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Mets vs. Nationals Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Mets vs. Nationals MLB game on May 18, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB
Mets
Christian Scott 0-0, 3.45 ERA
16
7
May 18, 6:45 PM ET Nationals Park
Nationals
Jake Irvin 1-4, 5.91 ERA
May 18, 6:45 PM ET Nationals Park
| 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | R | H | E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mets | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 16 | 18 | 0 |
Nationals | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 4 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
- Mets
- Nationals
Win Probability
Last At Bat
Outs
Daylen Lile pops out to shallow center field to Vidal Bruján.
Quick Box Score
Hitting
Pitching
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | C. Benge | RF | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .500 | 1.238 |
| 2 | B. Bichette | 3B | 6 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .500 | 1.738 |
| 3 | J. Soto | DH | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .400 | 0.971 |
| 4 | V. Bruján | SS | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 | 2.000 |
| 5 | B. Baty | 1B | 6 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | .333 | 1.166 |
| 6 | M. Semien | 2B | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .200 | 0.367 |
| 7 | A. Ewing | CF | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .333 | 0.666 |
| 8 | T. Taylor | LF | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .333 | 0.833 |
| 9 | H. Senger | C | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 | 2.000 |
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Wood | RF | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .500 | 1.238 |
| 2 | C. Mead | 1B | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | .500 | 1.750 |
| 3 | N. Nuñez | 2B | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 4 | C. Abrams | SS | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .333 | 0.786 |
| 5 | D. Lile | LF | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | .000 | 0.143 |
| 6 | J. Wiemer | CF | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1.000 | 2.500 |
| 7 | J. Tena | 3B | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .167 | 0.500 |
| 8 | J. Vivas | P | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .200 | 0.733 |
| 9 | D. Millas | C | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .250 | 0.650 |
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Mets vs. Nationals: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Mets vs. Nationals
- Date: Monday, May 18, 2026
- Time: 6:45 PM ET
- Venue: Nationals Park
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Mets favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 10.5
- Moneyline Odds: Mets -115, Nationals +115
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Mets: 55%
- Nationals: 45%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Mets a win probability of 55%, while the Nationals have a win probability of 45%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Mets are more likely to beat the Nationals in the MLB game at Nationals Park on Monday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Mets vs. Nationals predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.