Minnesota vs. St Louis City Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Minnesota vs. St Louis City MLS match on September 12, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
MLS
FINAL
MLS sport icon
MLS
Minnesota
2
4
CITYPARK
St Louis City
CITYPARK
St Louis CitySTL
Score Summary
MinnesotaMIN
D. Edelman (18')
Soccer ball icon
C. Holse (22')
Soccer ball icon
Rafael Navarro (38')
Soccer ball icon
Rafael Navarro (pen.) (57')
Soccer ball icon
T. Chancalay (5')
Soccer ball icon
K. Yeboah (pen.) (61')
Soccer ball icon
K. Duncan (80')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • St Louis City
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Minnesota
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Minnesota United: A. Jackson replaces T. Chancalay
  2. 80'
    Red Card
    K. Duncan (Minnesota United) sent off for a second yellow card
  3. 76'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: D. Downs replaces S. Becher
  4. 76'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: L. MacNaughton replaces F. Fall
  5. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Minnesota United: M. Malone replaces K. Yeboah
  6. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Minnesota United: J. Diaz replaces N. Romero
  7. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Minnesota United: N. Triantis replaces W. Trapp
  8. 64'
    Yellow Card
    K. Duncan (Minnesota United) cautioned
  9. 61'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Minnesota United by K. Yeboah (pen.)
    2-4
  10. 59'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: A. Matan replaces C. Holse
  11. 59'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: C. Durkin replaces D. Edelman
  12. 59'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: T. Totland replaces Rafael Santos
  13. 57'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for St. Louis City by Rafael Navarro (pen.)
    1-4
  14. 47'
    Yellow Card
    M. Boxall (Minnesota United) cautioned
  15. 38'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for St. Louis City by Rafael Navarro, assisted by C. Holse
    1-3
  16. 22'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for St. Louis City by C. Holse, assisted by C. Wallem
    1-2
  17. 18'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for St. Louis City by D. Edelman
    1-1
  18. 5'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Minnesota United by T. Chancalay, assisted by J. Pereyra
    1-0

Minnesota vs. St Louis City: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Minnesota vs. St Louis City
  • Date: Saturday, September 12, 2026
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: CITYPARK

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Minnesota 28¢, St Louis City 48¢, draw 25¢
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (64¢/37¢)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Minnesota: 25.5%
  • St Louis City: 52.4%
  • Draw: 22.1%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Minnesota 1-1 St Louis City (9.9%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Minnesota vs. St Louis City? Prediction & correct score

St Louis City is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 52.4%.

The most likely correct score is Minnesota 1-1 St Louis City.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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