Toronto FC vs. CF Montreal prediction, odds, MLS picks [10/10/2026]

MLS action continues on Saturday at 1:00 PM ET as Montreal squares off with Toronto at BMO Field.

Dimers' advanced MLS model projects Toronto as the most likely winner in this Toronto vs. Montreal prediction.

This article offers further insights into Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.

Toronto FC vs. CF Montreal prediction and odds

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Saturday's MLS game between Toronto and Montreal, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently suggests a 55.0% chance of Toronto winning, a 22.9% chance for Montreal, and a 22.1% chance of a draw. Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 59.9% chance of going over., according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Montreal +270, Toronto +104
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-170/+163)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Toronto @ +104 via Polymarket
• Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +163 via Polymarket

According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is Toronto to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score projections

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

• Toronto 1-1 Montreal (10.2% probability)
• Toronto 2-1 Montreal (9.8%)
• Toronto 1-0 Montreal (8.7%)

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's MLS action between Toronto and Montreal in MLS at BMO Field is scheduled to start at 1:00 PM ET.

• Who: Toronto FC vs. CF Montreal
• Date: Saturday, October 10, 2026
• Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00AM PT
• Venue: BMO Field

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Toronto has a 55.0% win probability on Saturday, Montreal has a 22.9% win probability, and there is a 22.1% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary MLS prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.