D.C. United vs. Houston Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the D.C. United vs. Houston MLS match on July 22, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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D.C. United
1
:
1
Shell Energy Stadium
Houston
Shell Energy Stadium
HoustonHOU
Score Summary
D.C. UnitedDC
H. Herrera (40')
Soccer ball icon
T. Baribo (78')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Houston
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • D.C. United
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    J. Stroud (DC United) cautioned
  2. 90'
    Yellow Card
    E. Sviatchenko (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
  3. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: O. Lingr replaces M. Bogusz
  4. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: D. Holmes replaces Felipe Andrade
  5. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for DC United: N. Markovic replaces A. Dozzell
  6. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: D. Samassekou replaces H. Herrera
  7. 78'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for DC United by T. Baribo, assisted by N. Ordaz
    1-1
  8. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: F. Negri replaces L. Ennali
  9. 72'
    Yellow Card
    A. Dozzell (DC United) cautioned
  10. 71'
    Yellow Card
    T. Baribo (DC United) cautioned
  11. 70'
    Yellow Card
    Artur (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
  12. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for DC United: J. Stroud replaces B. Servania
  13. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for DC United: N. Ordaz replaces L. Munteanu
  14. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for DC United: H. Kijima replaces Peglow
  15. 67'
    Yellow Card
    S. Hefti (DC United) cautioned
  16. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: E. Sviatchenko replaces Lucas Halter
  17. 59'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: E. Ponce replaces D. McGuire
  18. 53'
    Substitution
    Substitution for DC United: M. Peltola replaces J. Hopkins
  19. 40'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by H. Herrera
    0-1

D.C. United vs. Houston: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: D.C. United vs. Houston
  • Date: Wednesday, July 22, 2026
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Shell Energy Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: D.C. United +350, Houston -125, draw +290
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-130/+115)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • D.C. United: 19.7%
  • Houston: 58.2%
  • Draw: 22.1%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: D.C. United 1-1 Houston (10.4%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win D.C. United vs. Houston? Prediction & correct score

Houston is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 58.2%.

The most likely correct score is D.C. United 1-1 Houston.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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