Orlando vs. NY City Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Orlando vs. NY City MLS match on March 7, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS
Orlando
0
5
Yankee Stadium
NY City
Yankee Stadium
NY CityNYC
Score Summary
OrlandoORL
A. Ojeda (21')
Soccer ball icon
N. Mercau (42')
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M. Moralez (pen.) (45')
Soccer ball icon
K. Parks (49')
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K. Parks (54')
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M. Crepeau (16')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • NY City
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Orlando
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York City: S. Reid replaces N. Mercau
  2. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Orlando City: Tiago replaces M. Pasalic
  3. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York City: M. Carrizo replaces A. Ojeda
  4. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York City: S. Tanasijevic replaces Thiago Martins
  5. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York City: Raul Gustavo replaces K. Parks
  6. 62'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York City: Talles Magno replaces M. Moralez
  7. 62'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Orlando City: E. Atuesta replaces M. Ojeda
  8. 54'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for New York City by K. Parks
    0-5
  9. 49'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for New York City by K. Parks, assisted by T. Gray
    0-4
  10. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Orlando City: D. McGuire replaces Luis Otavio
  11. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Orlando City: A. Marin replaces T. Reid-Brown
  12. 45'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for New York City by M. Moralez (pen.)
    0-3
  13. 42'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for New York City by N. Mercau
    0-2
  14. 21'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for New York City by A. Ojeda
    0-1
  15. 19'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Orlando City: J. Otero replaces T. Spicer
  16. 16'
    Red Card
    M. Crepeau (Orlando City) sent off with a straight red card
  17. 7'
    Yellow Card
    T. Reid-Brown (Orlando City) cautioned

Orlando vs. NY City: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Orlando vs. NY City
  • Date: Saturday, March 7, 2026
  • Time: 2:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Yankee Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Orlando +425, NY City -159, draw +340
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-160/+142)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Orlando: 21.7%
  • NY City: 57.3%
  • Draw: 21.0%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Orlando 1-2 NY City (9.8%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Orlando vs. NY City? Prediction & correct score

NY City is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 57.3%.

The most likely correct score is Orlando 1-2 NY City.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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