Salt Lake vs. Houston Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Salt Lake vs. Houston MLS match on September 9, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
MLS
FINAL
MLS sport icon
MLS
Salt Lake
1
2
Shell Energy Stadium
Houston
Shell Energy Stadium
HoustonHOU
Score Summary
Salt LakeRSL
Guilherme (57')
Soccer ball icon
M. Bogusz (87')
Soccer ball icon
S. Lobjanidze (76')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Houston
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Salt Lake
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: D. Holmes replaces L. Ennali
  2. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: N. Markanich replaces Guilherme
  3. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Salt Lake: O. Anderson replaces C. Guske
  4. 90'
    Yellow Card
    P. Quinton (Real Salt Lake) cautioned
  5. 87'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by M. Bogusz, assisted by Guilherme
    1-2
  6. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: D. McGuire replaces I. Aliyu
  7. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: M. Arana replaces H. Herrera
  8. 76'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Real Salt Lake by S. Lobjanidze, assisted by Lineker Rodrigues
    1-1
  9. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Salt Lake: A. Katranis replaces D. Yedlin
  10. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Salt Lake: Lineker Rodrigues replaces D. Luna
  11. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Salt Lake: S. Lobjanidze replaces J. Shokalook
  12. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: D. Samassekou replaces A. Bouzat
  13. 68'
    Yellow Card
    C. Guske (Real Salt Lake) cautioned
  14. 57'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by Guilherme, assisted by L. Ennali
    0-1
  15. 54'
    Yellow Card
    H. Herrera (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
  16. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Salt Lake: P. Quinton replaces L. Engel
  17. 33'
    Yellow Card
    J. J. Arias (Real Salt Lake) cautioned
  18. 30'
    Yellow Card
    D. Luna (Real Salt Lake) cautioned

Salt Lake vs. Houston: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Salt Lake vs. Houston
  • Date: Wednesday, September 9, 2026
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Shell Energy Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Salt Lake 22¢, Houston 54¢, draw 25¢
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (56¢/45¢)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Salt Lake: 23.0%
  • Houston: 52.7%
  • Draw: 24.3%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Salt Lake 1-1 Houston (11.6%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Salt Lake vs. Houston? Prediction & correct score

Houston is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 52.7%.

The most likely correct score is Salt Lake 1-1 Houston.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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