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Rays vs. Red Sox Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Rays vs. Red Sox MLB game on May 10, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB
Rays
Nick Martinez 3-1, 1.71 ERA
4
1
May 10, 1:35 PM ET Fenway Park
Red Sox
Payton Tolle 1-1, 2.04 ERA
May 10, 1:35 PM ET Fenway Park
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rays | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 0 |
Red Sox | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
- Rays
- Red Sox
Win Probability
Last At Bat
Outs
Jarren Duran flies out to left field to Chandler Simpson.
Quick Box Score
Hitting
Pitching
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | C. Simpson | LF | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .250 | 0.500 |
| 2 | J. Caminero | 3B | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .250 | 1.250 |
| 3 | B. Williamson | 2B | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | .500 | 1.250 |
| 4 | Y. Díaz | DH | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .250 | 0.500 |
| 5 | J. Aranda | 1B | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .500 | 1.000 |
| 6 | C. Mullins | CF | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .333 | 0.666 |
| 7 | J. DeLuca | RF | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | .000 | 0.250 |
| 8 | N. Fortes | C | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .250 | 0.500 |
| 9 | T. Walls | SS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Duran | LF | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .200 | 0.400 |
| 2 | A. Monasterio | 1B | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .667 | 1.667 |
| 3 | W. Abreu | RF | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 4 | C. Narváez | DH | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 5 | T. Story | SS | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .250 | 0.750 |
| 6 | M. Gasper | C | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .750 | 2.000 |
| 7 | M. Mayer | 2B | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .000 | 0.250 |
| 8 | C. Rafaela | CF | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 9 | C. Durbin | 3B | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.250 |
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Rays vs. Red Sox: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Rays vs. Red Sox
- Date: Sunday, May 10, 2026
- Time: 1:35 PM ET
- Venue: Fenway Park
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Red Sox favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 8.5
- Moneyline Odds: Rays +135, Red Sox -135
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Rays: 43%
- Red Sox: 57%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Rays a win probability of 43%, while the Red Sox have a win probability of 57%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Red Sox are more likely to beat the Rays in the MLB game at Fenway Park on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Rays vs. Red Sox predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.