Houston vs. Nashville Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Houston vs. Nashville MLS match on September 27, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS
Houston
1
3
Sep 27, 8:30 PM ET GEODIS Park (Nashville, Tennessee)
Nashville
Sep 27, 8:30 PM ET GEODIS Park (Nashville, Tennessee)
NashvilleNSH
Score Summary
HoustonHOU
H. Mukhtar (2')
Soccer ball icon
S. Surridge (48')
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A. Najar (50')
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E. Sviatchenko (9')
Red Card icon
Junior Urso (40')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Nashville
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Houston
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Nashville SC: W. Zimmerman replaces J. Shaffelburg
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: Sergio Santos replaces E. Bartlow
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: S. Kowalczyk replaces Artur
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Nashville SC: T. Bunbury replaces S. Surridge
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Nashville SC: T. Boyd replaces H. Mukhtar
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: A. Bassi replaces Junior Urso
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: D. Holmes replaces E. Ponce
57'
Substitution
Substitution for Nashville SC: J. Bauer replaces A. Najar
57'
Substitution
Substitution for Nashville SC: B. Acosta replaces P. Yazbek
50'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Nashville SC by A. Najar
1-3
48'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Nashville SC by S. Surridge
1-2
40'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by Junior Urso, assisted by L. Ennali
1-1
38'
Yellow Card
P. Yazbek (Nashville SC) cautioned
15'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: F. Awodesu replaces O. Lingr
13'
Yellow Card
A. Najar (Nashville SC) cautioned
9'
Red Card
E. Sviatchenko (Houston Dynamo) sent off with a straight red card
2'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Nashville SC by H. Mukhtar, assisted by A. Muyl
0-1

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Houston vs. Nashville: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Houston vs. Nashville
  • Date: Saturday, September 27, 2025
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: GEODIS Park

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Houston +380, Nashville -125, draw +310
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-141/+118)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Houston: 19.3%
  • Nashville: 58.6%
  • Draw: 22.1%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Houston 0-1 Nashville (10.6%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

  • Today's best bets
  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Houston vs. Nashville? Prediction & correct score

Nashville is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 58.6%.

The most likely correct score is Houston 0-1 Nashville.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Houston vs. Nashville, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.