Charlotte vs. Cincinnati Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Charlotte vs. Cincinnati MLS match on September 12, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
MLS
FINAL
MLS sport icon
MLS
Charlotte
3
:
3
TQL Stadium
Cincinnati
TQL Stadium
CincinnatiCIN
Score Summary
CharlotteCHA
P. Bucha (2')
Soccer ball icon
K. Denkey (51')
Soccer ball icon
K. Denkey (90')
Soccer ball icon
L. Abada (7')
Soccer ball icon
P. Biel (pen.) (17')
Soccer ball icon
I. Toklomati (55')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Cincinnati
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Charlotte
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by K. Denkey, assisted by B. J. Ramirez Leon
    3-3
  2. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Cincinnati: K. Smith replaces S. Gidi
  3. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Cincinnati: A. Jabbari replaces K. Mboma
  4. 83'
    Yellow Card
    R. Aloko (Charlotte) cautioned
  5. 81'
    Yellow Card
    K. Mboma (FC Cincinnati) cautioned
  6. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Charlotte: T. Smalls replaces I. Toklomati
  7. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Charlotte: M. Agyemang replaces W. Cleary
  8. 76'
    Yellow Card
    S. Gidi (FC Cincinnati) cautioned
  9. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Cincinnati: K. Fletcher replaces A. Chirila
  10. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Cincinnati: T. Hadebe replaces N. Hagglund
  11. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Charlotte: B. Bronico replaces L. de la Torre
  12. 56'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Cincinnati: B. J. Ramirez Leon replaces T. Barlow
  13. 55'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Charlotte by I. Toklomati
    3-2
  14. 51'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by K. Denkey, assisted by A. Chirila
    2-2
  15. 44'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Charlotte: R. Aloko replaces L. Abada
  16. 17'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Charlotte by P. Biel (pen.)
    2-1
  17. 7'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Charlotte by L. Abada
    1-1
  18. 2'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by P. Bucha, assisted by T. Barlow
    0-1

Charlotte vs. Cincinnati: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Charlotte vs. Cincinnati
  • Date: Saturday, September 12, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: TQL Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Charlotte +190, Cincinnati 41¢, draw 24¢
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (70¢/30¢)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Charlotte: 32.7%
  • Cincinnati: 45.9%
  • Draw: 21.5%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Charlotte 1-2 Cincinnati (8.5%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Charlotte vs. Cincinnati? Prediction & correct score

Cincinnati is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 45.9%.

The most likely correct score is Charlotte 1-2 Cincinnati.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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