Philadelphia vs. D.C. United Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Philadelphia vs. D.C. United MLS match on September 27, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS
Philadelphia
6
0
Audi Field (Washington, District of Columbia)
D.C. United
Audi Field (Washington, District of Columbia)
D.C. UnitedDC
Score Summary
PhiladelphiaPHI
B. Damiani (17')
Soccer ball icon
C. Antley (o.g.) (34')
Soccer ball icon
I. Vassilev (36')
Soccer ball icon
M. Iloski (49')
Soccer ball icon
I. Vassilev (51')
Soccer ball icon
M. Uhre (62')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • D.C. United
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Philadelphia
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Philadelphia Union: O. Mbaizo replaces J. Rafanello
  2. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Philadelphia Union: B. Bender replaces M. Iloski
  3. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for DC United: R. Zouhir replaces B. Servania
  4. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for DC United: Boris Enow replaces L. MacNaughton
  5. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for DC United: J. Murrell replaces C. Benteke
  6. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Philadelphia Union: J. Rafanello replaces I. Vassilev
  7. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Philadelphia Union: J. Bueno replaces B. Damiani
  8. 62'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by M. Uhre
    6-0
  9. 58'
    Substitution
    Substitution for DC United: C. Clark replaces J. Stroud
  10. 58'
    Substitution
    Substitution for DC United: D. Dodson replaces A. Herrera
  11. 57'
    Yellow Card
    O. Makhanya (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
  12. 51'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by I. Vassilev
    5-0
  13. 49'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by M. Iloski
    4-0
  14. 38'
    Yellow Card
    J. Stroud (DC United) cautioned
  15. 36'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by I. Vassilev
    3-0
  16. 34'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by C. Antley (o.g.)
    2-0
  17. 33'
    Yellow Card
    B. Servania (DC United) cautioned
  18. 17'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by B. Damiani
    1-0
  19. 12'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Philadelphia Union: M. Uhre replaces Q. Sullivan

Philadelphia vs. D.C. United: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Philadelphia vs. D.C. United
  • Date: Saturday, September 27, 2025
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Audi Field

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Philadelphia -110, D.C. United +280, draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-145/+125)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Philadelphia: 48.1%
  • D.C. United: 27.0%
  • Draw: 24.9%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Philadelphia 1-1 D.C. United (11.8%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Philadelphia vs. D.C. United? Prediction & correct score

Philadelphia is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 48.1%.

The most likely correct score is Philadelphia 1-1 D.C. United.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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