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Read Article New York City vs. Philadelphia Union prediction, odds, MLS picks [8/16/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get New York City vs Philadelphia Union predictions for MLS Sunday.
NY City will square off with Philadelphia in MLS action at Yankee Stadium on Sunday, commencing at 6:00 PM ET.
Dimers' advanced MLS model projects NY City as the most likely winner in this NY City vs. Philadelphia prediction.
This article offers a closer look at Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.
New York City vs. Philadelphia Union prediction: Who will win?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's MLS matchup between NY City and Philadelphia, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently indicates a 43.9% chance of NY City winning, a 32.5% chance for Philadelphia, and a 23.6% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 60.3% chance of going over, according to our model.
New York City vs. Philadelphia Union odds
We have sourced the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Moneyline: Philadelphia +150, NY City +185
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
New York City vs. Philadelphia Union picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Moneyline: NY City @ +185 via Fanatics
- Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ -149 via ESPN BET
According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is NY City to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
New York City vs. Philadelphia Union: Correct score predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
- NY City 1-1 Philadelphia (10.7% probability)
- NY City 2-1 Philadelphia (9%)
- NY City 1-2 Philadelphia (7.6%)
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.
New York City vs. Philadelphia Union game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's action between NY City and Philadelphia in MLS at Yankee Stadium is scheduled to start at 6:00 PM ET.
- Who: New York City vs. Philadelphia Union
- Date: Sunday, August 16, 2026
- Time: 6:00 PM ET/3:00PM PT
- Venue: Yankee Stadium
Conclusion
According to our computer model, NY City has a 43.9% win probability on Sunday, Philadelphia has a 32.5% win probability, and there is a 23.6% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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