Tigers vs. Red Sox Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Tigers vs. Red Sox MLB game on April 18, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Tigers
Tarik Skubal 2-2, 2.22 ERA
4
1
Fenway Park
Red Sox
Brayan Bello 1-1, 6.14 ERA
Fenway Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Tigers
1 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 4 8 0
Red Sox
0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 5 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Tigers
    100%
  • Red Sox
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Ceddanne Rafaela pops out to Spencer Torkelson.
Quick Box Score
Tigers Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 K. McGonigle 3B5121000.4000.800
2 G. Torres 2B5010002.2000.400
3 D. Dingler DH2000000.0000.000
4 R. Greene LF2000021.0000.500
5 S. Torkelson 1B4000003.0000.000
6 K. Carpenter RF3122111.6672.417
7 W. Pérez CF3100010.0000.250
8 J. Báez SS4110000.2500.750
9 J. Rogers C3011000.3330.917
Red Sox Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 R. Anthony LF3010011.3330.833
2 A. Monasterio SS4010001.2500.500
3 W. Contreras 1B4010003.2500.500
4 T. Story DH4000003.0000.000
5 W. Abreu RF4110001.2500.500
6 C. Rafaela CF4010001.2500.750
7 C. Durbin 3B2000011.0000.333
8 C. Wong C3000001.0000.000
9 I. Kiner-Falefa 2B3000000.0000.000

Tigers vs. Red Sox: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Tigers vs. Red Sox
  • Date: Saturday, April 18, 2026
  • Time: 4:10 PM ET
  • Venue: Fenway Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Tigers favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Tigers 58¢, Red Sox 43¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Tigers: 58%
  • Red Sox: 42%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Tigers a win probability of 58%, while the Red Sox have a win probability of 42%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Tigers are more likely to beat the Red Sox in the MLB game at Fenway Park on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Tigers vs. Red Sox predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.