San Jose vs. Houston Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the San Jose vs. Houston MLS match on August 23, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS
San Jose
2
1
Aug 23, 8:30 PM ET Shell Energy Stadium (Houston, Texas)
Houston
Aug 23, 8:30 PM ET Shell Energy Stadium (Houston, Texas)
HoustonHOU
Score Summary
San JoseSJ
Antonio Carlos (72')
Soccer ball icon
C. Arango (28')
Soccer ball icon
I. Harkes (64')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Houston
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • San Jose
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
R. Roberts (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
85'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: B. R. Wilson Valdez replaces J. Ricketts
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: A. Bassi replaces O. Lingr
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: T. Olusanya replaces G. Dorsey
79'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: J. Martinez replaces C. Arango
79'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: N. Buck replaces C. Espinoza
72'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by Antonio Carlos, assisted by J. McGlynn
2-1
65'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: O. Bouda replaces P. Judd
64'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by I. Harkes
2-0
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: L. Ennali replaces S. Kowalczyk
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: D. Holmes replaces Junior Urso
55'
Yellow Card
C. Espinoza (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: R. Vieira replaces M. Kaye
35'
Yellow Card
E. Ponce (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
30'
Yellow Card
M. Kaye (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
28'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by C. Arango
1-0
21'
Yellow Card
J. McGlynn (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
13'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: E. Bartlow replaces P. Ortiz

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San Jose vs. Houston: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: San Jose vs. Houston
  • Date: Saturday, August 23, 2025
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Shell Energy Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: San Jose +220, Houston +110, draw +280

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • San Jose: 27.8%
  • Houston: 49.5%
  • Draw: 22.6%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: San Jose 1-1 Houston (10.1%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

  • Today's best bets
  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win San Jose vs. Houston? Prediction & correct score

Houston is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 49.5%.

The most likely correct score is San Jose 1-1 Houston.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on San Jose vs. Houston, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.