NY City vs. Salt Lake Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the NY City vs. Salt Lake MLS match on September 12, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
MLS
FINAL
MLS sport icon
MLS
NY City
2
0
America First Field
Salt Lake
America First Field
Salt LakeRSL
Score Summary
NY CityNYC
N. Mercau (41')
Soccer ball icon
Luighi (61')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Salt Lake
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • NY City
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    M. Freese (New York City) cautioned
  2. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York City: A. Martinez replaces H. Wolf
  3. 81'
    Yellow Card
    K. O'Toole (New York City) cautioned
  4. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York City: K. O'Toole replaces N. Cavallo
  5. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York City: A. O'Neill replaces J. Shore
  6. 76'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Salt Lake: T. Booth replaces M. Guilavogui
  7. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York City: B. Traore replaces Luighi
  8. 69'
    Yellow Card
    Lineker Rodrigues (Real Salt Lake) cautioned
  9. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Salt Lake: Lineker Rodrigues replaces S. Solans
  10. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Salt Lake: A. Hezarkhani replaces P. Quinton
  11. 64'
    Yellow Card
    A. Katranis (Real Salt Lake) cautioned
  12. 61'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for New York City by Luighi, assisted by A. Ojeda
    2-0
  13. 57'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Salt Lake: K. Henry replaces J. J. Arias
  14. 57'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Salt Lake: C. Guske replaces L. Moisa
  15. 41'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for New York City by N. Mercau, assisted by A. Ojeda
    1-0

NY City vs. Salt Lake: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: NY City vs. Salt Lake
  • Date: Saturday, September 12, 2026
  • Time: 9:30 PM ET
  • Venue: America First Field

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: NY City +265, Salt Lake 45¢, draw 27¢
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-150/41¢)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • NY City: 28.5%
  • Salt Lake: 47.6%
  • Draw: 23.9%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: NY City 1-1 Salt Lake (11.1%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win NY City vs. Salt Lake? Prediction & correct score

Salt Lake is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 47.6%.

The most likely correct score is NY City 1-1 Salt Lake.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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