San Diego FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes prediction, odds, MLS picks [9/9/2026]

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Written by Ryan Leaver

Get San Diego FC vs San Jose Earthquakes predictions for MLS Wednesday.

San Diego FC takes on San Jose Earthquakes in MLS action.
San Diego FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes MLS prediction for Wednesday, September 9, 2026.

San Diego FC and San Jose will meet in MLS action at Snapdragon Stadium on Wednesday, starting at 10:30 PM ET.

Dimers' advanced MLS model projects San Diego FC as the most likely winner in this San Diego FC vs. San Jose prediction.

This article offers further insights into Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.

San Diego FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes prediction and odds

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Wednesday's MLS matchup between San Diego FC and San Jose, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently indicates a 58.1% chance of San Diego FC winning, a 21.3% chance for San Jose, and a 20.6% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 65.1% chance of going over, according to our model.

 

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

  • Moneyline: San Jose +310, San Diego FC -120
  • Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-223/+213)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

  • Moneyline: San Diego FC @ -120 via BetMGM
  • Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +213 via Novig

According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is San Diego FC to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score projections

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 2-1 San Diego FC win being the most probable:

  • San Diego FC 2-1 San Jose (9.7% probability)
  • San Diego FC 1-1 San Jose (9.1%)
  • San Diego FC 2-0 San Jose (7.9%)

Game info & kickoff details

Wednesday's MLS matchup between San Diego FC and San Jose in MLS at Snapdragon Stadium is scheduled to begin at 10:30 PM ET.

Conclusion

According to our computer model, San Diego FC has a 58.1% win probability on Wednesday, San Jose has a 21.3% win probability, and there is a 20.6% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Ryan Leaver
Senior Sports and Betting Editor

Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.

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