LAFC vs. Sporting KC Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the LAFC vs. Sporting KC MLS match on September 12, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS
FINAL
MLS sport icon
MLS
LAFC
1
3
Sporting KC
Sporting KCSKC
Score Summary
LAFCLAFC
Andre Luiz (18')
Soccer ball icon
T. Calheira (31')
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J. Bartlett (71')
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D. Bouanga (47')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Sporting KC
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • LAFC
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: J. Reid replaces C. Harris
  2. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: S. Reid replaces S. Afrifa
  3. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: S. Suleymanov replaces Andre Luiz
  4. 82'
    Yellow Card
    C. Harris (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned
  5. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Los Angeles FC: J. Ebobisse replaces Y. Cheberko
  6. 80'
    Yellow Card
    Y. Cheberko (Los Angeles FC) cautioned
  7. 71'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Sporting Kansas City by J. Bartlett
    1-3
  8. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Los Angeles FC: R. Hollingshead replaces S. Palencia
  9. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Los Angeles FC: T. Boyd replaces A. Sieb
  10. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: J. Bartlett replaces K. Agyabeng
  11. 47'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Los Angeles FC by D. Bouanga, assisted by J. Shaffelburg
    1-2
  12. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Los Angeles FC: M. Delgado replaces Igor Jesus
  13. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Los Angeles FC: J. Shaffelburg replaces J. Terry
  14. 44'
    Yellow Card
    K. Agyabeng (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned
  15. 31'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Sporting Kansas City by T. Calheira
    0-2
  16. 19'
    Yellow Card
    S. Palencia (Los Angeles FC) cautioned
  17. 18'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Sporting Kansas City by Andre Luiz, assisted by J. Reynolds
    0-1

LAFC vs. Sporting KC: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: LAFC vs. Sporting KC
  • Date: Saturday, September 12, 2026
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: LAFC -120, Sporting KC 22¢, draw 24¢
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-168/37¢)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • LAFC: 55.6%
  • Sporting KC: 22.1%
  • Draw: 22.3%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: LAFC 1-1 Sporting KC (10.4%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win LAFC vs. Sporting KC? Prediction & correct score

LAFC is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 55.6%.

The most likely correct score is LAFC 1-1 Sporting KC.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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