Houston vs. New England Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Houston vs. New England MLS match on August 8, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS
Houston
2
0
Gillette Stadium
New England
Gillette Stadium
New EnglandNE
Score Summary
HoustonHOU
Guilherme (45')
Soccer ball icon
A. Resch (63')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • New England
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Houston
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
  2. 89'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: D. Samassekou replaces H. Herrera
  3. 89'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: O. Lingr replaces Guilherme
  4. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New England Revolution: W. Harris replaces W. Sands
  5. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: I. Aliyu replaces M. Bogusz
  6. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: D. McGuire replaces E. Ponce
  7. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New England Revolution: G. Yow replaces P. Miller
  8. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New England Revolution: D. Fagundez replaces A. Yusuf
  9. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: A. Bouzat replaces J. McGlynn
  10. 63'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by A. Resch, assisted by J. McGlynn
    2-0
  11. 54'
    Yellow Card
    L. Ennali (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
  12. 54'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New England Revolution: J. Harrison replaces M. Zambrano
  13. 54'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New England Revolution: C. Baker replaces M. Polster
  14. 45'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by Guilherme
    1-0

Houston vs. New England: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Houston vs. New England
  • Date: Saturday, August 8, 2026
  • Time: 4:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Gillette Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Houston +175, New England +150, draw +260
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-141/+120)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Houston: 32.5%
  • New England: 42.4%
  • Draw: 25.0%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Houston 1-1 New England (11.8%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Houston vs. New England? Prediction & correct score

New England is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 42.4%.

The most likely correct score is Houston 1-1 New England.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

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