Montreal vs. Nashville Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Montreal vs. Nashville MLS match on July 22, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS sport icon
MLS
Montreal
0
1
Geodis Park
Nashville
Geodis Park
NashvilleNSH
Score Summary
MontrealMTL
S. Surridge (pen.) (68')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Nashville
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Montreal
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Nashville SC: C. Brunet replaces M. Corcoran
  2. 90'
    Yellow Card
    P. Owusu (CF Montreal) cautioned
  3. 89'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Nashville SC: J. Maher replaces S. Mohammed
  4. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for CF Montreal: F. Amaya replaces M. Longstaff
  5. 86'
    Yellow Card
    S. Surridge (Nashville SC) cautioned
  6. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for CF Montreal: O. Escobar replaces N. Streit
  7. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for CF Montreal: D. Rios replaces F. Herbers
  8. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for CF Montreal: E. Morales replaces J. Neal
  9. 68'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Nashville SC by S. Surridge (pen.)
    0-1
  10. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Nashville SC: B. Acosta replaces E. Tagseth
  11. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Nashville SC: A. Qasem replaces A. Muyl
  12. 57'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Nashville SC: A. Najar replaces J. Bauer

Montreal vs. Nashville: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Montreal vs. Nashville
  • Date: Wednesday, July 22, 2026
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Geodis Park

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Montreal +540, Nashville -182, draw +360
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-160/+135)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Montreal: 12.1%
  • Nashville: 70.4%
  • Draw: 17.5%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Montreal 0-2 Nashville (11.2%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Montreal vs. Nashville? Prediction & correct score

Nashville is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 70.4%.

The most likely correct score is Montreal 0-2 Nashville.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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