound
  269. Q2 2:09
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  270. Q2 2:21
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    59-67
  271. Q2 2:33
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    57-66
  272. Q2 2:33
    Nuggets 60 second timeout
  273. Q2 2:33
    Instant replay
  274. Q2 2:36
    Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
  275. Q2 2:39
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  276. Q2 2:42
    Cameron Johnson defensive rebound
  277. Q2 2:47
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  278. Q2 3:03
    Gui Santos defensive rebound
  279. Q2 3:04
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  280. Q2 3:24
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    57-65
  281. Q2 3:31
    Nuggets personal foul
  282. Q2 3:31
    Warriors personal foul
  283. Q2 3:31
    +1
    Julian Strawther makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    56-62
  284. Q2 3:31
    Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Brandin Podziemski, Al Horford, Will Richard, Gui Santos)
  285. Q2 3:31
    +1
    Julian Strawther makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    57-62
  286. Q2 3:32
    Warriors turnover
  287. Q2 3:43
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    55-62
  288. Q2 3:55
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    52-62
  289. Q2 4:07
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    52-59
  290. Q2 4:31
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    50-59
  291. Q2 4:37
    Warriors 60 second timeout
  292. Q2 4:37
    Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Pat Spencer, Al Horford, Will Richard, Gui Santos)
  293. Q2 4:37
    Nuggets lineup change (Cameron Johnson, Julian Strawther, Nikola Jokic, Christian Braun, Jamal Murray)
  294. Q2 4:43
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    50-57
  295. Q2 4:54
    Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
  296. Q2 4:56
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  297. Q2 5:09
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    48-57
  298. Q2 5:26
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    46-57
  299. Q2 5:49
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    46-55
  300. Q2 5:55
    Warriors personal foul
  301. Q2 5:55
    Nuggets lineup change (Julian Strawther, Bruce Brown, Nikola Jokic, Christian Braun, Jamal Murray)
  302. Q2 5:55
    Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Pat Spencer, Al Horford, Will Richard, Gui Santos)
  303. Q2 6:06
    Nuggets defensive rebound
  304. Q2 6:06
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  305. Q2 6:08
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  306. Q2 6:23
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    44-55
  307. Q2 6:30
    Nuggets offensive rebound
  308. Q2 6:30
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  309. Q2 6:30
    Warriors lineup change (Quinten Post, Brandin Podziemski, Pat Spencer, Will Richard, Gui Santos)
  310. Q2 6:31
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  311. Q2 6:48
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    42-55
  312. Q2 6:50
    Gary Payton II offensive rebound
  313. Q2 6:52
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  314. Q2 6:52
    Bruce Brown turnover (bad pass)
  315. Q2 7:14
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    42-53
  316. Q2 7:26
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    40-53
  317. Q2 7:26
    Nuggets 60 second timeout
  318. Q2 7:26
    Warriors lineup change (Quinten Post, Brandin Podziemski, Gary Payton II, Will Richard, De'Anthony Melton)
  319. Q2 7:36
    Quinten Post defensive rebound
  320. Q2 7:40
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  321. Q2 7:49
    Warriors personal foul
  322. Q2 7:49
    Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Jonas Valanciunas, Christian Braun, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray)
  323. Q2 8:04
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    40-51
  324. Q2 8:13
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    40-48
  325. Q2 8:18
    Jonas Valanciunas offensive rebound
  326. Q2 8:19
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  327. Q2 8:41
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    37-48
  328. Q2 8:55
    Warriors defensive rebound
  329. Q2 8:55
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  330. Q2 8:57
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  331. Q2 9:07
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  332. Q2 9:09
    Warriors offensive rebound
  333. Q2 9:09
    Warriors turnover
  334. Q2 9:33
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    36-45
  335. Q2 9:33
    Warriors personal foul
  336. Q2 9:33
    +1
    Cameron Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    37-45
  337. Q2 9:33
    Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Quinten Post, Brandin Podziemski, Gary Payton II, De'Anthony Melton)
  338. Q2 9:34
    Spencer Jones defensive rebound
  339. Q2 9:36
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  340. Q2 9:54
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    34-45
  341. Q2 10:04
    Warriors personal foul
  342. Q2 10:09
    Nuggets personal foul
  343. Q2 10:09
    +1
    De'Anthony Melton makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    32-44
  344. Q2 10:09
    +1
    De'Anthony Melton makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    32-45
  345. Q2 10:16
    Nuggets personal foul
  346. Q2 10:28
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    32-43
  347. Q2 10:46
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    29-43
  348. Q2 11:04
    Quinten Post defensive rebound
  349. Q2 11:06
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  350. Q2 11:24
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    29-41
  351. Q2 11:36
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    29-39
  352. Q2 11:48
    Warriors personal foul
  353. Q2 11:48
    Gary Payton II turnover (offensive foul)
  354. Q1 00:00
    Cameron Johnson offensive rebound
  355. Q1 00:00
    End of 1st Quarter.
  356. Q2 12:00
    Nuggets lineup change (Cameron Johnson, Bruce Brown, Jonas Valanciunas, Tim Hardaway Jr., Spencer Jones)
  357. Q2 12:00
    Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Quinten Post, Gary Payton II, De'Anthony Melton, Gui Santos)
  358. Q1 00:03
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  359. Q1 00:06
    Tim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound
  360. Q1 00:10
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  361. Q1 00:32
    Gui Santos defensive rebound
  362. Q1 00:35
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  363. Q1 00:52
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    27-39
  364. Q1 1:00
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    27-36
  365. Q1 1:17
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    25-36
  366. Q1 1:37
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    25-34
  367. Q1 1:46
    Nuggets 60 second timeout
  368. Q1 1:48
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    23-34
  369. Q1 1:52
    Nuggets turnover
  370. Q1 1:58
    Nuggets personal foul
  371. Q1 1:58
    +1
    Will Richard makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    23-30
  372. Q1 1:58
    +1
    Will Richard makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    23-31
  373. Q1 2:16
    Warriors personal foul
  374. Q1 2:16
    +1
    Tim Hardaway Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    23-29
  375. Q1 2:16
    Tim Hardaway Jr. misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  376. Q1 2:16
    Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
  377. Q1 2:32
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    22-29
  378. Q1 2:42
    Nuggets violation
  379. Q1 2:42
    Nuggets lineup change (Cameron Johnson, Bruce Brown, Nikola Jokic, Tim Hardaway Jr., Spencer Jones)
  380. Q1 2:46
    Nuggets turnover
  381. Q1 2:54
    Jump ball. (Jamal Murray gains possession)
  382. Q1 2:54
    Brandin Podziemski turnover (lost ball) (Nikola Jokic steals)
  383. Q1 2:56
    Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
  384. Q1 2:59
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  385. Q1 3:18
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    22-27
  386. Q1 3:24
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    21-24
  387. Q1 3:24
    Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
  388. Q1 3:24
    Warriors personal foul
  389. Q1 3:24
    Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Pat Spencer, Al Horford, Will Richard, Gui Santos)
  390. Q1 3:24
    +1
    Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    22-24
  391. Q1 3:26
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  392. Q1 3:35
    Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
  393. Q1 3:39
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  394. Q1 3:45
    Moses Moody defensive rebound
  395. Q1 3:47
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  396. Q1 3:51
    Nuggets turnover
  397. Q1 3:51
    Warriors turnover
  398. Q1 3:54
    Nuggets turnover
  399. Q1 4:01
    Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
  400. Q1 4:04
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  401. Q1 4:09
    Moses Moody defensive rebound
  402. Q1 4:12
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  403. Q1 4:15
    Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
  404. Q1 4:18
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  405. Q1 4:28
    Quinten Post defensive rebound
  406. Q1 4:28
    Nuggets personal foul
  407. Q1 4:30
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  408. Q1 4:49
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    19-24
  409. Q1 4:58
    Brandin Podziemski offensive rebound
  410. Q1 5:02
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  411. Q1 5:13
    Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
  412. Q1 5:13
    Warriors personal foul
  413. Q1 5:13
    +1
    Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    18-22
  414. Q1 5:13
    Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Quinten Post, Brandin Podziemski, Gary Payton II, Will Richard)
  415. Q1 5:13
    Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Nikola Jokic, Christian Braun, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray)
  416. Q1 5:13
    +1
    Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    19-22
  417. Q1 5:15
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  418. Q1 5:15
    Nikola Jokic misses two point tip layup
  419. Q1 5:15
    Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
  420. Q1 5:21
    Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
  421. Q1 5:25
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  422. Q1 5:30
    Julian Strawther defensive rebound
  423. Q1 5:32
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  424. Q1 5:41
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    17-22
  425. Q1 5:54
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    15-22
  426. Q1 5:59
    Gary Payton II defensive rebound
  427. Q1 6:04
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  428. Q1 6:05
    Julian Strawther offensive rebound
  429. Q1 6:08
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  430. Q1 6:21
    Christian Braun defensive rebound
  431. Q1 6:24
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  432. Q1 6:27
    Warriors 60 second timeout
  433. Q1 6:48
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    15-19
  434. Q1 6:48
    Warriors 60 second timeout
  435. Q1 6:48
    Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Quinten Post, Brandin Podziemski, Gary Payton II, De'Anthony Melton)
  436. Q1 6:54
    Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
  437. Q1 6:57
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  438. Q1 7:03
    Moses Moody defensive rebound
  439. Q1 7:08
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  440. Q1 7:17
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    13-19
  441. Q1 7:31
    Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
  442. Q1 7:33
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  443. Q1 7:49
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    13-17
  444. Q1 8:03
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    12-14
  445. Q1 8:03
    Warriors personal foul
  446. Q1 8:03
    Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Brandin Podziemski, Gary Payton II, Al Horford, De'Anthony Melton)
  447. Q1 8:03
    +1
    Christian Braun makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    13-14
  448. Q1 8:05
    Julian Strawther defensive rebound
  449. Q1 8:08
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  450. Q1 8:13
    Nuggets turnover
  451. Q1 8:21
    Jamal Murray defensive rebound
  452. Q1 8:23
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  453. Q1 8:43
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    10-14
  454. Q1 9:08
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    7-14
  455. Q1 9:31
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    7-11
  456. Q1 9:35
    Jamal Murray defensive rebound
  457. Q1 9:39
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  458. Q1 9:41
    Christian Braun turnover (bad pass)
  459. Q1 9:43
    Gui Santos turnover (bad pass)
  460. Q1 9:49
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  461. Q1 9:55
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    4-11
  462. Q1 9:55
    Warriors personal foul
  463. Q1 9:55
    +1
    Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    5-11
  464. Q1 10:12
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    2-11
  465. Q1 10:17
    Al Horford defensive rebound
  466. Q1 10:21
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  467. Q1 10:44
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    2-8
  468. Q1 10:51
    Moses Moody defensive rebound
  469. Q1 10:56
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  470. Q1 11:10
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    2-5
  471. Q1 11:18
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    2-2
  472. Q1 11:28
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    0-2
  473. Q1 11:33
    De'Anthony Melton defensive rebound
  474. Q1 11:38
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  475. Q1 12:00
    Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Pat Spencer, Al Horford, De'Anthony Melton, Gui Santos)
  476. Q1 12:00
    Start of 1st Quarter
  477. Q1 12:00
    Nikola Jokic vs. Al Horford (Jamal Murray gains possession)
Box Score
Nuggets
PosPlayerPts
Warriors
PosPlayerPts

Nuggets vs. Warriors: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Nuggets vs. Warriors
  • Date: Sunday, February 22, 2026
  • Time: 3:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Chase Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Nuggets favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 244.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Nuggets -132, Warriors +215

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Nuggets: 71%
  • Warriors: 29%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Nuggets 117-111 Warriors.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Nuggets a win probability of 71%, while the Warriors have a win probability of 29%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Nuggets are more likely to beat the Warriors in the NBA game at Chase Center on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Nuggets vs. Warriors predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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