Sep 5, 2026
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Read Article Philadelphia Union vs. CF Montreal prediction, odds, MLS picks [9/5/2026]
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Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Philadelphia Union vs CF Montreal predictions for MLS Saturday.
Philadelphia and Montreal are scheduled to meet in MLS action at Subaru Park on Saturday, starting at 7:30 PM ET.
Dimers' proven MLS model projects Philadelphia as the most likely winner in this Philadelphia vs. Montreal prediction.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.
Philadelphia Union vs. CF Montreal prediction and odds
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's MLS matchup between Philadelphia and Montreal, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model suggests a 69.7% chance of Philadelphia winning, a 13.2% chance for Montreal, and a 17.1% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 66.8% chance of going over, according to our model.
Latest betting odds
We have researched the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Moneyline: Montreal +574, Philadelphia -213
- Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-203/+194)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Moneyline: Philadelphia @ -213 via Polymarket
- Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ -203 via Polymarket
According to our best MLS bets, the top play to make on this game is Philadelphia to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Correct score projections
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 2-0 Philadelphia win being the most probable:
- Philadelphia 2-0 Montreal (9.7% probability)
- Philadelphia 2-1 Montreal (9.5%)
- Philadelphia 1-0 Montreal (7.9%)
Game info & kickoff details
Saturday's MLS action between Philadelphia and Montreal in MLS at Subaru Park is scheduled to begin at 7:30 PM ET.
- Who: Philadelphia Union vs. CF Montreal
- Date: Saturday, September 5, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
- Venue: Subaru Park
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Philadelphia has a 69.7% win probability on Saturday, Montreal has a 13.2% win probability, and there is a 17.1% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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