NY City vs. Chicago Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the NY City vs. Chicago MLS match on September 13, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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NY City
3
1
Soldier Field (Chicago, Illinois)
Chicago
Soldier Field (Chicago, Illinois)
ChicagoCHI
Score Summary
NY CityNYC
P. Zinckernagel (13')
Soccer ball icon
N. Mercau (40')
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A. Martinez (57')
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S. Garfield Reid (90')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Chicago
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • NY City
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York City: S. Tanasijevic replaces Raul Gustavo
  2. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York City: S. Garfield Reid replaces A. Martinez
  3. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for New York City by S. Garfield Reid, assisted by T. Gray
    3-1
  4. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Chicago Fire: T. Barlow replaces J. Waterman
  5. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York City: A. Ojeda replaces N. Mercau
  6. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York City: J. Shore replaces A. O'Neill
  7. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Chicago Fire: M. Haile-Selassie replaces J. Bamba
  8. 57'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for New York City by A. Martinez
    2-1
  9. 56'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Chicago Fire: S. Oregel replaces A. Franco
  10. 40'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for New York City by N. Mercau
    1-1
  11. 37'
    Yellow Card
    A. O'Neill (New York City) cautioned
  12. 13'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Chicago Fire by P. Zinckernagel, assisted by B. Gutierrez
    0-1

NY City vs. Chicago: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: NY City vs. Chicago
  • Date: Saturday, September 13, 2025
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Soldier Field

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: NY City +210, Chicago +115, draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-175/+140)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • NY City: 31.6%
  • Chicago: 45.0%
  • Draw: 23.4%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: NY City 1-1 Chicago (10.6%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win NY City vs. Chicago? Prediction & correct score

Chicago is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 45.0%.

The most likely correct score is NY City 1-1 Chicago.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Get Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

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