Chicago vs. Minnesota Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Chicago vs. Minnesota MLS match on September 20, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS
Chicago
3
0
Allianz Field (Saint Paul, Minnesota)
Minnesota
Allianz Field (Saint Paul, Minnesota)
MinnesotaMIN
Score Summary
ChicagoCHI
J. Waterman (26')
Soccer ball icon
D. D'Avilla (41')
Soccer ball icon
P. Zinckernagel (70')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Minnesota
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Chicago
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Chicago Fire: R. Kouame replaces A. Franco
  2. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Chicago Fire: L. Barroso replaces J. Dean
  3. 87'
    Yellow Card
    N. Romero (Minnesota United) cautioned
  4. 87'
    Yellow Card
    J. Elliott (Chicago Fire) cautioned
  5. 86'
    Penalty missed by H. Cuypers for Chicago Fire
  6. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Chicago Fire: M. Haile-Selassie replaces J. Bamba
  7. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Chicago Fire: B. Gutierrez replaces P. Zinckernagel
  8. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Minnesota United: J. Rosales replaces A. Markanich
  9. 70'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Chicago Fire by P. Zinckernagel
    3-0
  10. 59'
    Yellow Card
    M. Duggan (Minnesota United) cautioned
  11. 56'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Minnesota United: J. Pereyra replaces A. Randell
  12. 56'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Minnesota United: M. Boxall replaces O. Gene
  13. 56'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Minnesota United: B. Hlongwane replaces D. Fitz
  14. 56'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Minnesota United: R. Lod replaces W. Trapp
  15. 41'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Chicago Fire by D. D'Avilla, assisted by A. Franco
    2-0
  16. 40'
    Yellow Card
    W. Trapp (Minnesota United) cautioned
  17. 26'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Chicago Fire by J. Waterman
    1-0

Chicago vs. Minnesota: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Chicago vs. Minnesota
  • Date: Saturday, September 20, 2025
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Allianz Field

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Chicago +165, Minnesota +145, draw +260
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-170/+135)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Chicago: 20.1%
  • Minnesota: 59.8%
  • Draw: 20.1%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Chicago 1-2 Minnesota (9.7%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Chicago vs. Minnesota? Prediction & correct score

Minnesota is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 59.8%.

The most likely correct score is Chicago 1-2 Minnesota.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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