Real Salt Lake vs. New York City prediction, odds, MLS picks [9/12/2026]

Salt Lake will square off with NY City in MLS action at America First Field on Saturday, beginning at 9:30 PM ET.

Dimers' advanced MLS model projects Salt Lake as the most likely winner in this Salt Lake vs. NY City prediction.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.

Real Salt Lake vs. New York City prediction and odds

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Saturday's MLS matchup between Salt Lake and NY City, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently suggests a 47.6% chance of Salt Lake winning, a 28.5% chance for NY City, and a 23.9% chance of a draw. Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 56.8% chance of going over., according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: NY City +265, Salt Lake +122
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-150/+144)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Salt Lake @ +122 via Polymarket
• Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +144 via Polymarket

According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is Salt Lake to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score projections

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

• Salt Lake 1-1 NY City (11.1% probability)
• Salt Lake 2-1 NY City (9.4%)
• Salt Lake 1-0 NY City (8.8%)

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's MLS matchup between Salt Lake and NY City in MLS at America First Field is scheduled to begin at 9:30 PM ET.

• Who: Real Salt Lake vs. New York City
• Date: Saturday, September 12, 2026
• Time: 9:30 PM ET/6:30PM PT
• Venue: America First Field

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Salt Lake has a 47.6% win probability on Saturday, NY City has a 28.5% win probability, and there is a 23.9% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary MLS prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.