LA Galaxy vs. New England Revolution prediction, odds, MLS picks [9/5/2026]

LA Galaxy and New England will meet in MLS action at Dignity Health Sports Park on Saturday, with kickoff at 9:30 PM ET.

Dimers' proven MLS model projects LA Galaxy as the most likely winner in this LA Galaxy vs. New England prediction.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.

LA Galaxy vs. New England Revolution prediction and odds

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's MLS game between LA Galaxy and New England, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model indicates a 39.9% chance of LA Galaxy winning, a 36.3% chance for New England, and a 23.8% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 60.2% chance of going over, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: New England +163, LA Galaxy +156
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-194/+186)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: LA Galaxy @ +156 via Novig
• Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +186 via Polymarket

According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 2.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score projections

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

• LA Galaxy 1-1 New England (10.8% probability)
• LA Galaxy 2-1 New England (8.6%)
• LA Galaxy 1-2 New England (8.2%)

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's MLS matchup between LA Galaxy and New England in MLS at Dignity Health Sports Park is scheduled to start at 9:30 PM ET.

• Who: LA Galaxy vs. New England Revolution
• Date: Saturday, September 5, 2026
• Time: 9:30 PM ET/6:30PM PT
• Venue: Dignity Health Sports Park

Conclusion

According to our computer model, LA Galaxy has a 39.9% win probability on Saturday, New England has a 36.3% win probability, and there is a 23.8% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.