Houston vs. Nashville Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Houston vs. Nashville MLS match on September 27, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS
Houston
1
3
GEODIS Park (Nashville, Tennessee)
Nashville
GEODIS Park (Nashville, Tennessee)
NashvilleNSH
Score Summary
HoustonHOU
H. Mukhtar (2')
Soccer ball icon
S. Surridge (48')
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A. Najar (50')
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E. Sviatchenko (9')
Red Card icon
Junior Urso (40')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Nashville
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Houston
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Nashville SC: W. Zimmerman replaces J. Shaffelburg
  2. 84'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: Sergio Santos replaces E. Bartlow
  3. 84'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: S. Kowalczyk replaces Artur
  4. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Nashville SC: T. Bunbury replaces S. Surridge
  5. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Nashville SC: T. Boyd replaces H. Mukhtar
  6. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: A. Bassi replaces Junior Urso
  7. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: D. Holmes replaces E. Ponce
  8. 57'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Nashville SC: J. Bauer replaces A. Najar
  9. 57'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Nashville SC: B. Acosta replaces P. Yazbek
  10. 50'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Nashville SC by A. Najar
    1-3
  11. 48'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Nashville SC by S. Surridge
    1-2
  12. 40'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by Junior Urso, assisted by L. Ennali
    1-1
  13. 38'
    Yellow Card
    P. Yazbek (Nashville SC) cautioned
  14. 15'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: F. Awodesu replaces O. Lingr
  15. 13'
    Yellow Card
    A. Najar (Nashville SC) cautioned
  16. 9'
    Red Card
    E. Sviatchenko (Houston Dynamo) sent off with a straight red card
  17. 2'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Nashville SC by H. Mukhtar, assisted by A. Muyl
    0-1

Houston vs. Nashville: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Houston vs. Nashville
  • Date: Saturday, September 27, 2025
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: GEODIS Park

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Houston +380, Nashville -125, draw +310
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-141/+118)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Houston: 19.3%
  • Nashville: 58.6%
  • Draw: 22.1%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Houston 0-1 Nashville (10.6%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Houston vs. Nashville? Prediction & correct score

Nashville is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 58.6%.

The most likely correct score is Houston 0-1 Nashville.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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