San Jose vs. San Diego FC Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the San Jose vs. San Diego FC MLS match on September 9, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
MLS
FINAL
MLS sport icon
MLS
San Jose
3
2
Snapdragon Stadium
San Diego FC
Snapdragon Stadium
San Diego FCSD
Score Summary
San JoseSJ
A. Dreyer (42')
Soccer ball icon
dos Santos CJ (80')
Red Card icon
C. Bakambu (pen.) (90')
Soccer ball icon
N. Tsakiris (3')
Soccer ball icon
P. Judd (12')
Soccer ball icon
O. Bouda (35')
Soccer ball icon
M. Floriani (90')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • San Diego FC
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • San Jose
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Red Card
    M. Floriani (San Jose Earthquakes) sent off for a second yellow card
  2. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for San Diego FC by C. Bakambu (pen.)
    3-2
  3. 90'
    Yellow Card
    R. Vieira (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
  4. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Diego FC: D. Ferree replaces A. Alvarado Jr
  5. 80'
    Red Card
    dos Santos CJ (San Diego FC) sent off for a second yellow card
  6. 75'
    Yellow Card
    M. Floriani (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
  7. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Diego FC: C. Bakambu replaces O. Valakari
  8. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: B. Kikanovic replaces J. Jasinski
  9. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: R. Vieira replaces B. Leroux
  10. 52'
    Yellow Card
    J. Tverskov (San Diego FC) cautioned
  11. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Diego FC: A. Alvarado Jr replaces A. Godoy
  12. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Diego FC: K. Sargeant replaces D. Thorhallsson
  13. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: E. Lowen replaces L. Jovanovic
  14. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: M. Floriani replaces R. Roberts
  15. 45'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Diego FC: A. Pellegrino replaces Gabriel Pirani
  16. 45'
    Yellow Card
    B. Leroux (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
  17. 42'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for San Diego FC by A. Dreyer, assisted by O. Valakari
    3-1
  18. 37'
    Yellow Card
    O. Bouda (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
  19. 35'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by O. Bouda, assisted by N. Tsakiris
    3-0
  20. 30'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: O. Bouda replaces P. Judd
  21. 18'
    Yellow Card
    C. McVey (San Diego FC) cautioned
  22. 13'
    Yellow Card
    P. Judd (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
  23. 12'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by P. Judd, assisted by N. Tsakiris
    2-0
  24. 8'
    Penalty missed by N. Tsakiris for San Jose Earthquakes
  25. 7'
    Yellow Card
    dos Santos CJ (San Diego FC) cautioned
  26. 3'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by N. Tsakiris, assisted by B. Leroux
    1-0

San Jose vs. San Diego FC: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: San Jose vs. San Diego FC
  • Date: Wednesday, September 9, 2026
  • Time: 10:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Snapdragon Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: San Jose 20¢, San Diego FC -155, draw 20¢
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (71¢/30¢)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • San Jose: 19.4%
  • San Diego FC: 60.5%
  • Draw: 20.0%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: San Jose 1-2 San Diego FC (9.8%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win San Jose vs. San Diego FC? Prediction & correct score

San Diego FC is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 60.5%.

The most likely correct score is San Jose 1-2 San Diego FC.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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