Chicago Fire vs. Portland Timbers prediction, odds, MLS picks [8/16/2026]

MLS action continues on Sunday at 6:00 PM ET as Portland locks horns with Chicago at Soldier Field.

Dimers' proven MLS model projects Chicago as the most likely winner in this Chicago vs. Portland prediction.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.

Chicago Fire vs. Portland Timbers prediction: Who will win?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's MLS matchup between Chicago and Portland, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model suggests a 58.3% chance of Chicago winning, a 21.9% chance for Portland, and a 19.8% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 70.3% chance of going over, according to our model.

Chicago Fire vs. Portland Timbers odds

We have researched the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Portland +380, Chicago -143

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Chicago Fire vs. Portland Timbers picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Portland @ +380 via ESPN BET
• Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +210 via Bet365

According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is Portland to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Chicago Fire vs. Portland Timbers: Correct score predictions

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 2-1 Chicago win being the most probable:

• Chicago 2-1 Portland (9.3% probability)
• Chicago 1-1 Portland (8.2%)
• Chicago 3-1 Portland (7.1%)

Chicago Fire vs. Portland Timbers game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's action between Chicago and Portland in MLS at Soldier Field is scheduled to start at 6:00 PM ET.

• Who: Chicago Fire vs. Portland Timbers
• Date: Sunday, August 16, 2026
• Time: 6:00 PM ET/3:00PM PT
• Venue: Soldier Field

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Chicago has a 58.3% win probability on Sunday, Portland has a 21.9% win probability, and there is a 19.8% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.