Cardinals vs. Padres Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Cardinals vs. Padres MLB game on May 10, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Cardinals
Kyle Leahy 4-3, 4.93 ERA
2
3
May 10, 4:10 PM ET Petco Park
Padres
Walker Buehler 2-2, 5.64 ERA
May 10, 4:10 PM ET Petco Park
2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 RHE
Cardinals
0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 3 0
Padres
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 3 4 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Cardinals
    0%
  • Padres
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Manny Machado out on a sacrifice fly to center field to Jordan Walker. Ramón Laureano scores.
Quick Box Score
Cardinals Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Wetherholt 2B4010001.2500.500
2 I. Herrera DH4000001.0000.000
3 A. Burleson 1B4110000.2500.500
4 J. Walker RF4112101.2501.250
5 N. Gorman 3B4000001.0000.000
6 M. Winn SS3000011.0000.250
7 J. Fermín LF1000000.0000.000
8 V. Scott CF1000001.0000.000
9 P. Pagés C3000000.0000.000
Padres Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Merrill CF2010020.5001.300
2 F. Tatis 2B3000021.0000.400
3 M. Machado 3B4001002.0000.000
4 G. Sheets LF3000011.0000.250
5 X. Bogaerts SS4120001.5001.250
6 M. Andujar DH4000002.0000.000
7 T. France 1B4000002.0000.000
8 F. Fermin C0000000.0000.000
9 R. Laureano RF1100001.0000.000

Cardinals vs. Padres: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Cardinals vs. Padres
  • Date: Sunday, May 10, 2026
  • Time: 4:10 PM ET
  • Venue: Petco Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Padres favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Cardinals +116, Padres -115

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Cardinals: 46%
  • Padres: 54%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Cardinals a win probability of 46%, while the Padres have a win probability of 54%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Padres are more likely to beat the Cardinals in the MLB game at Petco Park on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Cardinals vs. Padres predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.