Minnesota United vs. FC Dallas prediction, odds, MLS picks [9/9/2026]

Minnesota and Dallas will lock horns in MLS action at Allianz Field on Wednesday, starting at 8:30 PM ET.

Dimers' proven MLS model projects Minnesota as the most likely winner in this Minnesota vs. Dallas prediction.

This article offers a closer look at Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.

Minnesota United vs. FC Dallas prediction and odds

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Wednesday's MLS matchup between Minnesota and Dallas, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model indicates a 48.0% chance of Minnesota winning, a 29.7% chance for Dallas, and a 22.3% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 65.4% chance of going over, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Dallas +260, Minnesota +104
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-163/+156)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Minnesota @ +104 via Novig
• Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ -163 via Novig

According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 2.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score projections

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

• Minnesota 1-1 Dallas (9.6% probability)
• Minnesota 2-1 Dallas (9.1%)
• Minnesota 1-2 Dallas (7%)

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.

Game info & kickoff details

Wednesday's MLS game between Minnesota and Dallas in MLS at Allianz Field is scheduled to commence at 8:30 PM ET.

• Who: Minnesota United vs. FC Dallas
• Date: Wednesday, September 9, 2026
• Time: 8:30 PM ET/5:30PM PT
• Venue: Allianz Field

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Minnesota has a 48.0% win probability on Wednesday, Dallas has a 29.7% win probability, and there is a 22.3% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.