Montreal vs. Atlanta Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Montreal vs. Atlanta MLS match on May 2, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
MLS
FINAL
MLS sport icon
MLS
Montreal
1
3
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Atlanta
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
AtlantaATL
Score Summary
MontrealMTL
S. Lobjanidze (41')
Soccer ball icon
E. Latte Lath (45')
Soccer ball icon
S. Lobjanidze (50')
Soccer ball icon
M. Longstaff (6')
Soccer ball icon
B. Vera (90')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Atlanta
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Montreal
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Red Card
    B. Vera (CF Montreal) sent off with a straight red card
  2. 90'
    Yellow Card
    E. Mihaj (Atlanta Utd) cautioned
  3. 90'
    Yellow Card
    T. Jacob (Atlanta Utd) cautioned
  4. 78'
    Yellow Card
    L. Hoyos (Atlanta Utd) cautioned
  5. 76'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlanta Utd: L. Brennan replaces F. Picault
  6. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for CF Montreal: F. Herbers replaces M. Longstaff
  7. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlanta Utd: J. Berrocal replaces S. Gregersen
  8. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlanta Utd: M. Edwards replaces M. Galarza
  9. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for CF Montreal: M. Opoku replaces Ivan Jaime
  10. 64'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlanta Utd: F. Picault replaces S. Lobjanidze
  11. 64'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlanta Utd: A. Fortune replaces E. Latte Lath
  12. 59'
    Substitution
    Substitution for CF Montreal: D. Rios replaces W. Carmona
  13. 59'
    Substitution
    Substitution for CF Montreal: N. Streit replaces O. Escobar
  14. 59'
    Substitution
    Substitution for CF Montreal: V. Loturi replaces S. Piette
  15. 50'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Atlanta Utd by S. Lobjanidze, assisted by C. Sanchez
    1-3
  16. 45'
    Yellow Card
    P. Owusu (CF Montreal) cautioned
  17. 45'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Atlanta Utd by E. Latte Lath, assisted by A. Miranchuk
    1-2
  18. 41'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Atlanta Utd by S. Lobjanidze, assisted by A. Miranchuk
    1-1
  19. 20'
    Yellow Card
    S. Piette (CF Montreal) cautioned
  20. 6'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for CF Montreal by M. Longstaff, assisted by P. Owusu
    1-0
  21. 4'
    Yellow Card
    E. Latte Lath (Atlanta Utd) cautioned

Montreal vs. Atlanta: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Montreal vs. Atlanta
  • Date: Saturday, May 2, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Montreal +240, Atlanta +110, draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-140/+115)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Montreal: 28.7%
  • Atlanta: 47.3%
  • Draw: 24.0%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Montreal 1-1 Atlanta (11.2%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Montreal vs. Atlanta? Prediction & correct score

Atlanta is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 47.3%.

The most likely correct score is Montreal 1-1 Atlanta.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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