Reds vs. Rays Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Reds vs. Rays MLB game on April 22, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Reds
Brandon Williamson 2-1, 4.36 ERA
1
6
Tropicana Field
Rays
Nick Martinez 0-1, 2.46 ERA
Tropicana Field
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Reds
0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 5 1
Rays
0 3 1 0 1 0 1 0 X 6 9 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Reds
    0%
  • Rays
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Nathaniel Lowe strikes out swinging.
Quick Box Score
Reds Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 T. Friedl CF4010000.2500.500
2 M. McLain 2B4010001.2500.500
3 E. De La Cruz SS4000002.0000.000
4 S. Stewart 1B4010001.2500.500
5 E. Suárez 3B4000001.0000.000
6 N. Lowe DH4110001.2500.500
7 S. Steer LF3010000.3331.000
8 W. Benson RF2000010.0000.333
9 P. Higgins C2001001.0000.000
Rays Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 Y. Díaz DH4131001.7501.500
2 J. Aranda 1B2000012.0000.500
3 J. Caminero 3B4112100.2501.250
4 R. Palacios RF1000000.0000.000
5 J. DeLuca CF3100010.0000.250
6 B. Williamson 2B4111001.2500.500
7 C. Simpson LF3011000.3330.583
8 N. Fortes C3000000.0000.250
9 T. Walls SS3110000.3330.666

Reds vs. Rays: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Reds vs. Rays
  • Date: Wednesday, April 22, 2026
  • Time: 1:10 PM ET
  • Venue: Tropicana Field

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Rays favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Reds 44¢, Rays 57¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Reds: 48%
  • Rays: 52%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Reds a win probability of 48%, while the Rays have a win probability of 52%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Rays are more likely to beat the Reds in the MLB game at Tropicana Field on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Reds vs. Rays predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.