Miami vs. Nashville Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Miami vs. Nashville MLS match on October 18, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS sport icon
MLS
Miami
5
2
Geodis Park
Nashville
Geodis Park
NashvilleNSH
Score Summary
MiamiMIA
S. Surridge (43')
Soccer ball icon
J. Shaffelburg (45')
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L. Messi (35')
Soccer ball icon
L. Messi (pen.) (63')
Soccer ball icon
B. Rodriguez (67')
Soccer ball icon
L. Messi (81')
Soccer ball icon
T. Segovia (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Nashville
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Miami
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Inter Miami by T. Segovia
    5-2
  2. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Nashville SC: B. Acosta replaces E. Tagseth
  3. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Nashville SC: T. Bunbury replaces H. Mukhtar
  4. 81'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Inter Miami by L. Messi, assisted by I. Fray
    4-2
  5. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Nashville SC: G. Brugman replaces P. Yazbek
  6. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Nashville SC: J. Bauer replaces A. Muyl
  7. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Inter Miami: Y. Bright replaces B. Rodriguez
  8. 68'
    Yellow Card
    R. de Paul (Inter Miami) cautioned
  9. 67'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Inter Miami by B. Rodriguez
    3-2
  10. 64'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Inter Miami: I. Fray replaces M. Weigandt
  11. 64'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Inter Miami: T. Segovia replaces G. Lujan
  12. 64'
    Yellow Card
    H. Mukhtar (Nashville SC) cautioned
  13. 63'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Inter Miami by L. Messi (pen.)
    2-2
  14. 56'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Nashville SC: T. Boyd replaces J. Shaffelburg
  15. 45'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Nashville SC by J. Shaffelburg
    1-2
  16. 43'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Nashville SC by S. Surridge, assisted by H. Mukhtar
    1-1
  17. 35'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Inter Miami by L. Messi, assisted by J. Alba
    1-0
  18. 22'
    Yellow Card
    T. Allende (Inter Miami) cautioned

Miami vs. Nashville: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Miami vs. Nashville
  • Date: Saturday, October 18, 2025
  • Time: 6:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Geodis Park

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Miami +150, Nashville +155, draw +300

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Miami: 32.5%
  • Nashville: 45.2%
  • Draw: 22.3%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Miami 1-1 Nashville (9.4%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Miami vs. Nashville? Prediction & correct score

Nashville is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 45.2%.

The most likely correct score is Miami 1-1 Nashville.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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