Thunder vs. Nuggets Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Thunder vs. Nuggets NBA game on February 1, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NBA
Thunder
121
111
Ball Arena
Nuggets
Ball Arena
TEAM1234T
Thunder
32 30 39 20 121
Nuggets
26 29 30 25 111
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Thunder
    >99%
  • Nuggets
    <1%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Thunder
32 30 39 20 121
Nuggets
26 29 30 25 111
Q4 00:22 Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:56 Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:12 Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:30 Ousmane Dieng misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:45 Nuggets makes three point jump shot
Q4 2:00 Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:18 DaRon Holmes II makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:46 Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q4 3:11 Thunder makes two point jump shot
Q4 3:23 Chet Holmgren misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
  1. Q4 00:00
    End of 4th Quarter.
  2. Q4 00:12
    Thunder personal foul
  3. Q4 00:12
    Julian Strawther misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  4. Q4 00:12
    Nuggets offensive rebound
  5. Q4 00:12
    +1
    Julian Strawther makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    121-111
  6. Q4 00:18
    Zeke Nnaji defensive rebound
  7. Q4 00:22
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  8. Q4 00:39
    Thunder personal foul
  9. Q4 00:39
    +1
    Hunter Tyson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    121-109
  10. Q4 00:39
    +1
    Hunter Tyson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    121-110
  11. Q4 00:55
    Nuggets defensive rebound
  12. Q4 00:55
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  13. Q4 00:56
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  14. Q4 1:10
    Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
  15. Q4 1:12
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  16. Q4 1:27
    Hunter Tyson defensive rebound
  17. Q4 1:30
    Ousmane Dieng misses two point jump shot
  18. Q4 1:45
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    121-108
  19. Q4 1:57
    Julian Strawther defensive rebound
  20. Q4 2:00
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  21. Q4 2:18
    +2
    DaRon Holmes II makes two point jump shot
    121-105
  22. Q4 2:31
    Thunder personal foul
  23. Q4 2:31
    Thunder lineup change (Kenrich Williams, Brooks Barnhizer, Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Joe, Ousmane Dieng)
  24. Q4 2:33
    Nuggets personal foul
  25. Q4 2:33
    Chet Holmgren misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  26. Q4 2:33
    Thunder offensive rebound
  27. Q4 2:33
    Thunder lineup change (Kenrich Williams, Brooks Barnhizer, Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Joe, Chet Holmgren)
  28. Q4 2:33
    +1
    Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    121-103
  29. Q4 2:46
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  30. Q4 2:46
    Nuggets offensive rebound
  31. Q4 2:47
    Nuggets turnover
  32. Q4 3:11
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    120-103
  33. Q4 3:11
    Nuggets 60 second timeout
  34. Q4 3:11
    Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Jaylin Williams, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren)
  35. Q4 3:11
    Nuggets lineup change (Zeke Nnaji, Julian Strawther, Jalen Pickett, Hunter Tyson, DaRon Holmes II)
  36. Q4 3:15
    Nuggets turnover (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander steals)
  37. Q4 3:20
    Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
  38. Q4 3:23
    Chet Holmgren misses three point jump shot
  39. Q4 3:40
    Jump ball. (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander gains possession)
  40. Q4 3:42
    Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
  41. Q4 3:45
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  42. Q4 3:52
    Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
  43. Q4 3:55
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  44. Q4 4:09
    Nuggets turnover
  45. Q4 4:21
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    118-103
  46. Q4 4:40
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    116-103
  47. Q4 4:51
    Nuggets personal foul
  48. Q4 4:51
    +1
    Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    115-100
  49. Q4 4:51
    +1
    Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    116-100
  50. Q4 4:54
    Nuggets turnover
  51. Q4 5:02
    Nuggets personal foul
  52. Q4 5:02
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  53. Q4 5:02
    Thunder offensive rebound
  54. Q4 5:02
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    114-100
  55. Q4 5:02
    Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Hartenstein, Chet Holmgren)
  56. Q4 5:26
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    113-100
  57. Q4 5:30
    Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
  58. Q4 5:32
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  59. Q4 5:36
    Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
  60. Q4 5:40
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  61. Q4 5:53
    Nuggets personal foul
  62. Q4 5:53
    Aaron Wiggins misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  63. Q4 5:53
    Thunder offensive rebound
  64. Q4 5:53
    Nuggets 60 second timeout
  65. Q4 5:53
    Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, Spencer Jones, Julian Strawther, Peyton Watson)
  66. Q4 5:53
    Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Aaron Wiggins, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Hartenstein)
  67. Q4 5:53
    +1
    Aaron Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    113-98
  68. Q4 6:12
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    112-98
  69. Q4 6:27
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    112-95
  70. Q4 6:38
    Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
  71. Q4 6:41
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  72. Q4 6:48
    Thunder turnover
  73. Q4 7:04
    Nuggets turnover
  74. Q4 7:11
    Tim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound
  75. Q4 7:14
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  76. Q4 7:20
    Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
  77. Q4 7:24
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  78. Q4 7:35
    Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
  79. Q4 7:37
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  80. Q4 7:54
    Nuggets personal foul
  81. Q4 7:54
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    109-95
  82. Q4 7:54
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    110-95
  83. Q4 8:01
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  84. Q4 8:01
    Nuggets lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray, Spencer Jones, Bruce Brown, Peyton Watson)
  85. Q4 8:01
    Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Aaron Wiggins, Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Hartenstein, Isaiah Joe)
  86. Q4 8:09
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    108-95
  87. Q4 8:26
    Nuggets personal foul
  88. Q4 8:26
    +1
    Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    107-92
  89. Q4 8:26
    +1
    Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    108-92
  90. Q4 8:39
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    106-92
  91. Q4 8:46
    Thunder personal foul
  92. Q4 8:46
    Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray, Bruce Brown, Peyton Watson)
  93. Q4 9:12
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    106-89
  94. Q4 9:36
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    103-89
  95. Q4 9:50
    Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
  96. Q4 9:53
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  97. Q4 10:11
    Thunder personal foul
  98. Q4 10:11
    +1
    Bruce Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    103-86
  99. Q4 10:11
    +1
    Bruce Brown makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    103-87
  100. Q4 10:20
    Thunder turnover
  101. Q4 10:33
    Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
  102. Q4 10:36
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  103. Q4 10:55
    Tim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound
  104. Q4 10:57
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    103-85
  105. Q4 10:57
    Bruce Brown personal foul
  106. Q4 10:57
    Cason Wallace misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  107. Q4 11:00
    Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
  108. Q4 11:03
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  109. Q4 11:10
    Bruce Brown defensive rebound
  110. Q4 11:14
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  111. Q4 11:25
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  112. Q4 11:29
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  113. Q4 11:40
    Julian Strawther defensive rebound
  114. Q4 11:44
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  115. Q3 00:00
    Nuggets offensive rebound
  116. Q3 00:00
    End of 3rd Quarter.
  117. Q4 12:00
    Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Tim Hardaway Jr., Spencer Jones, Julian Strawther, Bruce Brown)
  118. Q4 12:00
    Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Jaylin Williams, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Joe, Chet Holmgren)
  119. Q3 00:01
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  120. Q3 00:03
    Bruce Brown defensive rebound
  121. Q3 00:07
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  122. Q3 00:27
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    101-85
  123. Q3 00:36
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    101-83
  124. Q3 00:54
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    99-83
  125. Q3 1:08
    Nuggets personal foul
  126. Q3 1:08
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    98-81
  127. Q3 1:08
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    99-81
  128. Q3 1:08
    Nuggets lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., Julian Strawther, Jonas Valanciunas, Bruce Brown, Peyton Watson)
  129. Q3 1:11
    Nuggets turnover
  130. Q3 1:26
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    97-81
  131. Q3 1:32
    Thunder personal foul
  132. Q3 1:36
    Nuggets turnover
  133. Q3 1:45
    Jonas Valanciunas defensive rebound
  134. Q3 1:50
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  135. Q3 2:05
    Nuggets personal foul
  136. Q3 2:05
    Thunder personal foul
  137. Q3 2:05
    +1
    Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    95-80
  138. Q3 2:05
    +1
    Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    95-81
  139. Q3 2:05
    Thunder lineup change (Kenrich Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Aaron Wiggins, Jaylin Williams, Cason Wallace)
  140. Q3 2:22
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    95-79
  141. Q3 2:42
    Jonas Valanciunas turnover
  142. Q3 2:52
    Jamal Murray defensive rebound
  143. Q3 2:52
    Thunder personal foul
  144. Q3 2:53
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  145. Q3 3:06
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    92-79
  146. Q3 3:22
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    91-76
  147. Q3 3:22
    Nuggets personal foul
  148. Q3 3:22
    Thunder lineup change (Kenrich Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Aaron Wiggins, Luguentz Dort, Jaylin Williams)
  149. Q3 3:22
    Nuggets lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray, Jonas Valanciunas, Bruce Brown, Peyton Watson)
  150. Q3 3:22
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    92-76
  151. Q3 3:29
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
  152. Q3 3:31
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  153. Q3 3:38
    Peyton Watson defensive rebound
  154. Q3 3:42
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  155. Q3 3:55
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    89-76
  156. Q3 4:05
    +3
    Aaron Wiggins makes three point jump shot
    89-74
  157. Q3 4:09
    Cason Wallace offensive rebound
  158. Q3 4:09
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  159. Q3 4:09
    Cason Wallace offensive rebound
  160. Q3 4:20
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point jump shot
  161. Q3 4:28
    Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
  162. Q3 4:31
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  163. Q3 4:39
    Thunder personal foul
  164. Q3 4:39
    Nuggets lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray, Jonas Valanciunas, Jalen Pickett, Peyton Watson)
  165. Q3 4:39
    Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Aaron Wiggins, Luguentz Dort, Jaylin Williams, Cason Wallace)
  166. Q3 4:50
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    86-74
  167. Q3 4:58
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  168. Q3 5:01
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  169. Q3 5:15
    Nuggets 60 second timeout
  170. Q3 5:15
    Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray, Jalen Pickett, Peyton Watson)
  171. Q3 5:17
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    83-74
  172. Q3 5:26
    Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
  173. Q3 5:29
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  174. Q3 5:50
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    80-74
  175. Q3 6:02
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    77-74
  176. Q3 6:18
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    77-71
  177. Q3 6:39
    Thunder personal foul
  178. Q3 6:39
    Peyton Watson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  179. Q3 6:39
    Nuggets offensive rebound
  180. Q3 6:39
    Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Jaylin Williams, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren)
  181. Q3 6:39
    +1
    Peyton Watson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    74-71
  182. Q3 6:48
    Thunder personal foul
  183. Q3 6:48
    Isaiah Hartenstein turnover (offensive foul)
  184. Q3 6:58
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  185. Q3 6:59
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    74-70
  186. Q3 7:03
    Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
  187. Q3 7:05
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  188. Q3 7:16
    Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
  189. Q3 7:16
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    74-67
  190. Q3 7:22
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  191. Q3 7:37
    Peyton Watson defensive rebound
  192. Q3 7:40
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  193. Q3 7:59
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    74-65
  194. Q3 8:17
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    74-63
  195. Q3 8:33
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    72-63
  196. Q3 8:50
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    72-60
  197. Q3 9:02
    Thunder personal foul
  198. Q3 9:02
    Nuggets offensive rebound
  199. Q3 9:02
    Nikola Jokic misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  200. Q3 9:02
    +1
    Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    69-60
  201. Q3 9:07
    Spencer Jones offensive rebound
  202. Q3 9:10
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  203. Q3 9:20
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    69-59
  204. Q3 9:35
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    67-60
  205. Q3 9:51
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    67-57
  206. Q3 10:03
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  207. Q3 10:03
    Nuggets personal foul
  208. Q3 10:04
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  209. Q3 10:24
    Nuggets defensive rebound
  210. Q3 10:24
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  211. Q3 10:26
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  212. Q3 10:38
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
  213. Q3 10:43
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  214. Q3 10:47
    Nuggets turnover
  215. Q3 11:01
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    65-57
  216. Q3 11:05
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  217. Q3 11:21
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
  218. Q3 11:23
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  219. Q3 11:28
    Jamal Murray defensive rebound
  220. Q3 11:31
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  221. Q3 11:48
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    62-57
  222. Q2 00:00
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  223. Q2 00:00
    Nuggets offensive rebound
  224. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  225. Q2 00:00
    Jamal Murray misses three point floating jump shot
  226. Q3 12:00
    Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, Spencer Jones, Jalen Pickett, Peyton Watson)
  227. Q2 00:04
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    62-55
  228. Q2 00:21
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    59-55
  229. Q2 00:31
    Thunder personal foul
  230. Q2 00:31
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander turnover (offensive foul)
  231. Q2 00:38
    Nuggets personal foul
  232. Q2 00:38
    Nikola Jokic turnover (offensive foul)
  233. Q2 00:47
    Tim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound
  234. Q2 00:51
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  235. Q2 1:01
    Nuggets offensive rebound
  236. Q2 1:01
    Thunder personal foul
  237. Q2 1:01
    +1
    Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    59-52
  238. Q2 1:01
    +1
    Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    59-53
  239. Q2 1:02
    Peyton Watson defensive rebound
  240. Q2 1:02
    Thunder personal foul
  241. Q2 1:02
    +1
    Peyton Watson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    59-51
  242. Q2 1:02
    Peyton Watson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  243. Q2 1:02
    Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Hartenstein, Chet Holmgren)
  244. Q2 1:04
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  245. Q2 1:18
    Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
  246. Q2 1:20
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  247. Q2 1:33
    Tim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound
  248. Q2 1:36
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  249. Q2 1:44
    Cason Wallace defensive rebound
  250. Q2 1:48
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  251. Q2 1:58
    Julian Strawther offensive rebound
  252. Q2 1:58
    Julian Strawther personal foul (Loose ball)
  253. Q2 1:58
    Nuggets 60 second timeout
  254. Q2 1:58
    Instant replay
  255. Q2 1:58
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  256. Q2 1:58
    Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray, Bruce Brown, Peyton Watson)
  257. Q2 1:58
    Thunder lineup change (Kenrich Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Hartenstein)
  258. Q2 1:58
    Nuggets challenge timeout
  259. Q2 2:02
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  260. Q2 2:13
    Thunder turnover
  261. Q2 2:24
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    59-50
  262. Q2 2:31
    Peyton Watson defensive rebound
  263. Q2 2:34
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  264. Q2 2:51
    Thunder defensive rebound
  265. Q2 2:51
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  266. Q2 2:54
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  267. Q2 2:58
    Thunder turnover
  268. Q2 2:59
    Luguentz Dort offensive rebound
  269. Q2 3:01
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  270. Q2 3:21
    Thunder personal foul
  271. Q2 3:21
    Tim Hardaway Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  272. Q2 3:21
    Nuggets offensive rebound
  273. Q2 3:21
    +1
    Tim Hardaway Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    59-48
  274. Q2 3:23
    Thunder turnover
  275. Q2 3:37
    Nuggets personal foul
  276. Q2 3:37
    Nikola Jokic turnover (offensive foul)
  277. Q2 3:41
    Jamal Murray defensive rebound
  278. Q2 3:47
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  279. Q2 3:49
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  280. Q2 4:03
    Nuggets turnover
  281. Q2 4:09
    Thunder personal foul
  282. Q2 4:24
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    59-47
  283. Q2 4:40
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  284. Q2 4:40
    Thunder defensive rebound
  285. Q2 4:40
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  286. Q2 4:44
    Thunder turnover
  287. Q2 5:03
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  288. Q2 5:03
    Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Hartenstein, Isaiah Joe, Chet Holmgren)
  289. Q2 5:03
    Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray, Julian Strawther, Peyton Watson)
  290. Q2 5:04
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    57-47
  291. Q2 5:19
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    57-44
  292. Q2 5:38
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    55-44
  293. Q2 5:54
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    55-41
  294. Q2 6:01
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
  295. Q2 6:02
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  296. Q2 6:20
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    53-41
  297. Q2 6:31
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    50-41
  298. Q2 6:45
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    50-38
  299. Q2 6:59
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    47-38
  300. Q2 7:09
    Thunder personal foul
  301. Q2 7:09
    Thunder lineup change (Kenrich Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Joe, Chet Holmgren)
  302. Q2 7:16
    Thunder turnover
  303. Q2 7:16
    Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, Julian Strawther, Bruce Brown, Peyton Watson)
  304. Q2 7:28
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    47-36
  305. Q2 7:48
    Nuggets personal foul
  306. Q2 7:48
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    46-34
  307. Q2 7:48
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    47-34
  308. Q2 7:48
    Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Julian Strawther, Jonas Valanciunas, Bruce Brown, Peyton Watson)
  309. Q2 7:54
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
  310. Q2 7:57
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  311. Q2 8:10
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    45-34
  312. Q2 8:21
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    42-34
  313. Q2 8:25
    Jonas Valanciunas offensive rebound
  314. Q2 8:31
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  315. Q2 8:50
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    42-32
  316. Q2 8:50
    Nuggets 60 second timeout
  317. Q2 8:50
    Thunder lineup change (Kenrich Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Joe)
  318. Q2 8:50
    Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Spencer Jones, Julian Strawther, Jonas Valanciunas, Bruce Brown)
  319. Q2 9:00
    Jump ball. (Isaiah Joe gains possession)
  320. Q2 9:00
    Jonas Valanciunas turnover (lost ball)
  321. Q2 9:14
    Julian Strawther defensive rebound
  322. Q2 9:18
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  323. Q2 9:26
    Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
  324. Q2 9:28
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  325. Q2 9:49
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    40-32
  326. Q2 9:59
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    38-32
  327. Q2 10:11
    Nuggets personal foul
  328. Q2 10:11
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  329. Q2 10:11
    Thunder offensive rebound
  330. Q2 10:11
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    38-30
  331. Q2 10:15
    Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
  332. Q2 10:19
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  333. Q2 10:39
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    37-30
  334. Q2 10:47
    Nuggets personal foul
  335. Q2 10:58
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    34-30
  336. Q2 11:19
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    34-27
  337. Q2 11:23
    Nuggets turnover
  338. Q2 11:27
    Thunder turnover
  339. Q2 11:41
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  340. Q2 11:41
    Bruce Brown offensive rebound
  341. Q2 11:41
    Thunder personal foul
  342. Q2 11:41
    Bruce Brown misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  343. Q2 11:41
    Nuggets offensive rebound
  344. Q2 11:41
    +1
    Bruce Brown makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    32-27
  345. Q1 00:00
    Nuggets turnover
  346. Q1 00:00
    End of 1st Quarter.
  347. Q2 12:00
    Nuggets lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., Spencer Jones, Julian Strawther, Jonas Valanciunas, Bruce Brown)
  348. Q1 00:02
    Thunder turnover
  349. Q1 00:15
    Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
  350. Q1 00:19
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  351. Q1 00:24
    Tim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound
  352. Q1 00:30
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  353. Q1 00:45
    Tim Hardaway Jr. offensive rebound
  354. Q1 00:45
    Thunder personal foul
  355. Q1 00:45
    +1
    Tim Hardaway Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    32-25
  356. Q1 00:45
    +1
    Tim Hardaway Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    32-26
  357. Q1 00:46
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  358. Q1 00:51
    Thunder personal foul
  359. Q1 1:02
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    32-24
  360. Q1 1:22
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    29-24
  361. Q1 1:22
    Jonas Valanciunas offensive rebound
  362. Q1 1:26
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  363. Q1 1:41
    Nuggets personal foul
  364. Q1 1:41
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    28-22
  365. Q1 1:41
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    29-22
  366. Q1 1:47
    Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
  367. Q1 1:51
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  368. Q1 1:59
    Thunder turnover
  369. Q1 2:00
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander offensive rebound
  370. Q1 2:02
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  371. Q1 2:11
    Thunder offensive rebound
  372. Q1 2:11
    Nuggets personal foul
  373. Q1 2:11
    Nuggets lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., Julian Strawther, Jonas Valanciunas, Bruce Brown, Peyton Watson)
  374. Q1 2:11
    Thunder lineup change (Kenrich Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Aaron Wiggins, Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Joe)
  375. Q1 2:13
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  376. Q1 2:19
    Nuggets turnover
  377. Q1 2:22
    Aaron Wiggins offensive rebound
  378. Q1 2:22
    Aaron Wiggins misses two point jump shot
  379. Q1 2:22
    Jamal Murray defensive rebound
  380. Q1 2:29
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  381. Q1 2:30
    Cason Wallace offensive rebound
  382. Q1 2:34
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  383. Q1 2:37
    Kenrich Williams offensive rebound
  384. Q1 2:40
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  385. Q1 3:05
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  386. Q1 3:07
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    27-22
  387. Q1 3:21
    Spencer Jones defensive rebound
  388. Q1 3:22
    Nuggets turnover
  389. Q1 3:22
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    24-19
  390. Q1 3:22
    Nuggets personal foul
  391. Q1 3:22
    +1
    Kenrich Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    24-19
  392. Q1 3:22
    Nuggets lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray, Jonas Valanciunas, Bruce Brown, Peyton Watson)
  393. Q1 3:23
    Kenrich Williams offensive rebound
  394. Q1 3:23
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  395. Q1 3:26
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  396. Q1 3:28
    Jaylin Williams offensive rebound
  397. Q1 3:30
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  398. Q1 3:46
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    24-19
  399. Q1 3:56
    Nuggets personal foul
  400. Q1 3:56
    +1
    Cason Wallace makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    23-17
  401. Q1 3:56
    Nuggets lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray, Spencer Jones, Jonas Valanciunas, Peyton Watson)
  402. Q1 3:56
    Thunder lineup change (Kenrich Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Jaylin Williams, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Joe)
  403. Q1 3:56
    +1
    Cason Wallace makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    24-17
  404. Q1 4:09
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    22-17
  405. Q1 4:26
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    22-14
  406. Q1 4:40
    Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
  407. Q1 4:43
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  408. Q1 4:47
    Peyton Watson defensive rebound
  409. Q1 4:50
    Jaylin Williams misses three point jump shot
  410. Q1 4:53
    Jaylin Williams offensive rebound
  411. Q1 4:54
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  412. Q1 5:10
    +2
    Nikola Jokic makes two point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)
    19-14
  413. Q1 5:27
    Tim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound
  414. Q1 5:30
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  415. Q1 5:42
    Nuggets violation
  416. Q1 5:42
    Nuggets 60 second timeout
  417. Q1 5:42
    Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray, Spencer Jones, Peyton Watson)
  418. Q1 5:42
    Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Luguentz Dort, Jaylin Williams, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren)
  419. Q1 5:44
    Nuggets turnover
  420. Q1 5:53
    Jamal Murray defensive rebound
  421. Q1 5:57
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  422. Q1 6:03
    Nuggets turnover
  423. Q1 6:04
    Jalen Pickett offensive rebound
  424. Q1 6:08
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  425. Q1 6:18
    Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
  426. Q1 6:21
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  427. Q1 6:43
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    19-12
  428. Q1 7:08
    Thunder personal foul
  429. Q1 7:08
    Jamal Murray misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  430. Q1 7:08
    Nuggets offensive rebound
  431. Q1 7:08
    +1
    Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    17-12
  432. Q1 7:08
    Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Hartenstein, Chet Holmgren)
  433. Q1 7:24
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    17-11
  434. Q1 7:39
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    15-11
  435. Q1 7:52
    Nuggets personal foul
  436. Q1 7:52
    +1
    Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    14-9
  437. Q1 7:52
    +1
    Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    15-9
  438. Q1 8:13
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  439. Q1 8:16
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  440. Q1 8:37
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    13-9
  441. Q1 8:52
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    10-9
  442. Q1 9:12
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    10-6
  443. Q1 9:23
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    8-6
  444. Q1 9:41
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    8-4
  445. Q1 9:59
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    5-4
  446. Q1 10:09
    Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
  447. Q1 10:09
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    5-2
  448. Q1 10:14
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  449. Q1 10:34
    Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
  450. Q1 10:37
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  451. Q1 10:42
    Jalen Pickett defensive rebound
  452. Q1 10:44
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  453. Q1 11:01
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    3-2
  454. Q1 11:22
    +3
    Cason Wallace makes three point jump shot (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)
    3-0
Box Score
Thunder
PosPlayerPts
Nuggets
PosPlayerPts

Thunder vs. Nuggets: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Thunder vs. Nuggets
  • Date: Sunday, February 1, 2026
  • Time: 9:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Ball Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Thunder favored at -4.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 228.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Thunder -185, Nuggets +210

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Thunder: 71%
  • Nuggets: 29%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Thunder 116-110 Nuggets.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Thunder a win probability of 71%, while the Nuggets have a win probability of 29%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Thunder are more likely to beat the Nuggets in the NBA game at Ball Arena on Monday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Thunder vs. Nuggets predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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