San Diego FC vs. Houston Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the San Diego FC vs. Houston MLS match on October 4, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS
San Diego FC
4
2
Shell Energy Stadium
Houston
Shell Energy Stadium
HoustonHOU
Score Summary
San Diego FCSD
Felipe Andrade (15')
Soccer ball icon
Sergio Santos (87')
Soccer ball icon
A. Dreyer (pen.) (53')
Soccer ball icon
L. de la Torre (85')
Soccer ball icon
A. Dreyer (89')
Soccer ball icon
A. Pellegrino (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Houston
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • San Diego FC
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Diego FC: P. McNair replaces A. Dreyer
  2. 90'
    Yellow Card
    L. Ennali (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
  3. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: F. Awodesu replaces Felipe Andrade
  4. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for San Diego FC by A. Pellegrino, assisted by J. Tverskov
    4-2
  5. 89'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for San Diego FC by A. Dreyer
    3-2
  6. 87'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by Sergio Santos, assisted by L. Ennali
    2-2
  7. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: G. Segal replaces O. Lingr
  8. 85'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for San Diego FC by L. de la Torre
    2-1
  9. 84'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Diego FC: L. de la Torre replaces A. Godoy
  10. 84'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Diego FC: W. Kumado replaces A. Harangi
  11. 83'
    Yellow Card
    I. Pilcher (San Diego FC) cautioned
  12. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: Sergio Santos replaces Junior Urso
  13. 78'
    Yellow Card
    A. Harangi (San Diego FC) cautioned
  14. 77'
    Yellow Card
    A. Godoy (San Diego FC) cautioned
  15. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Diego FC: A. Mighten replaces C. Baird
  16. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: A. Bassi replaces D. Holmes
  17. 53'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for San Diego FC by A. Dreyer (pen.)
    1-1
  18. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Diego FC: I. Pilcher replaces F. Negri
  19. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Diego FC: A. Pellegrino replaces H. Lozano
  20. 39'
    Yellow Card
    E. Ponce (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
  21. 15'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by Felipe Andrade, assisted by Junior Urso
    0-1

San Diego FC vs. Houston: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: San Diego FC vs. Houston
  • Date: Saturday, October 4, 2025
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Shell Energy Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: San Diego FC +140, Houston +185, draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-150/+125)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • San Diego FC: 36.3%
  • Houston: 39.0%
  • Draw: 24.7%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: San Diego FC 1-1 Houston (11.5%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win San Diego FC vs. Houston? Prediction & correct score

Houston is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 39.0%.

The most likely correct score is San Diego FC 1-1 Houston.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

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