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Phillies vs. Marlins Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Phillies vs. Marlins MLB game on May 1, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB
Phillies
Zack Wheeler 0-0, 3.60 ERA
6
5
May 1, 7:10 PM ET loanDepot park
Marlins
Eury Pérez 2-2, 4.60 ERA
May 1, 7:10 PM ET loanDepot park
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Phillies | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 0 |
Marlins | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 1 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
- Phillies
- Marlins
Win Probability
Last At Bat
Outs
Xavier Edwards lines out to deep center field to Justin Crawford.
Quick Box Score
Hitting
Pitching
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | K. Schwarber | DH | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 2 | B. Harper | 1B | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .250 | 0.900 |
| 3 | A. García | RF | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .200 | 0.400 |
| 4 | D. Moore | LF | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 5 | E. Sosa | SS | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .500 | 1.000 |
| 6 | B. Stott | 2B | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .333 | 1.833 |
| 7 | A. Bohm | 3B | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .500 | 1.000 |
| 8 | J. Crawford | CF | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .333 | 1.167 |
| 9 | R. Marchán | C | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0.000 |
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Marsee | CF | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .200 | 0.400 |
| 2 | K. Stowers | RF | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | .000 | 0.200 |
| 3 | O. Lopez | SS | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .600 | 1.400 |
| 4 | X. Edwards | 2B | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .200 | 0.600 |
| 5 | L. Hicks | C | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .000 | 0.250 |
| 6 | A. Ramírez | DH | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | .333 | 0.833 |
| 7 | C. Norby | 3B | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 | 3.000 |
| 8 | C. Morel | 1B | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .333 | 0.833 |
| 9 | J. Sanoja | LF | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | .000 | 0.250 |
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Phillies vs. Marlins: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Phillies vs. Marlins
- Date: Friday, May 1, 2026
- Time: 7:10 PM ET
- Venue: loanDepot park
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Phillies favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 7.5
- Moneyline Odds: Phillies -102, Marlins +102
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Phillies: 48%
- Marlins: 52%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Phillies a win probability of 48%, while the Marlins have a win probability of 52%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Marlins are more likely to beat the Phillies in the MLB game at loanDepot park on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Phillies vs. Marlins predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.