Minnesota vs. Nashville Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Minnesota vs. Nashville MLS match on March 7, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS
Minnesota
1
3
Geodis Park
Nashville
Geodis Park
NashvilleNSH
Score Summary
MinnesotaMIN
S. Surridge (26')
Soccer ball icon
C. Espinoza (33')
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S. Surridge (48')
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N. Triantis (35')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Nashville
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Minnesota
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    J. Gressel (Minnesota United) cautioned
  2. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Nashville SC: W. Pacius replaces S. Surridge
  3. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Minnesota United: O. Gene replaces W. Trapp
  4. 86'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Nashville SC: A. Qasem replaces H. Mukhtar
  5. 86'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Minnesota United: D. Taylor replaces D. Padelford
  6. 81'
    Yellow Card
    J. Palacios (Nashville SC) cautioned
  7. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Nashville SC: W. Madrigal replaces C. Espinoza
  8. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Nashville SC: R. Baker-Whiting replaces A. Najar
  9. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Minnesota United: K. Duncan replaces A. Markanich
  10. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Minnesota United: M. Dieng replaces N. Triantis
  11. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Minnesota United: J. Gressel replaces B. Hlongwane
  12. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Nashville SC: J. Bauer replaces D. Lovitz
  13. 48'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Nashville SC by S. Surridge
    1-3
  14. 35'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Minnesota United by N. Triantis
    1-2
  15. 33'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Nashville SC by C. Espinoza
    0-2
  16. 26'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Nashville SC by S. Surridge
    0-1

Minnesota vs. Nashville: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Minnesota vs. Nashville
  • Date: Saturday, March 7, 2026
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Geodis Park

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Minnesota +380, Nashville -143, draw +320
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-145/+130)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Minnesota: 19.6%
  • Nashville: 58.0%
  • Draw: 22.5%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Minnesota 0-1 Nashville (10.9%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Minnesota vs. Nashville? Prediction & correct score

Nashville is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 58.0%.

The most likely correct score is Minnesota 0-1 Nashville.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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