Austin FC vs. Nashville SC prediction, odds, MLS picks [10/10/2026]

Austin will face Nashville in MLS action at Q2 Stadium on Saturday, beginning at 8:30 PM ET.

Dimers' advanced MLS model projects Nashville as the most likely winner in this Austin vs. Nashville prediction.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.

Austin FC vs. Nashville SC prediction and odds

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Saturday's MLS game between Austin and Nashville, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model suggests a 25.1% chance of Austin winning, a 50.2% chance for Nashville, and a 24.8% chance of a draw. Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 50.4% chance of going over., according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Nashville -104, Austin +300
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-127/+122)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Austin @ +300 via Polymarket
• Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +122 via Polymarket

According to our best MLS bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 2.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score projections

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

• Austin 1-1 Nashville (11.8% probability)
• Austin 0-1 Nashville (11%)
• Austin 1-2 Nashville (9.5%)

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's MLS matchup between Austin and Nashville in MLS at Q2 Stadium is scheduled to begin at 8:30 PM ET.

• Who: Austin FC vs. Nashville SC
• Date: Saturday, October 10, 2026
• Time: 8:30 PM ET/5:30PM PT
• Venue: Q2 Stadium

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Austin has a 25.1% win probability on Saturday, Nashville has a 50.2% win probability, and there is a 24.8% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary MLS prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.